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RAMPAGE | 13 April 2018 | Warner Brothers | Dwayne Johnson

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5 hours ago, Jonwo said:

Box Office Pro seems to think Rampage will do $25m OW which is kind of low

The same website severely underestimated Kong: Skull Island and overestimated Power Rangers, so I would take their word with a tablespoon of salt. It's still too soon to guess.

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18 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

BoxOffice.com predicting a 62M finish for this.....:wintf:

http://www2.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2015-04-long-range-forecast-san-andreas

 

 

San Andreas

 

 

 

 

May 29, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line $29,000,000 $80,000,000
Edited by KeepItU25071906
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17 hours ago, grim22 said:

I feel this needs to be said every time BO.Com comes up with a long range forecast - it is not info based on tracking numbers. Tracking numbers aren't due for another 5 weeks.

All the more reason to disregard anything that they say.

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I have a bit of an hard time following people in this thread if they are talking about dbo or OW ?

 

Biggest opening for non-sequel live action without a really strong IP:

 

American Sniper: 89m (still an american hero and helped by the limited release build up)

Passion of Christ: 83m (not sure how to rank Jesus in term of IP, I guess a bad example)

I am Legend: 77m (not that know of a book ?, really popular genre and peak Smith)

Avatar: 77m

 

That is pretty much all the live action movie that achieved 75m without being a giant franchise entry/sequel/book adaptation.

 

I suspect a giant opening over Ted/Martian/Gravity/San Andreas 55m could happen, but obviously it could do under 75m that would be an exceptional number.

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Barnack said:

I have a bit of an hard time following people in this thread if they are talking about dbo or OW ?

 

Biggest opening for non-sequel live action without a really strong IP:

 

American Sniper: 89m (still an american hero and helped by the limited release build up)

Passion of Christ: 83m (not sure how to rank Jesus in term of IP, I guess a bad example)

I am Legend: 77m (not that know of a book ?, really popular genre and peak Smith)

Avatar: 77m

 

That is pretty much all the live action movie that achieved 75m without being a giant franchise entry/sequel/book adaptation.

 

I suspect a giant opening over Ted/Martian/Gravity/San Andreas 55m could happen, but obviously it could do under 75m that would be an exceptional number.

 

 

 

 That $75 million number was for DOM total. A $30-35 million opening with a stacked May lineup may easily result in under $75 million if this is a bad movie.

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4 minutes ago, BXT said:

 That $75 million number was for DOM total. A $30-35 million opening with a stacked May lineup may easily result in under $75 million if this is a bad movie.

Thanks that why I was not sure for some of those (but that prediction was said as if it was a deception so I was pretty certain it was not the OW, even thought 75m do sound quite low for it to me).

 

Those monster movie goes for the OW heavy a bit more than this, would be surprised if it does not achieve 40m OW, 100m dbo, would really need to be a let down. I think there is an appetite for a giant non-sh action movie but not serious at all at the same time like that.

Edited by Barnack
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10 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

This movie will open $50m+

 

One of my fearless predictions for 2018 was that this could do 200.  Probably much too ambitious, but 150 seems real enough.

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5 hours ago, baumer said:

 

One of my fearless predictions for 2018 was that this could do 200.  Probably much too ambitious, but 150 seems real enough.

My boldest prediction was BP opening to $200M+. I am not as confident for Rampage, but I believe it will do very well because so many people have lost a beloved pet and will feel an emotional connection to this story.

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