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Bishop54

Weekend Thread: Grimsby Bros leads the way with massive 3.1M, 10CL has decent 25.2M, Zootopia crumbles to $50M ;) P.31

By Bishop54, in Numbers and Data

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Maxmoser3 Blockbuster

Maxmoser3

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Audiences both traveled to Zootopia and 10 Cloverfield Lane this weekend. Zootopia still remains on the top spot with a solid estimated 50 million and earning over 142 million domestic and over 400 million worldwide. Zootopia should still hold up strong and make its way close to 250 million domestic. 10 Cloverfield Lane had a solid start with an estimated 25.5 million this weekend while it wasn't as big as Cloverfield was back in 2008, 10 Cloverfield Lane can possibly hold better than that film did. Overall 10 Cloverfield Lane should earn close to 60 million domestic. While on it's five weekend, Deadpool still managed to make it past the 10 million mark and is coming close to Marvel's Guardians Of The Galaxy very soon and should have one more week to have a sucessful hold until Batman Vs. Superman:Dawn Of Justice. Deadpool should end its run around 370 million domestic. London Has Fallen took a so-so drop but was a better drop than its predcessor (although GI Joe:Retaliation was competition that weekend) so London will fall between 35-40 million less than its predcessor and make between 55-65 million domestic. Whiskey Tango Foxtrot had a decent drop this weekend below 40% and should come close to 25 million domestic. The Perfect Match had an alright start for a film being released in less than 1,000 screens this weekend but will probably fade away quickly and make close to 10 million domestic. The Young Messiah had a bleh start around 3.7 million this weekend, well below the debut of this year's Risen, 2014's God's Not Dead, and even last year's Do You Believe? With Miracles In Heaven coming out in a few days, Young Messiah will probably earn less than 10 million domestic. Even worse, the delayed Sacha Baron Cohen action comedy The Brothers Grimsby bombed this weekend with an estimated 3.1 million below the likes of other comedy bombs such as Unfinished Business, and  Macgruber. Even with the marketing that Sony had with the spot involving The Jimmy Kimmel Show with the scene that was too explicit for television, and some of the controversies involving Sacha Baron Cohen's comment involving Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and AIDS. It just seemed that no one really bothered to see the film although it did have a solid B+ on Cinemascore. The Brothers Grimsby will disappear before the end of March and make 7-8 million domestic. 

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GiantCALBears Global Phenomenon

GiantCALBears

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14 minutes ago, Kung Fu Panda Tree said:

What makes you guys so sure they are fudging numbers? There are plenty of very small theatres, especially ones in small towns, that get movies many months after they release, but can still pack out their showings because for their audience, it is only just opening. This is particularly true for older audiences (and Bond is a popular film for them)

 

It's already out on blu ray, use common sense here. No one is going to see it outside of free or heavily discounted tickets.

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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Well, there was no way Sony was letting SPECTRE be the only movie in history ending between 199-200M. They screwed up the expansion strategy and now have to fudge it over the milestone. It got close enough without any fudging that not pushing it would have been unprecedented.

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GiantCALBears Global Phenomenon

GiantCALBears

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7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Well, there was no way Sony was letting SPECTRE be the only movie in history ending between 199-200M. They screwed up the expansion strategy and now have to fudge it over the milestone. It got close enough without any fudging that not pushing it would have been unprecedented.

 

No one has proven these round milestones mean anything in blu ray sales, tv rights fees, etc. My guess is it's all bonuses for executives and/or the studios in general. Otherwise it's a laughable waste of money to get it over the line.

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

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Just now, GiantCALBears said:

 

No one has proven these round milestones mean anything in blu ray sales, tv rights fees, etc. My guess is it's all bonuses for executives and/or the studios in general. Otherwise it's a laughable waste of money to get it over the line.

 

Rth mentioned that a 200M movie gets more from tv rights compared to a 199M movie. Similar to a 100M vs 99M movie. Must have something to do with negotiated slab rates or something.

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GiantCALBears Global Phenomenon

GiantCALBears

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Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

Rth mentioned that a 200M movie gets more from tv rights compared to a 199M movie. Similar to a 100M vs 99M movie. Must have something to do with negotiated slab rates or something.

 

We got to get a thread and some solid research on this. Seems like a pretty fascinating concept honestly. It's certainly not to appease BO enthusiasts that's for sure ;).

Edited by GiantCALBears
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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

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28 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Please, it was already expanded a couple times and didn't make numbers a fraction of that even when it hit discount theaters and did a 2 for sale.  It's PTA went up SIX times from last week.  These small towns getting a movie 5 months later also probably pay less than $5 a ticket in "theaters" that might hold 50 people and populations not big enough to fill 4 showings for even one day.  But maybe they all bought multiple tickets and saw the movie 5 times each.

 

 

 

 

 

Old people loosing count of how many tickets they bought and how many times they saw the same movie :lol:

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

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If Sony was gonna fudge it so badly that it's easily noticeable, why not push it to 200m this weekend itself? They could have just made this weekend's PTA 12x of last weekend and be done with it.

Edited by a2knet
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GiantCALBears Global Phenomenon

GiantCALBears

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1 minute ago, a2knet said:

If Sony was gonna fudge it so badly that it's easily noticeable, why not push it to 200m this weekend itself? They could have just made this weekend's PTA 12x of last weekend and be done with it.

Watch what happens the weekend after this hits $200m, it will virtually disappear from theaters remaining and the charts. It's easily noticeable to us because we dig into the numbers and know what to expect, not most.

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Jim Shorts Blockbuster

Jim Shorts

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Honestly, I don't see why Craig just doesn't push this over himself by buying out a weekend somewhere.  If 200m gets the studio more money from tv rights, I'm sure somewhere in his contract, he'll get more also.  He'd eventually get all that money back.

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