The Panda Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 My predictions rn La La Land - 14 (BP, BD, Actress, Actor, OS, Cin, CD, Editing, PD, Score, SE, SM, 2 OS) Moonlight - 7 (BP, BD, S Actress, S Actor, OS, Cin, Editing) Manchester By the Sea - 6 (Picture, Director, Actor, S Actress, S Actor, OS) Fences - 6 (BP, Actor, Actress, S Actress, S Actor, AS) Arrival - 8 (BP, BD, Actress, AS, Cin, Editing, SE, VE) Silence - 11 (BP, BD, Actor, S Actor, AS, Cin, CD, Editing, PD, Score, SM) Jackie - 7 (BP, Actress, Cin, CD, Make Up, PD, Score) Hidden Figures - 3 (BP, S Actress, AS) Hell or High Water - 3 (BP, S Actor, OS) Passengers - 9 (Picture, Actress, OS, Editing, PD, Score, SE, SM, VE) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 Quote Passengers - 9 (Picture, Actress, OS, Editing, PD, Score, SE, SM, VE) Like this really ? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 (edited) Prediction nominations with winners in bold: 12 nominations: Silence: Best Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Makeup and Hairstyling, Production Design, Costume Design, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing 10 nominations: Arrival: Best Picture, Director, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing La La Land: Best Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Screenplay, Original Song x2, Cinematography, Editing, Sound Mixing 7 nominations: Jackie: Best Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Production Design, Score 6 nominations: Manchester by the Sea: Best Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing Moonlight: Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography 3 nominations: Fences: Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay Rogue One: Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing This got posted before I was finished Edited November 23, 2016 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 6 hours ago, BirdMan said: really ? Is there something everyone else knows about Passengers that I don't? Tyldum's an academy friendly director, JLaw has gotten nominated for nearly every serious role (that excludes Katniss and Mystique) she's played, the screenplay was apparently great. Plus, the academy has become increasingly more friendly to original/high end sci fi movies. The marketing has been weak, but I don't think that has any bearing on the actual movie quality? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 1 hour ago, ThePanda A Star Wars Story said: Is there something everyone else knows about Passengers that I don't? Tyldum's an academy friendly director, JLaw has gotten nominated for nearly every serious role (that excludes Katniss and Mystique) she's played, the screenplay was apparently great. Plus, the academy has become increasingly more friendly to original/high end sci fi movies. The marketing has been weak, but I don't think that has any bearing on the actual movie quality? The prognosticators aren't expecting it to be up for anything beyond techs. Basically the only people expecting it to be up for any of the big awards are JLaw stans. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Current Predicts: Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hidden Figues Jackie La La Land Manchester By The Sea Moonlight Silence Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 On 24/11/2016 at 5:50 AM, filmlover said: The prognosticators aren't expecting it to be up for anything beyond techs. Basically the only people expecting it to be up for any of the big awards are JLaw stans. There are some undeniable things that should be considered. - The fact that it could be an under the radar movie might be really helpful. - December opening. If this receives a solid reception and it's a nice BO hit, it won't have to face backlash/fatigue. - It could be the crowdpleaser of the year at Oscars. There is usually one in the expanded BP category. Like The Martian: another surprising hit with a talented team that wasn't really considered as a serious contender until it opened. Had The Martian opened in November/December, the awards heat would have been greater. - Besides La La Land buzz, there is really no other locked-huge BP contender. There are a lot of notable/great films, but most of them have their weaknesses. That means there is still room for December films to sneak in. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, stripe said: There are some undeniable things that should be considered. - Besides La La Land buzz, there is really no other locked-huge BP contender. There are a lot of notable/great films, but most of them have their weaknesses. That means there is still room for December films to sneak in. Manchester by the Sea, Moonlight, and Jackie are all locked in. And unless it's a bust, so is Silence. There hasn't been any word on it being a contender (in other words, no one knows when critics are seeing it, and it might drop too late to make a difference). But also, the movie dropping so late is making most skeptical of its quality. So there's no reason to really expect it to be a major contender. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 The Martian wasn't a surprising hit. If I remember right it had a Toronto premiere and immediately got strong enough reviews to be considered a part of the race. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 I am not saying Passengers will be nommed! But I wouldn't be shocked if it manages to gain traction. Until Toronto, The Martian was seen as a blockbuster. In August who would have thought it would become nommed? Only Scott fans. Other similar BP nominee? The Blind Side. Who would have thought that prior to its release? Manchester by the sea? It's almost in but it can (I don't think it will) be buried against the huge amount of buzz from December films (La La Land, Hidden Figures, Silence, Fences, Jackie... Passengers?). Same with Moonlight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 21 minutes ago, stripe said: I am not saying Passengers will be nommed! But I wouldn't be shocked if it manages to gain traction. Might be too late for that to happen, though. Needed a premiere at AFI or something if it really wanted to build buzz. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Golden globe predicts DRAMA Arrival Fences (Replace with Lion if it's not ready by the time of the globes) Manchester By The Sea Moonlight Jackie COMEDY/MUSICAL 20th Century Women Florence Foster Jenkins The Jungle Book La La Land Love & Friendship The Drama category is much more of a wild card, let alone if Paramount can get Fences/Silence in for consideration on time. As for Comedy/Musical, there's basically no scenario in which La La Land doesn't win, so it's really a matter of guessing what else will get nominated. 20CW may be the only other lock for the category, with FFJ as the next best bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 (edited) I see La La Land being the first movie to win five Globes since Midnight Express 38 years ago (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Song). If they don't disqualify it from Original Score, it could be the third winner of six Globes in history. Drama could be crazy, Fences, Silence, Manchester and Moonlight all stand a chance of winning. But if both Fences and Silence aren't screened early enough I'd say that more or less clears the path for Manchester to take Best Drama, Best Actor - Drama and Best Screenplay. Edited November 28, 2016 by Jake Gittes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 Today NBR announces its winners! And yesterday Moonlight won BP at Gotham Awards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 1 hour ago, stripe said: Today NBR announces its winners! Get ready to see their WB/Eastwood love affair continue. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAR Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 (edited) So what are the locks so far: La La Land Moonlight Manchester by the Sea Arrival Silence ?? Edited December 5, 2016 by DAR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 5, 2016 Share Posted December 5, 2016 1 minute ago, DAR said: So what are the locks so far: La La Land Moonlight Manchester by the Sea Arrival Silence ?? hell or high water looks pretty good too. but yeah i'd say that's it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BirdMan Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 About Silence , reviews aren't out yet , it hasn't won any significant awards for all we know it COULD be the next billy lynn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 2 hours ago, BirdMan said: About Silence , reviews aren't out yet , it hasn't won any significant awards for all we know it COULD be the next billy lynn lol no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahnamahna Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 On 11/28/2016 at 1:39 PM, Spaghetti said: Golden globe predicts DRAMA Arrival Fences (Replace with Lion if it's not ready by the time of the globes) Manchester By The Sea Moonlight Jackie COMEDY/MUSICAL 20th Century Women Florence Foster Jenkins The Jungle Book La La Land Love & Friendship The Drama category is much more of a wild card, let alone if Paramount can get Fences/Silence in for consideration on time. As for Comedy/Musical, there's basically no scenario in which La La Land doesn't win, so it's really a matter of guessing what else will get nominated. 20CW may be the only other lock for the category, with FFJ as the next best bet. Sadly you're probably right about only 2 of the 5 nominees for Comedy/Musical actually being a musical or comedy. If a Disney film were to be nominated, Zootopia and Moana are the ones that actually fit the category Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
