Jake Gittes Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Carol and The Hateful Eight were just too good for Best Picture nominations. Lion looks just Weinsteiningly mediocre enough to get in. I really hope the last two Best Director slots go to Mackenzie and Scorsese. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 I am watching Sing Street right now. Does anyone think this has a shot at a best pic nom? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 4 hours ago, Matrix4You said: I am watching Sing Street right now. Does anyone think this has a shot at a best pic nom? It has zero shot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 8, 2017 Share Posted January 8, 2017 Sing Street is a really good film though. It's a shame the odds are against it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 (edited) Maybe overreacting to globes sweep but llland could honestly make a run for tying the record for most wins with 11. Picture, director, actress, screenplay, cinematography, production design, costumes, editing, sound mixing, song, score... doesn't seem unrealistic to me. Edited January 9, 2017 by CoolioD1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said: Maybe overreacting to globes weep but llland could honestly make a run for tying the record for most wins with 11. Picture, director, actress, screenplay, cinematography, production design, costumes, editing, sound mixing, song, score... doesn't seem unrealistic to me. It's possible, but I still see Editing going to Arrival and Screenplay to Manchester. WGA will tell us more on the latter at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 I feel like Moonlight beating out Manchester for Best Drama at the Globes was significant. I'm just not sure how significant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 3 hours ago, CoolioD1 said: Maybe overreacting to globes sweep but llland could honestly make a run for tying the record for most wins with 11. Picture, director, actress, screenplay, cinematography, production design, costumes, editing, sound mixing, song, score... doesn't seem unrealistic to me. That mere possibility is just mindblowing I would say that there is a real/huge chance for La la Land wins in 7 categories: Picture, director, actress, cinematography, sound mixing, song and score. I am feeling stronger competition in Editing, Costumes, Production Design and Original Screenplay. Let's guess it wins two of these categories. It would mean 9 Oscars!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 I'd say Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Sound Mixing, Song, Score, Production Design and Costumes all range from likely to pretty much locked, while Actress is a toss-up (I don't think Portman is out at all, and now there's a very slim but still a possibility of Huppert too), and Screenplay still likely goes to MBTS. I think it gets somewhere between 8 and 10 statues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 9, 2017 Share Posted January 9, 2017 This could be one of the very few years with no nommed movie over 100M once nominations are announced. With the expanded category, it only happened in 2014. There could be 3 movies relatively close to that mark (HF, LLL, and Arrival) before the 24th of Jan. Anyways, this year potential BP movies are doing way better than 2014's. The average gross that year once nominations were announced was a pitty 25M My BP lineup and their grosses before nominations Arrival - 96M La La Land - 85M Hidden Figures - 80M Hacksaw Ridge - 66M Fences - 55M Manchester by the Sea - 40M Hell or High Water - 27M Moonlight - 15M Lion - 15M That's 479M 53M per movie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 11, 2017 Author Share Posted January 11, 2017 Okay this will be the first time since 2007 I saw no nominations before the Oscars are announced given the current predictions. Edit: Forgot about 2014-considering I didn't see Hotel till the day of the Oscars and Sniper was released wide after the nominations were announced. Not sure if I'm that interested in most of the contenders except maybe Hacksaw and Hell Over High Water. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dxmatrixdt Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 (edited) Editing this! I forgot the Founder. I havent seen it but I am going to give it an outside chance! my rankings 1. La La Land 2. Moonlight 3. Manchester by the Sea 4. Hacksaw Ridge 5. Lion 6. Hell or High Water 7. Arrival 8. Hidden Figures (not seen) 9.Fences 10. Sully 11. The Founder (not seen) 12. Silence (not seen) 13. Jackie (not seen) 14. 20th Century Women (not seen) The Lobster Loving Zootopia Sing Street Captain Fantastic A Monster Calls Florence Foster Jenkins Patriots Day (not seen) Queen of Katwe (not seen) Edited January 14, 2017 by Matrix4You Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted January 11, 2017 Author Share Posted January 11, 2017 Would love to see Sully get in-but I doubt it will now. I will probably see Patriot's Day on Friday. Anyway-was going to do the Oscar nomination prediction game but forgot to put it up this year! I still could do it though... