mahnamahna Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 You lost me there... Well it could come close $27.6 million (previews) $72.4 million Friday ($100 million) $76 million Saturday ($176 million) $61.5 million Sunday ($237.5 million) $250 million would have required a $35-37 million preview # Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Great number. Right now I'm expecting it to level it out around $200 million for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 9 PM as far as I remember. If IM3 had 9PM show and only did 15M why is everyone freaking out about the 27.6M number of avengers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Did you think after IM3 made $15.6m from early Thursday shows that it was going to make $174m? It was a second sequel and yet look how backloaded that thing was. If TA2 has the same multiplier over the weekend from previews as IM3, it will make over $300m for the weekend. It might sound crazy to you, but something like $250m is still on the table for sure. I get what you're saying, but there's a big difference netween 15.6 and 27.6M. Im3 got to that 175 because it only made 15.6, so it more than likely had room to grow, whereas this (although faintly possible) won't I think get that huge backloaded business like TA1 did. If anything, maybe 215, but in no way can I see 250. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Didn't ironman 3 had viewing from 7 pm? 9pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 TA1's midnights were like what? 20 mil? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 IMO the 3.5 day attendance record is possible, but I think it'll be close enough to TDK/SM3/TA that there once again won't be a definitive leader. I'll run the numbers tomorrow but with a 45% 3D share and 3 years of inflation, I expect the 21.8-22M tickets range would yield 215-220M in the current environment. SO, now that we have concrete numbers we can finally do some proper crunching. 44% 3D share for the previews, 24/12/8 breakdown for 3D/IMAX/Other (Avengers did 40/8/4), so 4% increase for both IMAX and Other, but hefty drop for standard 3D AND this is only previews, the rest of the weekend should fall even harder. Still, if it sustains the 24/12/8 breakdown for the full weekend, 21.8M tickets (TA/TDK/SM3) would yield 224M. The Premium formats have even higher average prices than 3D so they makeup slightly for the decline there. However, if the previews were at 44%, then I think it's pretty reasonable to assume that the rest of the weekend will be a little lower, to the point where the full weekend comes out to 40-42%, so closer to 220M IF it sells that many tickets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 If IM3 had 9PM show and only did 15M why is everyone freaking out about the 27.6M number of avengers? Oh various agendas in play here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 I get what you're saying, but there's a big difference netween 15.6 and 27.6M. Im3 got to that 175 because it only made 15.6, so it more than likely had room to grow, whereas this (although faintly possible) won't I think get that huge backloaded business like TA1 did. If anything, maybe 215, but in no way can I see 250. I'm not predicting it to actually happen, just saying I don't think it's off the table. I'm expecting $220-230m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wileECoyote Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 If IM3 had 9PM show and only did 15M why is everyone freaking out about the 27.6M number of avengers? Because this the BOT forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 TA1's midnights were like what? 20 mil? TA1 was around 20 with shows starting at 12:00, this is 48% more than TA1 with shows starting at 7 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 TA1's midnights were like what? 20 mil? 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Did you think after IM3 made $15.6m from early Thursday shows that it was going to make $174m? It was a second sequel and yet look how backloaded that thing was. If TA2 has the same multiplier over the weekend from previews as IM3, it will make over $300m for the weekend. It might sound crazy to you, but something like $250m is still on the table for sure. If that happens, I will let scorpions pluck out my eyeballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Monstrous number. Thats the best since TDKR I think. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Honestly I don't even see $200m. I'm happy to be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 TA1's midnights were like what? 20 mil? $18.7m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KATCH-2D2 Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 That number is just... boring. Honestly I hope for something bigger. No 200+ is assured. 195 is the lowest it will go. How many times people want to get butthurt about marvel movies on the first weekend of may? Spiderman then spiderman 3 then TA then im3... You intentionally skipped TASM2, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeZ Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 OD might pass 90m with that number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hasanahmad Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 Monstrous number. Thats the best since TDKR I think. hope it doesnt pull at TDKR and drop at the end of the weekend to a lower than expected number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 1, 2015 Share Posted May 1, 2015 It would've hit 30 if they played the new SW trailer at all shows. Blaming you guys for making me think a 40M previews number was in the realm of possibility. Anyway, let's see if it will match TA's 65M Friday. If it does that, then 225M OW is possible. Chewy made this point before and I'll make it again here. All that showed is just how small the pre-sales percentage is of the total, plus the fact that previous Marvel movies didn't do much of anything with pre-sales. You did not see them comparing it to Potter, Sith, TDKR/TDK, or Twilight pre-sales. Monstrous number. Thats the best since TDKR I think. GUYS I'VE RUN OUT OF LIKES FOR TODAY SO FORGIVE ME. Also, yes baumer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
