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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

eh? what are you on about

 

Olives was talking about a half-black panther, I'm not sure what colour half-black is meant to be?

That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did.

 

I don't think so however, pre sales are good.  I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea.

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1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Alita (7 days out)

 

Midnight - 672k

OD - 4.08m (29%) (33353 shows)

Sat - 1.49m

Sun - 727k

 

Total - ¥6.96mn or $1.03mn

Should be 6 days out

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did.

 

I don't think so however, pre sales are good.  I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea.

Maybe Olive meant that Alita's PS was close to half of what BP was at the same point in time. 

 

OD PS of some other movies 6 days out

Venom - 8.46m (60934 shows)

Black Panther - 6.82m (33509 shows)

Spiderman Homecoming - 6m

Ant Man 2 -  5.87m (42587 shows)

Aquaman - 5.1m (43698 shows) <-- only second day of PS

Bumblebee - 4.86m (51020 shows)

Guardians of the galaxy 2 - 3.2m

 

PS heading to about 30-40m range based on data at this point. Show count still lags though. OW could be in the 50's USD range if ratings are good but we will have a clearer idea closer to release. 

 

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11 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

PS heading to about 30-40m range based on data at this point. Show count still lags though. OW could be in the 50's USD range if ratings are good but we will have a clearer idea closer to release. 

 

i concur

 

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

That 32 and 50 is half of what Panther did.

 

I don't think so however, pre sales are good.  I haven't checked them for non CBM movies so can't really tell how good they are until Monday. @POTUS and @ZeeSoh will have better idea.

PS at 4.08.  Should increase roughly (douban rating can affect this)

S  25%    5.1m

S  25%    6.4

M 35%    8.6

T  40%   12 

W 40%   16.9

Th 75%   29.5m  Final PS 

Average PSm 3.5.   Good/bad Maoyan rating can boost it to 4 or drop it to 3

OD   103m 

Fri Multi average is 3.3.   Again rating can drop it under 3 or well over 4

OW  340m/$50.3m    

If its poorly received all 3 factors can be affected by 10% or more. PS= 25  PSm =3  FriM= 3 and its just 225m/$33m

or the opposite like BBee where it was looking low $40s OW but a good rating pushed the PSm to 4 and the  FriM to 3.67 and $59m OW

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1 hour ago, POTUS said:

i concur

 

PS at 4.08.  Should increase roughly (douban rating can affect this)

S  25%    5.1m

S  25%    6.4

M 35%    8.6

T  40%   12 

W 40%   16.9

Th 75%   29.5m  Final PS 

Average PSm 3.5.   Good/bad Maoyan rating can boost it to 4 or drop it to 3

OD   103m 

Fri Multi average is 3.3.   Again rating can drop it under 3 or well over 4

OW  340m/$50.3m    

If its poorly received all 3 factors can be affected by 10% or more. PS= 25  PSm =3  FriM= 3 and its just 225m/$33m

or the opposite like BBee where it was looking low $40s OW but a good rating pushed the PSm to 4 and the  FriM to 3.67 and $59m OW

how is the buzz for alita ?

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16 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Alita looks healthy. Not huge for the OW, but the Cameronites are hoping for big legs anyway.      

 

CM PS should start up next weekend, right?

 

I think $100 million would be a successful total for a film like Alita, although I'm a bit concerned about its legs when it has HTTYD3 (buzz seems good for an animated film) just one week after and Captain Marvel the week immediately after that. 

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4 hours ago, justvision said:

Shall I say childish then. Or Cameronitish...

If you pretended not to understand what 0.5BP meant, yet you know what 0.5A means, then you deserved to be called out for silliness.

O.5A would be $60M.

 

Edited by efialtes76
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On 2/16/2019 at 12:56 AM, Charlie Jatinder said:

Alita (6 days out)

 

Midnight - 672k

OD - 4.08m (29%) (33353 shows)

Sat - 1.49m

Sun - 727k

 

Total - ¥6.96mn or $1.03mn

Alita (5 days out)

 

Midnight - 794k

OD - 4.95m (21.32%) (37098 shows)

Sat - 1.73m

Sun - 1.03m

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4 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

How to Train Your Dragon 3 has started presales a few days ago, at ¥779k OD with 12k shows.

 

Green Book also opening that day (March 1st) with ¥48k and 1k shows at the moment.

any predictions the last one made 65 million there can this hit 80 million ? even though captain marvel will cut its  legs and animation is not that big in china 

 

 

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1 minute ago, john2000 said:

any predictions the last one made 65 million there can this hit 80 million ? even though captain marvel will cut its  legs and animation is not that big in china 

 

 

I'm not sure, still too far out on presales. This is the one market I hope it doesn't disappoint as I really loved the movie!

 

Will need to see how its presales change over the next week and how many shows get added.

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31 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

How to Train Your Dragon 3 has started presales a few days ago, at ¥779k OD with 12k shows.

 

Green Book also opening that day (March 1st) with ¥48k and 1k shows at the moment.

HTTYD3  will have previews on February 23rd.

Edited by efialtes76
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