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 11, 2017 Share Posted January 11, 2017 I'm going all in on Nocturnal Animals and Deadpool: Spoiler Picture: 1. La La Land 2. Manchester by the Sea 3. Moonlight 4. Hell or High Water 5. Arrival 6. Hacksaw Ridge 7. Lion 8. Deadpool 9. Nocturnal Animals Alt: Hidden Figures Director: 1. Damien Chazelle, La La Land 2. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea 3. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight 4. Denis Villenueve, Arrival 5. Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge Alt: Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals Actor: 1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea 2. Denzel Washington, Fences 3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land 4. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge 5. Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool Alt: Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Actress: 1. Emma Stone, La La Land 2. Natalie Portman, Jackie 3. Amy Adams, Arrival 4. Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins 5. Isabelle Huppert, Elle Alt: Emily Blunt, The Girl on the Train Supporting Actor: 1. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water 2. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight 3. Dev Patel, Lion 4. Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals 5. Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea Alt: Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins Supporting Actress: 1. Viola Davis, Fences 2. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea 3. Naomie Harris, Moonlight 4. Nicole Kidman, Lion 5. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Alt: Janelle Monae, Hidden Figures Original Screenplay: 1. La La Land 2. Manchester by the Sea 3. Hell or High Water 4. The Lobster 5. Jackie Alt: Zootopia Adapted Screenplay: 1. Moonlight 2. Arrival 3. Lion 4. Nocturnal Animals 5. Deadpool Alt: Fences Animated: 1. Zootopia 2. Moana 3. Kubo and the Two Strings 4. The Red Turtle 5. Finding Dory Alt: My Life as a Zucchini Foreign Language: 1. Toni Erdmann 2. The Salesman 3. Land of Mine 4. A Man Called Ove 5. My Life as a Zucchini Alt: Paradise Documentary: 1. OJ: Made in America 2. Weiner 3. 13th 4. Gleason 5. Life, Animated Alt: Fire at Sea Editing: 1. Arrival 2. La La Land 3. Hell or High Water 4. Hacksaw Ridge 5. Moonlight Alt: Manchester by the Sea Cinematography: 1. La La Land 2. Arrival 3. Moonlight 4. Nocturnal Animals 5. Jackie Alt: Silence Visual Effects: 1. Doctor Strange 2. The Jungle Book 3. Arrival 4. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 5. Deepwater Horizon Alt: Kubo and the Two Strings Costume Design: 1. La La Land 2. Jackie 3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 4. Silence 5. The Handmaiden Alt: Florence Foster Jenkins Production Design: 1. La La Land 2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 3. Silence 4. Jackie 5. Arrival Alt: The Handmaiden Makeup and Hairstyling: 1. Deadpool 2. Star Trek Beyond 3. A Man Called Ove Alt: Suicide Squad Score: 1. La La Land 2. Jackie 3. Moonlight 4. Lion 5. Nocturnal Animals Alt: The BFG Song: 1. City of Stars, La La Land 2. Audition, La La Land 3. How Far I'll Go, Moana 4. I'm So Humble, Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping 5. Drive It Like You Stole It, Sing Street Alt: We Know the Way, Moana Sound Editing: 1. Hacksaw Ridge 2. Arrival 3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 4. Deepwater Horizon 5. Hell or High Water Alt: Deadpool Sound Mixing: 1. La La Land 2. Hacksaw Ridge 3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 4. Silence 5. Doctor Strange Alt: Arrival Wins and Nominations: 14 nominations: La La Land (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design, Score, Song x2, Sound Mixing) 8 nominations: Arrival (Picture, Director, Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Visual Effects, Sound Editing) 7 nominations: Moonlight (Picture, Director, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Score) 6 nominations: Hacksaw Ridge (Picture, Director, Actor, Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing), Jackie (Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume Design, Production Design, Score), Manchester by the Sea (Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay) 5 nominations: Hell or High Water (Picture, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing, Sound Editing), Lion (Picture, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Adapted Screenplay, Score), Nocturnal Animals (Picture, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Score) 4 nominations: Deadpool (Picture, Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Makeup and Hairstyling) 3 nominations: Rogue One (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing), Silence (Costume Design, Production Design, Sound Mixing) 2 nominations: Deepwater Horizon (Visual Effects, Sound Editing), Doctor Strange (Visual Effects, Sound Mixing), Fantastic Beasts (Costume Design, Production Design), A Man Called Ove (Foreign, Makeup and Hairstyling), Moana (Animated Feature, Song) The hardest part for ATJ will be getting the nomination; if he gets it, I'm going to start predicting him for the win. