GiantCALBears Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Aside from the discrepancies in last night's numbers, I still have to look at the history of Marvel movies holding better than expected over the course of the weekend because of their insane family appeal. Not just Avengers, but Iron Man 3, Spider-Man 3, etc. all had strong Saturdays and/or Sundays. I'd be slightly surprised if it fell below $200m for the weekend, and I still think the record's definitely in play. That being said... nothing wrong with lowering expectations! Edit: For whatever it's worth, Disney is also still projecting $200-210 million. They're generally pretty accurate, but we'll see. Nice insight bro thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's hilarious to look at people's prediction in the AoU > DH2 OD club : Cap's Kooky Quartet Snoopy of Suburbia: 110M (115M) Warmaster506: 110M mahnamahna: 110M Sythus: 101M (108M) Neo: 106M Empire: 105M Alucard: 101M Ithil: 101M JohnnyGossamer: 101M druv10: 98M Ray G: 98M Infernus: 96M Deathlife:95M FZY: 95M A District 3 Engineer: 95M Blankments: 95M Gokai Red: 92M Johnny Storm: 100.616M (92M) Captain Jack Sparrow Orestes BKB treeroy Shaldun acetabulum7 Cheesy Poofs Clef Ment Brilliant Dynamite Neon Ruthie Talkie Kalo eXtacy The Stingray Seduh Hufflepuff Badgers Age of Robertron: 96M Mango: 80M-85M The Stingray ChD Ethan Hunt James Raphael Potter Wormy I always love it when someone's club wins and they basically come back with a suck it, shows a real maturity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Aside from the discrepancies in last night's numbers, I still have to look at the history of Marvel movies holding better than expected over the course of the weekend because of their insane family appeal. Not just Avengers, but Iron Man 3, Spider-Man 3, etc. all had strong Saturdays and/or Sundays. I'd be slightly surprised if it fell below $200m for the weekend, and I still think the record's definitely in play. That being said... nothing wrong with lowering expectations! Edit: For whatever it's worth, Disney is also still projecting $200-210 million. They're generally pretty accurate, but we'll see. Welcome home. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Aside from the discrepancies in last night's numbers, I still have to look at the history of Marvel movies holding better than expected over the course of the weekend because of their insane family appeal. Not just Avengers, but Iron Man 3, Spider-Man 3, etc. all had strong Saturdays and/or Sundays. I'd be slightly surprised if it fell below $200m for the weekend, and I still think the record's definitely in play. That being said... nothing wrong with lowering expectations! Good point. Plus this movie has thrown some curveballs in OS already. I thought its crashing in korea after tuesday and it bounced back super strongly and I saw 150m prediction today !!!! But the impact of fight and other things might affect its OW more than otherwise. Dont think IM3 faced this kind of headwind. So I think it can miss 200m though I wont be surprised if disney ensures 200m OW. But I will be surprised by OW record at this point. But you never know for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Can one of y'all tell me what the first Spider-Man made at midnight in 2002? I want to say $7.5m but I can't find any sources on Google. BOM's report doesn't mention it either. Yeah looks to be about $7m or so: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1823&p=.htm (Mentioned at the end) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KATCH-2D2 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Why is this thread so damn busy all of a sudden.. It's really hard to keep up.. It seems like once the number's come out everyone just has something to say.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 7m. it was mentioned in Sith report. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1823&p=s.htm Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Shawn this is a really busy Saturday however compared to what TA, IM3 had to deal with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Silver Lining. Increased 4.5 million from Avengers 1 opening day. An even better one it's still the second highest opening day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Aside from the discrepancies in last night's numbers, I still have to look at the history of Marvel movies holding better than expected over the course of the weekend because of their insane family appeal. Not just Avengers, but Iron Man 3, Spider-Man 3, etc. all had strong Saturdays and/or Sundays. I'd be slightly surprised if it fell below $200m for the weekend, and I still think the record's definitely in play. That being said... nothing wrong with lowering expectations! Edit: For whatever it's worth, Disney is also still projecting $200-210 million. They're generally pretty accurate... I didn't realize that you were the one who was writing the weekend updates for BoxOffice.com . They don't list an author. I think that's great. Also, I am glad that you explained why you are still predicting around a $200M OW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Would have beaten opening weekend record if it didn't have blacks and women in the movie. They make every film worse. Why do you keep saying this, what am i missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 This will barely hit 1B OS. Let alone 1.8B WW and 550M DOM. It's going to be at nearly $500 million OS by the end of this weekend. And if it opens above $200 million (certainly possible considering Marvel's massive family appeal), why would $550 million be ridiculous? It's $75 million less than the first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Possible wknd trajectory for #AvengersAgeOfUltron: FRI $84.5M, SAT $69M (-19%), SUN $49M (-29%), WKND $203M. — Gitesh Pandya (@giteshpandya) May 2, 2015 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I always love it when someone's club wins and they basically come back with a suck it, shows a real maturity. It was not my club. It was Neo's. And it didn't win, it lost. Read carefully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Would have beaten opening weekend record if it didn't have blacks and women in the movie. They make every film worse. You must be even older than Tele. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Can it still reach 200m over the weekend Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empire Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 QUESTION: Do you guys take Forbes' Scott Mendelson's box-office thoughts and extrapolations seriously or is he a Nikki Finke type? I'm just reading an article he just published about his thoughts on AOU's Friday numbers. I just read it and I think it was a good reasonable take on the #s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's going to be at nearly $500 million OS by the end of this weekend. And if it opens above $200 million (certainly possible considering Marvel's massive family appeal), why would $550 million be ridiculous? It's $75 million less than the first. What?!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 220 users in a single thread has to be a record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah looks to be about $7m or so: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=1823&p=.htm (Mentioned at the end) Huh, SM1 actually made more at midnight than SM2. iirc it only did $5 million. God, people here would have fucking aneurysms if that happened today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...