Not So Fantastic Weekend Thread | MI5 29.4, F4 26.2, Gift 12, Ricki 7, Shaun 4, Vac 9, AM 7.8

[terrestrial]

MI5 will outgross Ant-Man but both of them will end below Pitch Perfect 2.

 

In Ant-Man's case I agree, MI5 probably too (for my taste too early to be 100% sure)

 

What I forgot to point out (again?) in my OS chart for you a few pages back:

20% worse exchange rates for the Euro (and the countries 'bound to it) plus we have here a heat wave since around 3 weeks, no one I know does anything voluntarily out of the house beside what is not avoidable or driving to a lake for a swim or so = I didn't expect GotG OS numbers from Ant-Man, but the ones for the 1st installments

[CJohn]

 

Alicia Vikander         

 

[Walt Disney]

Only one man predicted failure of this magnitude

#BKBWasRight

 

Sooo true. I thought this would fail. But, I never imagined it would fail this bad. Only BKB saw an absolute total bomb happening. The rest of us just saw a failure, not a complete and undeniable disaster.

[filmlover]

Yeah, I don't care about any of that But good for you and Pixar fanboys. 

 

There are 8 years between B&R and BB. 7 years is almost the same, and that is the most FOX can wait until releasing another FF movie

LOL I don't think Marvel will even bother to buy the rights back, they'll just let them revert when the time is up instead of forking over cash for damaged goods (at the moment they are probably furious with how one of their chief properties has been devalued and set in ruins as much as this has). I'll be shocked if Fox tries again after this. No one is coming near this property for at least another decade, if not longer.

[Planodisney]

Minions OS markets left

China

Italy

Not that I understand it, but great run for Minions OS

[Maxmoser3]

This was kind of a shocker to me before the weekend that Fantastic Four didn't win this weekend. But yeah this weekend sucks ass

[CJohn]

LOL I don't think Marvel will even bother to buy the rights back, they'll just let them revert when the time is up instead of forking over cash for damaged goods (at the moment they are probably furious with how one of their chief properties has been devalued and set in ruins as much as this has). I'll be shocked if Fox tries again after this. No one is coming near this property for at least another decade, if not longer.

Nothing will surprise or shock me. Nothing. Anything can happen at this point.

Edited August 9, 2015 by CJohn

[terrestrial]

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic) Fri, Aug. 7 - Sun, Aug. 9

← previous

Wide (1000+)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation	$29,400,000	-47%	3,988	32	$7,372	$108,654,207	2	Paramount
2	Fantastic Four (2015)	$26,200,000	--	3,995	--	$6,558	$26,200,000	1	Fox
3	The Gift (2015)	$12,007,000	--	2,503	--	$4,797	$12,007,000	1	STX Entertainment
4	Vacation (2015)	$9,145,000	-38%	3,430	19	$2,666	$37,324,780	2	Warner Bros. / New Line
5	Ant-Man	$7,826,000	-39%	2,910	-412	$2,689	$147,436,546	4	Disney
6	Minions	$7,370,000	-41%	3,123	-452	$2,360	$302,724,120	5	Universal
7	Ricki and the Flash	$7,000,000	--	1,603	--	$4,367	$7,000,000	1	Sony / TriStar
8	Trainwreck	$6,270,000	-35%	2,525	-435	$2,483	$91,071,830	4	Universal
9	Pixels	$5,430,000	-48%	2,864	-859	$1,896	$57,645,304	3	Sony / Columbia
10	Southpaw	$4,764,000	-37%	2,274	-498	$2,095	$40,725,841	3	Weinstein Company
11	Shaun the Sheep Movie	$4,000,000	--	2,320	--	$1,724	$5,571,338	1	Lionsgate
12	Inside Out (2015)	$2,689,000	-40%	1,358	-546	$1,980	$335,375,150	8	Disney
13	Jurassic World	$1,930,000	-51%	1,119	-793	$1,725	$635,656,780	9	Universal
14	Paper Towns	$1,450,000	-69%	1,284	-1747	$1,129	$28,804,364	3	Fox

Limited (100 — 999)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	Irrational Man	$883,561	78%	925	790	$955	$2,251,474	4	Sony Pictures Classics
2	Spy (2015)	$385,000	-7%	306	-69	$1,258	$109,502,428	10	Fox
3	Terminator Genisys	$315,000	-67%	304	-432	$1,036	$88,496,273	6	Paramount
4	Amy (2015)	$258,962	-41%	149	-96	$1,738	$6,965,339	6	A24
5	Ted 2	$223,000	-55%	209	-296	$1,067	$80,966,945	7	Universal
6	Home (2015)	$85,000	-33%	159	-21	$535	$177,028,649	20	Fox / DreamWorks Animation

