RAMPAGE | 13 April 2018 | Warner Brothers | Dwayne Johnson

[stephanos13]

I legit think this is going to end up being a hit for WB.

Edited February 14, 2018 by stephanos13

[EmpireCity]

This is going to do very, very well for them.  I think can do $200m+

[MrGamer]

2 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

This is going to do very, very well for them.  I think can do $200m+

Anything test screening wise?

[RobinHood26]

-

Edited February 11, 2019 by Jay Hollywood

[aabattery]

The monsters are too small tbh.

[MovieMan89]

I'm sold on it being able to pull 150 or so, but not much more. You guys have to remember that once IW hits, this movie's run is basically over since two weeks later is DP and a week after is Solo. It has basically 2 weekends to gross most of what it's going to. IW will knock it down to low-ish grosses by its 3rd and it will be out of a lot of theaters after its 5th. 

Edited February 15, 2018 by MovieMan89

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I'm sold on it being able to pull 150 or so, but not much more. You guys have to remember that once IW hits, this movie's run is basically over since two weeks later is DP and a week after is Solo. It has basically 2 weekends to gross most of what it's going to. IW will knock it down to low-ish grosses by its 3rd and it will be out of a lot of theaters after its 5th. 

I disagree:

 

Apr 20: 60M (21.8M weekdays, 81.8M Total)

Apr 27: 35M (13.7M weekdays, 130.5M Total)

May 4: 18.5M (6.7M weekdays, 155.7M Total)

May 11: 11M (4M weekdays, 170.7M Total)

May 18: 5.3M (1.6M weekdays, 177.6M Total)

May 25: 2M (1.1M weekdays, 180.7M Total)

Final Total: 185M (3.08x)

 

This can be the only movie to have a sub-50% drop when IW opens (especially as the main alternative to sellouts), and it'll likely have a sub-50 drop the prior weekend because nothing of note is releasing. Deadpool is probably when the first substantial drop comes given the film will be in its fifth weekend and start shedding more theaters.

[MovieMan89]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I disagree:

 

Apr 20: 60M (21.8M weekdays, 81.8M Total)

Apr 27: 35M (13.7M weekdays, 130.5M Total)

May 4: 18.5M (6.7M weekdays, 155.7M Total)

May 11: 11M (4M weekdays, 170.7M Total)

May 18: 5.3M (1.6M weekdays, 177.6M Total)

May 25: 2M (1.1M weekdays, 180.7M Total)

Final Total: 185M (3.08x)

 

This can be the only movie to have a sub-50% drop when IW opens (especially as the main alternative to sellouts), and it'll likely have a sub-50 drop the prior weekend because nothing of note is releasing. Deadpool is probably when the first substantial drop comes given the film will be in its fifth weekend and start shedding more theaters.

WOM will have to be really strong for this kind of movie to have that light of a second weekend hold. As for the third weekend, if you look at the history of huge openers during that first week of May, they always completely dominate everything else. The holdovers don't do well and everything else tends to gross below 10m. The last two Fast movies for example had bad drops against Ultron and Guardians 2 respectively. The only exception was the Jungle Book against Civil War, but that was a WOM driven family film so that's much different. I think a scenario like this is likely:

 

58

29 -50%

12.5 -57%

7 -42%

3.5 -50%

2 (for 4 day) -43%

3 (remaining weekends)

115m

145-155 total giving typical 74-78% weekend share of movies without holiday or summer weekdays

 

 

 

 

[TombRaider]

crazy how someone untalented like the rock is the biggest movie star in the world

[Jonwo]

San Andreas numbers would be solid for Rampage IMO

[a2k]

I don't think the ape's CGI is smooth.

Curious to see how it does compared to Skull Island.

[Jonwo]

14 minutes ago, a2knet said:

I don't think the ape's CGI is smooth.

Curious to see how it does compared to Skull Island.

It does look they didn't spend much money on VFX. 

Edited February 15, 2018 by Jonwo

[SLAM!]

54 minutes ago, TombRaider said:

crazy how someone untalented like the rock is the biggest movie star in the world

 

54 minutes ago, TombRaider said:

the rock

 

54 minutes ago, TombRaider said:

untalented

 

[NoobSaibot]

I have a much stronger sense of anticipation for this than next month's Pacific Rim: Uprising. That's fucking hilarious, and also a little sad.

 

Oh well. This movie's going to be fun anyway.

[MrGlass2]

This movie isn't about brilliant CGI or action, it is the emotional story of a man who lost his pet gorilla.

[Steele131]

This is pretty much one of their Monster films so I can see this doing at least 150M. An interesting thing will be to see what grosses more between this and Skyscraper 

[a2k]

Wonder if Rampage and Skyscraper combined can beat Jumanji's dom/os. Jumanji had other players too (a big one in Hart) but it's 2 movies combined vs 1 so worth comparing.

[MovieMan89]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Wonder if Rampage and Skyscraper combined can beat Jumanji's dom/os. Jumanji had other players too (a big one in Hart) but it's 2 movies combined vs 1 so worth comparing.

I highly doubt it DOM at least. 170 has to be the ceiling on both. 

[AndyK]

4 hours ago, TombRaider said:

crazy how someone untalented like the rock is the biggest movie star in the world

I used to think he was just a meat head but after watching Jumanji, the guy has genuine charisma and more ability than I gave him credit for, the GA love him. He also seems to be picking his projects wisely. 

 

I think this will take off and surprise people again, its the other big movies that need to be afraid.

Edited February 15, 2018 by AndyK

[a2k]

1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

I highly doubt it DOM at least. 170 has to be the ceiling on both. 

True. I feel the comp (R+Sky vs J) seems a bit silly in hindsight . Rampage would have to do 250 odd and then if Sky does 160 they get to 410 combined, probably what Jumanji is looking at.