XXR vs XXR Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, misafeco said: It could drop more than 50% this week (Mon-Sun). It mostly likely will. I'm modeling a 55% drop this week, then a 35% drop for the 3 weeks after. We will be at $955-$975 million by January 31st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 If you remove china from the top 5 worldwide, Star Wars is currently sitting at #3, little less than 500M behind Titanic, and 1B + behind Avatar. Bar a miracle in China, Avatar's record is safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Also, Anomalisa's wide release is going to be a glorious trainwreck whenever it happens. Looking forward to seeing it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Blan Solo said: Also, Anomalisa's wide release is going to be a glorious trainwreck whenever it happens. Looking forward to seeing it though. It is never gonna happen, IMO. At most they will expand it to 300-400 theaters at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 21 minutes ago, SteveJaros said: I will be shocked if TFA gets to $1 Billion DOM. Now that the holidays are over, expect the numbers to tumble. $875m sounds about right from here on out. DA FUQ did I just read lol 875m??? You think it will only make another 135m for the rest of its run? BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronJimbo Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 8 minutes ago, junkshop36 said: DA FUQ did I just read lol 875m??? You think it will only make another 135m for the rest of its run? BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!! It's almost like he did the numbers without using the BB8 multiplier xD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lumos Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 I really don't see how this could fail to hit 1b domestically. Even DH2 had a 3.86x from its third weekend going forward. Similar legs from this point on for TFA would get the film to 991m. Shouldn't be too difficult to push it past 1 billion. It's definitely not a lock at this point but i still think its VERY VERY likely.... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Fun fact According to boxofficemojo, The Twilight Saga: Eclipse is now the movie with the second-highest number of records aaaaand they're mostly related to its wide release http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/?page=byrecord&p=.htm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Vilmos Zsigmond died (cinematograph for e.g. Deer Hunter, Close Encounters of the Third Kind, Deliverance, Sugarland Express, The River, Black Dahlia,....) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LinksterAC Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 2 minutes ago, Lumos said: I really don't see how this could fail to hit 1b domestically. Even DH2 had a 3.86x from its third weekend going forward. Similar legs from this point on for TFA would get the film to 991m. Shouldn't be too difficult to push it past 1 billion. It's definitely not a lock at this point but i still think its VERY VERY likely.... Add to that an empty market place, and the fact that I think this movie plays really well to kids. After this week's hard drop, it should level off nicely and eclipse $1B. The only thing working against it is the digital release date in March. It may lose theaters quickly after January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MonstersandRoy Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 38 minutes ago, Darth Water Bottle said: For those having loading issues, they might be better now. Thanks :). Had been refreshing the page everytime i went on a page to view it for last few days. Thought it was my browser playing up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 So... Movies that missed at least a 4.0X multiplier (what TFA needs for $1b) that opened with at least $30m weekend from December 15 to December 25th: Sherlock Holmes 3.35X (Dec 25) Unbroken 3.78X (Dec 25) Marley and Me 3.94 (Dec 25) Tron Legacy 3.91 (Dec 17) Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events 3.95X (Dec 17) The other 13 movies all made at least a 4.0X multiplier Into the Woods Django Unchained Catch Me If You Can Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel Little Fockers Meet the Fockers Night at the Museum National Treasure: Book of Secrets The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers Avatar The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Obviously TFA is a different beast with it's huge opening weekend(s), but it seems reasonable that $1b is still in play. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 9 minutes ago, terrestrial said: Vilmos Zsigmond died (cinematograph for e.g. Deer Hunter, Close Encounters of the Third Kind, Deliverance, Sugarland Express, The River, Black Dahlia,....) Sad news. One of the few Hungarians who made a great career in Hollywood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxmoser3 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Star Wars passes 700 million domestic this weeknend, it should end its run with about 960 million. Daddy's Home is holding strong I'm thinking a total around 160 million won't be too bad for it. The Hateful 8 is doing below expectations but should hold up decent and make around 80 million domestic. Sisters is holding stronger than expected it should end its run with 80 million total.Chipmunks not doing horrible but will still fall short of 100 million. Joy doing eh, it should end its run with 65 million. The Big Short still doing decent and with golden globes and potential Oscar award nominations the film could hold well going forward and end its run between 60-70 million domestic total. Concussion doing ok, should probably break even for the studio and be Will Smith's lowest grossing film ever. Point Break still flopping, should end its run above 30 million. Mockingjay 2 still doing ok should make its way to 285 million domestic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 39 minutes ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said: And it will drop much less than 50% the next week. $900m is locked, even if it drops like a rock. I'm predicting about 950M-1B total. 950M is a safe bet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 35 minutes ago, junkshop36 said: DA FUQ did I just read lol 875m??? You think it will only make another 135m for the rest of its run? BWHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!! Epic theater drop? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deathlife Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 Is there a way to block the word "disappointing" in the TFA domestic thread? It simply does not make any sense to refer to this historic run as disappointing. 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, DAR said: Epic theater drop? Sure, about a month or so from now, at which point it won't matter because it will already be past 900m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted January 3, 2016 Share Posted January 3, 2016 5 minutes ago, Deathlife said: Is there a way to block the word "disappointing" in the TFA domestic thread? It simply does not make any sense to refer to this historic run as disappointing. Especially when you see stuff like this Fastest to $100m, $200m, $300m, $400m, $500m, $600m, $700m US Box Office Milestone Movie Days Total Gross to Date $50 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 1 $119,119,282 Full Chart $100 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 1 $119,119,282 Full Chart $150 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 2 $187,413,486 Full Chart $200 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 3 $247,966,675 Full Chart $250 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 4 $288,076,417 Full Chart $300 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 5 $325,438,146 Full Chart $350 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 6 $363,460,329 Full Chart $400 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 8 $440,181,717 Full Chart $450 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 9 $496,913,249 Full Chart $500 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 10 $540,058,914 Full Chart $550 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 11 $571,420,943 Full Chart $600 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 12 $600,949,526 Full Chart $650 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 14 $651,965,583 Full Chart $700 million Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens 16 $720,839,583 Full Chart $750 million Avatar 253 $750,999,186 Full Chart TOP SINGLE DAY GROSSES BY DAY OF THE WEEK Monday 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $40,109,742 4,134 $9,702 12/21/15 4 $288.1 $740.3 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $31,362,029 4,134 $7,586 12/28/15 11 $571.4 $740.3 3 Spider-Man 2 Sony $27,661,137 4,152 $6,662 7/05/04 6 $180.1 $373.6 4 Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull Par. $26,779,538 4,260 $6,286 5/26/08 5 $152.0 $317.1 5 Jurassic World Uni. $25,344,820 4,274 $5,930 6/15/15 4 $234.2 $652.3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#ED Posted January 3, 2016 Author Share Posted January 3, 2016 I'm in a really shitty mood right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