Platform (1 — 99)

#	Title	weekend		Locations		Avg.	Total	Wks.	Dist.
1	The End of the Tour	$252,702	105%	36	32	$7,020	$428,047	2	A24
2	The Diary of a Teenage Girl	$54,525	--	4	--	$13,631	$54,525	1	Sony Pictures Classics
3	Listen to Me Marlon	$42,889	43%	11	9	$3,899	$101,657	2	Showtime
4	Dope	$37,125	-49%	38	-30	$977	$16,647,942	8	Open Road
5	The Vatican Tapes	$28,000	-91%	52	-375	$538	$1,706,949	3	Lionsgate / Pantelion
6	Samba	$27,749	-29%	27	5	$1,028	$119,086	3	Broad Green Pictures
7	Cop Car	$27,000	--	3	--	$9,000	$27,000	1	Focus World
8	Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet	$26,601	--	2	--	$13,301	$26,601	1	GKIDS
9	Cartel Land	$22,232	--	25	--	$889	$595,727	6	The Orchard
10	Metropolitan (2015 re-issue)	$7,500	--	1	--	$7,500	$7,500	1	Rialto Pictures
11	A LEGO Brickumentary	$6,500	-85%	23	-70	$283	$83,176	2	RADiUS-TWC
12	The Overnight	$2,965	--	5	--	$593	$1,101,648	8	The Orchard

 

[mahnamahna]

September actually looks like it has the potential to be pretty decent nas far as quality and box office go

It definitely looks solid. I see a potential of 15-16 $100 million+ DOM grossers from Sep-Dec (the release slate, not calender year). A lot of films targeting different demographics and a fall slate with multiple compelling releases should help 2015 make a comeback after late July/all of August. 

[John Marston]

1	1	Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation	Par.	$29,400,000	-47.0%	3,988	+32	$7,372	$108,654,000	-	2
2	N	Fantastic Four	Fox	$26,200,000	-	3,995	-	$6,558	$26,200,000	-	1
3	N	The Gift (2015)	STX	$12,007,000	-	1,648	-	$7,286	$12,007,000	$5	1
4	2	Vacation	WB (NL)	$9,145,000	-37.7%	3,430	+19	$2,666	$37,325,000	-	2
5	3	Ant-Man	BV	$7,826,000	-38.9%	2,910	-412	$2,689	$147,436,000	$130	4
6	4	Minions	Uni.	$7,400,000	-40.3%	3,123	-452	$2,370	$302,754,000	$74	5
7	N	Ricki and the Flash	TriS	$7,000,000	-	1,603	-	$4,367	$7,000,000	-	1
8	6	Trainwreck	Uni.	$6,300,000	-34.4%	2,525	-435	$2,495	$91,102,000	$35	4
9	5	Pixels	Sony	$5,430,000	-48.3%	2,864	-859	$1,896	$57,645,000	$88	3
10	7	Southpaw	Wein.	$4,764,000	-37.5%	2,274	-498	$2,095	$40,726,000	$30	3
11	N	Shaun the Sheep Movie	LGF	$4,000,000	-	2,320	-	$1,724	$5,571,000	-	1
-	9	Inside Out	BV	$2,689,000	-40.4%	1,358	-546	$1,980	$335,375,000	$175	8
-	10	Jurassic World	Uni.	$1,900,000	-51.3%	1,119	-793	$1,698	$635,627,000	$150	9
-	8	Paper Towns	Fox	$1,450,000	-68.7%	1,284	-1,747	$1,129	$28,804,000	$12	3
-	-	Mr. Holmes	RAtt.	$1,319,000	-44.1%	781	-117	$1,689	$12,810,000	-	4
-	-	Irrational Man	SPC	$884,000	+77.9%	925	+790	$956	$2,251,000	-	4
-	-	Spy	Fox	$385,000	-6.9%	306	-69	$1,258	$109,502,000	$65	10
-	-	Terminator: Genisys	Par.	$315,000	-66.6%	304	-432	$1,036	$88,496,000	$155	6
-	-	Amy	A24	$259,000	-40.9%	149	-96	$1,738	$6,965,000	-	6
-	-	The End of the Tour	A24	$253,000	+105.3%	36	+32	$7,028	$428,000	-	2
-	-	Phoenix (2015)	IFC	$136,000	+183.2%	27	+23	$5,037	$259,000	-	3
-	-	Home (2015)	Fox	$85,000	-32.5%	159	-21	$535	$177,028,000	$135	20
-	-	The Stanford Prison Experiment	IFC	$80,000	-34.6%	66	-13	$1,212	$425,000	-	4
-	N	The Diary of a Teenage Girl	SPC	$55,000	-	4	-	$13,750	$55,000	-	1
-	-	I'll See You In My Dreams	BST	$44,000	-34.7%	80	+1	$550	$7,292,000	-	13
-	-	Love & Mercy	RAtt.	$44,000	-49.0%	62	-41	$710	$12,304,000	-	10
-	-	Listen to Me Marlon	SHO	$43,000	+43.0%	11	+9	$3,909	$102,000	-	2
-	-	Dope	ORF	$37,000	-49.5%	38	-30	$974	$16,647,000	$0.7	8
-	-	The Vatican Tapes	LGF	$28,000	-91.3%	52	-375	$538	$1,706,000	-	3
-	-	Samba	BG	$28,000	-28.3%	27	+5	$1,037	$119,000	-	3
-	N	Cop Car	Focus	$27,000	-	3	-	$9,000	$27,000	-	1
-	N	Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet	GK	$26,000	-	2	-	$13,000	$26,000	-	1
-	-	Cartel Land	Orch.	$22,000	-48.8%	25	-18	$880	$596,000	-	6
-	-	A LEGO Brickumentary	RTWC	$7,000	-83.8%	23	-70	$304	$84,000	-	2
-	N	Metropolitan (2015 re-release)	Rialto	$7,000	-	1	-	$7,000	$7,000	-	1
-	-	The Overnight	Orch.	$3,000	-66.7%	5	-3	$600	$1,102,000	-	8

