Weekend Estimates: JW: 102 IO 91...RTH: Sun JW 38.3 | IO 25.3 with possible upsides PG 287, possible 107M for JW weekend

[CJohn]

 

Note: Disney reports that Inside Out received special Tuesday night screenings whose gross is not included in the reported Thursday night figure, but will be rolled in at the end of business Friday.

[Ethan Hunt]

An opening over 60M is great. 75M+ just incredible. The legs should be stellar too. The Minions are gonna get slaughtered

[Travod]

From BO.com

Note: there are unconfirmed reports that Inside Out received special Tuesday night screenings that may or may not be rolled into the Thursday + Friday

That would make a lot of sense.

*Yay at Cjohn's post!

Edited June 19, 2015 by Mad Travod

[redfirebird2008]

That is a huge blow in my prediction of IO going over 90M. Still, 80M+ is gonna happen.

 

It's not a huge blow. With TS3's multiplier from previews, it would hit $100m. But TS3 was a true midnight release, so I would be surprised if IO has the same multiplier from much earlier shows. Still should hit 90+ though.

[PDC1987]

An opening over 60M is great. 75M+ just incredible. The legs should be stellar too. The Minions are gonna get slaughtered

Oh yes, IO is gonna slaughter minions 4 weeks from now. Please.

[mahnamahna]

Ugh, and now 70 million will be seen as underwhelming

how is an original WOM-based film with family appeal and Father's Day to ease the Sunday drop going to do only $70 million OW with $4 million in previews?

No way it misses $80 million. $95-105 million is more likely since it's going to be fairly back loaded

That would be one of the most front loaded original films ever.

[AniNate]

how is an original WOM-based film with family appeal and Father's Day to ease the Sunday drop going to do only $70 million OW with $4 million in previews?

No way it misses $80 million. $95-105 million is more likely since it's going to be fairly back loaded

That would be one of the most front loaded original films ever.

 

I don't know, but that was the number I was sticking with and I don't want it to now look disappointing.

[kayumanggi]

 

 

 

[redfirebird2008]

For comparison, LEGO earned 500k at 10 PM last year and opened with 69M. 

 

That's not a good comparison given the fact schools were in session and also the shows were later. IO had 7 PM shows in the summer. That said, I do expect IO to hit 90+ for the weekend.

[CJohn]

History in the making here, folks. We may be witnessing our first weekend with two 100M+ movies.

Edited June 19, 2015 by CJohn

[Ethan Hunt]

Oh yes, IO is gonna slaughter minions 4 weeks from now. Please.

I thought it was 3

[Frozen]

Thanks. They updated on me again!

[babz06]

Gonna be a huge weekend and very close for number 1.

Dope did decently as well, 

[mahnamahna]

I'm really curious to see how IO plays Sunday. If it's a girl-driven movie it'll probably drop off a bit, maybe 20-22%, but would then play beautifully throughout the week.

For now I'll say--

30m OD

28.4m Saturday (+8% from Fri without previews)

22.4m Sunday (-21%)

80.8m weekend

Family friendly + WOM means good hold Sunday

3.7 million previews

30.3 million Friday (includes special Tues) - 34

33 million - 67

31 million - 98

Record for biggest original OW broken. Day After Tomorrow's blown away

[Fancyarcher]

Oh yes, IO is gonna slaughter minions 4 weeks from now. Please.

 

IO is gonna great business, but Minions will be a juggernaut, just like Jurassic World was. I'm okay with that, as long as Inside Out manages makes over 300m domestically. 

[Heretic]

Very impressive for IO. Crazy to see a film over-perform when the OW record has been broken just the week before.

[Cedarpoint1111]

That is an awesome number for inside out! This is going to be a lot closer than we thought, but obviously JW still has the upper hand.

JW 97.3m

IO 81.1m

[PDC1987]

IO is dropping Saturday.

[mahnamahna]

That's not a good comparison given the fact schools were in session and also the shows were later. IO had 7 PM shows in the summer. That said, I do expect IO to hit 90+ for the weekend.

Since it's not a sequel, this is going to have solid backloading.

Could do $105-125 million. Especially since DM2 was more front loaded and did $125 million 5 day opening with $4.7 million previews

[AniNate]

History in the making here, folks. We may be witnessing our first weekend with two 100M+ movies.

 

Finding Nemo currently holds the record for an original film adjusted OW of any kind ($95 million). 

Edited June 19, 2015 by tribefan695