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WrathOfHan

Tuesday Actuals: Minions 16.84 | IO 3.29 | JW 2.79 (Page 8)

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Rth did say that Canada was a huge on Tuesday. So if that is the case and there is a normal correction then Wednesday should see a fairly steep drop from most films. I'm hoping for 25 percent from minions.

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Tuesdays have just been unusually strong this summer. No other explanation.

 

Minions looking good:

12.8

13.1 

17.5

22.5

18 

 

$228.9 million 10 day ($58 million for 2nd weekend) 

 

IO

2.5

2.4

4.0

5.3

4.1

 

$305.7 million by July 19th ($13.4 million 5th weekend)

 

JW

1.9

2.0

2.8

3.8

2.9 

 

$606.4 million by July 19 ($9.5 million 6th weekend) 

 

Minions making a run at $425-450 million DOM, IO making a run at $340-360 million DOM, JW chugging along to $640-650 million DOM... just a typical week of summer 2015  ;)

You added wrong on your JW calculations. It's 609m with your estimates, not 606.4. 

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Everything but... y'know... banana...

 

Yea, but that's because its in its second week.  We know films can't lose theaters until the third.  

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Pretty bad July though. First July (except for July 2014) since 2009 which won't pass the domestic 1.3 billion mark. But August will hopefully be big. 

 

Though it looks like there is a good chance a movie that makes 351 million will be 7th place domestic.

 

That is unreal.

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Where are those who were so sure about Minions only getting a 2.5/2.6x multiplier? WOM is related to the audience, Minions' audience is a crap eater...and the conclusion of the 'syllogism' is obvious.

People comparing Minions to Shrek 3 just don't know how box office works. A 3x has always been very likely or close to locked, and I stand with my 3.4x guess.

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I'm insanely curious to see how DM3 will do now. 

 

Minions is a prequel that directly dovetails into Despicable Me, and it literally begins AT THE DAWN OF TIME with the critters so I don't see how they could possibly do another spinoff movie with them. Yet I'm sure they will probably try.

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Pretty bad July though. First July (except for July 2014) since 2009 which won't pass the domestic 1.3 billion mark. But August will hopefully be big.

I'd bet it passes the 1.3b mark, i think you're underestimating it.

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Pretty bad July though. First July (except for July 2014) since 2009 which won't pass the domestic 1.3 billion mark. But August will hopefully be big.

?

I think the later half of July will pick up the pace considerably

And fall 2015 should sell more tickets than any other fall period with how well-rounded its lineup is

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Though it looks like there is a good chance a movie that makes 351 million will be 7th place domestic.

That is unreal.

1. JW: $650m

2. SW7: $625m

3. Avengers 2: $455m

4. MJ2: $440m

5. Minions: $410m

6. Inside Out: $360m

7. Furious 7: $350m

8. American Sniper: $350m

9. Good Dinosaur: $315m

10. Spectre: $285m

11. Pixels: $240m

12. MI5: $225m

13. Ant-Man: $205m

14. Cinderella: $200m

15. Vacation: $190m

2015 is looking to be huge.. plenty of solid hits not accounted for, too

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1. JW: $650m

2. SW7: $625m

3. Avengers 2: $455m

4. MJ2: $440m

5. Minions: $410m

6. Inside Out: $360m

7. Furious 7: $350m

8. American Sniper: $350m

9. Good Dinosaur: $315m

10. Spectre: $285m

11. Pixels: $240m

12. MI5: $225m

13. Ant-Man: $205m

14. Cinderella: $200m

15. Vacation: $190m

2015 is looking to be huge.. plenty of solid hits not accounted for, too

That is really optimistic for vacation. I know the market place is ripe for a straight comedy and the film should play very well in the heartland, but I think Ant-man will satisfy the appetite for comedy partly and I'm not even sure it will pass $100m DOM to be honest.

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