[ACCA]

I love weekends like this. When the movie gods smile down upon us, and deliver absolute justice to horrible films.

 

Words do not even describe what an embarrassing failure Fantastic Four is. It's like re-living the release of Batman & Robin, except this case might be even worse.

 

This is definitely worse. Batman & Robin became a cult comedic hit. So such thing will happen here. Batman & Robin is a true piece of genius comedy filmmaking. Oh and, yes, it does happen to be a bad Batman film.

[The Panda]

The Gift straight up won the weekend. 12 not only shows an insane amount of growth over what tracking had it at, its IM indicates that it won't play like a summer horror movie or a Blumhouse pic. I wonder if 50 mil is on the table.

Great for MI5 too. Hope UNCLE doesn't do much damage.

The Gift over F4 DOM

[Lordmandeep]

JW did slow down a bit at the end, though 650 would be easy. 

[Jonwo]

September and October look pretty solid this year, Maze Runner and HT2 likely will break $100m+ domestically for September and I think The Martian will break out as well in October.

 

Going off-topic, I've been reading interviews with Ryan Kavanaugh and it's strange that he's taken no responsibility for the bankruptcy, it's clear he got too big for his boots with the expansion of his company, had he stuck with financing slates, he would be in this mess.

Edited August 9, 2015 by Jonwo

[The Panda]

September and October both look stronger than the July and August slates (minus Minions)

[grey ghost]

Edit: nvm 

Edited August 9, 2015 by grey ghost

[grim22]

Good start for STX. As long as they can keep the budgets low and risk minimal, they can survive. And if they can luck out on a major IP, they can become a mini Lionsgate.

[grey ghost]

You missed the entire point. Fantastic Four would travel to the X-Men Universe. So they wouldn't be beloved by the people either. Of course they can't be together in the same Universe, it would make 0 sense

 

Both character have always shared the same universe, Marvel Universe.

 

They just don't cross paths often because they have entirely different themes and tones.

[terrestrial]

Why are the Fantastic Four celebrated when the world hates the X-men? What is Professor X and Magneto fighting for and what the hell does that have to do with the Fantastic Four?

I think it's mostly bcs they are 'changed' bcs a single event and as such the numbers of changed ppl are 'contained'. No bad surprises for parents, no quiet fears about is he/she....

Fear is the base for a lot of hate

The comics differ rather a lot IMHO.

[4815162342]

Nothing will surprise or shock me. Nothing. Anything can happen at this point.

 

Even if Fox calls you up and says "Hey CJ, we know you know what the kiddies like from your spare time, how about you make us a family friendly sequel?"