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 Thanks to Hidden Figures' success at the box office as of late, I think it's got more of a chance at a nomination. When it comes to box office, Hidden Figures certainly displayed it's Hidden Figures in terms of cash. (I'm sorry, the joke was too good to pass up.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 I just hope Nocturnal Animals gets barely any nominations and doesn't win anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 (edited) voting for oscars already closed and pretty much all the precursors have spoken up so these will be my final predictions. speaking of which is @Impact putting up the game this year? so predictions: Spoiler Picture: Arrival Fences Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water Hidden Figures La La Land Lion Manchester By The Sea Moonlight Alt: Silence Director: Denis Villeneuve, Arrival Damien Chazelle, La La Land Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By The Sea Barry Jenkins, Moonlight Martin Scorsese, Silence Alt: Garth Davis, Lion Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester By The Sea Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge Ryan Gosling, La La Land Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic Denzel Washington, Fences Alt: Jake Gyllenhaal, Nocturnal Animals Actress: Amy Adams, Arrival Isabelle Huppert, Elle Natalie Portman, Jackie Emma Stone, La La Land Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins Alt: Taraji P. Henson, Hidden Figures Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins Lucas Hedges, Manchester By The Sea Dev Patel, Lion Alt: Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences Naomie Harris, Moonlight Nicole Kidman, Lion Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures Michelle Williams, Manchester By The Sea Alt: Janelle Monae, Hidden Figures Original Screenplay: Florence Foster Jenkins Hell or High Water La La Land The Lobster Manchester By The Sea Alt: Captain Fantastic Adapted Screenplay: Arrival Fences Hidden Figures Lion Moonlight Alt: Nocturnal Animals Animation: Kubo & the Two Strings Moana My Life as a Zucchini The Red Turtle Zootopia Alt: Finding Dory Documentary: The Eagle Huntress I Am Not Your Negro OJ: Made in America 13th Weiner Alt: Fire at Sea Foreign Language Film Land of Mine Toni Erdmann The Salesman Paradise A Man Called Ove Alt: My Life as a Zucchini Cinematography: Arrival La La Land Lion Moonlight Silence Alt: Nocturnal Animals Costume Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Florence Foster Jenkins Jackie La La Land Love & Friendship Alt: Hail, Caesar! Production Design: Arrival Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Hail, Caesar! La La Land Silence Alt: Doctor Strange Editing: Arrival Hacksaw Ridge Hell or High Water La La Land Manchester By The Sea Alt: Moonlight Make-up Florence Foster Jenkins A Man Called Ove Star Trek Beyond Alt: Deadpool Sound Editing: Arrival Deadpool Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Alt: The Jungle Book Sound Mixing: Arrival Deepwater Horizon Hacksaw Ridge La La Land Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Alt: The Jungle Book Original Score: The BFG Jackie La La Land Lion Nocturnal Animals Alt: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them Original Song: City of Stars from La La Land Drive it Like You Stole It from Sing Street How Far I'll Go from Moana I'm So Humble from Popstar (lol, let a man dream) Letter to the Free from 13th Alt: Audition from La La Land Visual Effects: Arrival The BFG Doctor Strange The Jungle Book Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Alt: Deepwater Horizon. Edited January 15, 2017 by CoolioD1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 I'm really getting a strong feeling that ATJ is gonna kick Hedges out, unfortunately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 1 hour ago, filmlover said: I'm really getting a strong feeling that ATJ is gonna kick Hedges out, unfortunately. BAFTA rarely gets all 5 nominees correct. I think Grant gets kicked out since he made BAFTA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 15, 2017 Share Posted January 15, 2017 4 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: BAFTA rarely gets all 5 nominees correct. I think Grant gets kicked out since he made BAFTA. I don't know, I'm looking more at the trend of the Academy's habit of not skewing that young in the male categories. I very much doubt we're going to end up with three under-30 actors (Hedges, Johnson, Patel) in one category and Hedges is the one who appears most vulnerable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
