Wotad Posted April 3, 2019 Share Posted April 3, 2019 35 minutes ago, Thiago said: What do you think will be the numbers in the end of its run? It all depends it could open higher then 40m with good WOM and hit 100m or under 40m with bad WOM and maybe only 70m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 3, 2019 Share Posted April 3, 2019 With the presales not picking up pace... and Avengers releasing on 24th... I'm afraid 250/500 has started to look like the best case scenario for Shazam! , unless it gets exceptional WOM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 (edited) 8 hours ago, Fake said: With the presales not picking up pace... and Avengers releasing on 24th... I'm afraid 250/500 has started to look like the best case scenario for Shazam! , unless it gets exceptional WOM. A $500M worldwide for Shazam isn't bad though. It only has $100M budget. I'm pretty sure it will be profitable at that gross. Or do you mean 250M yuan OW/500M yuan total in China? Edited April 4, 2019 by UserHN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 1 minute ago, UserHN said: A $500M worldwide for Shazam isn't bad though. It only has $100M budget. I'm pretty sure it will be profitable at that gross. Or do you mean 250M yuan OW/500M yuan total in China? On the China box office board / china pre-sales thread I would always assume numbers are CBO and in Yuan unless specified otherwise (or obviously small if they would be Yuan for the movie) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Considering how it's doing right before the opening in the US 75 million total in China would be lucky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wotad Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 38 minutes ago, cdsacken said: Considering how it's doing right before the opening in the US 75 million total in China would be lucky WW had 37m and reached 90m.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Oh I believe it's possible to have good legs in China. I was more referring to the total lack of presales and little mention of Shazam on social media. Wonder Woman also isn't very similar to this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 23 hours ago, VenomXXR said: + 68.8k the last 24h on Maoyan for Endgame. 802.2k total now and 6 straight days over IW highest day. 802.2k @ 11am CST - April 3 863.4k @ 11am CST - April 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 10 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: 802.2k @ 11am CST - April 3 863.4k @ 11am CST - April 4 Over 2.5M is coming 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Presales finishing with 24.5M. Quite a huge jump. Maybe the day being a holiday is skewing things. Consequently, as for multiplier, I have no idea whether it will follow the normal 4-4.5x multiplier or not. We will have a fair idea after 2PM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 4, 2019 Author Share Posted April 4, 2019 (edited) PS start in HK 3 hours ago, some showtimes are already sold-out.. https://hkmovie6.com/movie/48790#showtimes Red showtimes are sold-out ones or close. Edited April 4, 2019 by Olive 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 8 minutes ago, Olive said: PS start in HK 3 hours ago, some showtimes are already sold-out.. https://hkmovie6.com/movie/48790#showtimes Red showtimes are sold-out ones or close. China should be early next week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 4, 2019 Author Share Posted April 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: China should be early next week? some say 4/8, not confirmed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 On 4/3/2019 at 11:37 PM, ZeeSoh said: Shazam (1 day out) Midnight - 2.07m OD - 9.38m (+54.5%) (86787 shows) Sat - 2.60m Sun - 1.70m Shazam (Final) OD - 24.6m (+162.3%) (123,373 shows) Sat - 4.87m Sun - 2.57m Finally some good news for Shazam. Thats the biggest final day PS jump I have seen for movies i have tracked! The second highest was Thor Ragnarok with a 100% jump on final day. Speaking of Thor Ragnarok, thanks to its huge final day jump Shazam overtook Thor Ragnarok in OD PS and is no longer the lowest one. OD PS Sat PS Sun PS Shows Ant-Man 2 46.6 14.9 6.63 141372 Justice league 26 11.75 4.93 111428 Shazam 24.6 4.87 2.57 123373 Thor Ragnarok 24.2 - - - I would like to point out the huge gap between the OD PS and the Sat/Sun PS for Shazam. It is the biggest gap i have seen for any movie. The closest one i could find was Ant Man 2 which is why I included it. Ant man 2 had some of the lowest internal multi for a SH movie. This cements the fact that the holiday tomorrow is definitely skewing the PS and we will see a low internal multi probably. Show count is also low for a SH movie in comparisons to SH movies of the past 1.5 years but comparable to SH movies from 2017 and before PS to OW multi Shazam OW with same multi Captain Marvel 8.14 29.81 Black panther 9.27 33.95 Ant-Man 2 9.97 36.51 Justice league 13.26 48.56 Thor Ragnarok 14.96 54.79 Aquaman 18.06 66.14 The comparisons are all over the place. But we can eliminate at least the top 2 and bottom 2 which gives a range between 37-48. Narrowing it down I will put it between 37-45m which is still a big range I know but the holiday on OD is throwing everything off. With reviews being luke warm at best from Douban and other Asian markets I will not be surprised if it comes towards the lower end of the range 2 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shuotong Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Shazam starts with a 8.1 rating on Taopiaopiao. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 24 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said: Shazam (Final) OD - 24.6m (+162.3%) (123,373 shows) Sat - 4.87m Sun - 2.57m Finally some good news for Shazam. Thats the biggest final day PS jump I have seen for movies i have tracked! The second highest was Thor Ragnarok with a 100% jump on final day. Speaking of Thor Ragnarok, thanks to its huge final day jump Shazam overtook Thor Ragnarok in OD PS and is no longer the lowest one. OD PS Sat PS Sun PS Shows Ant-Man 2 46.6 14.9 6.63 141372 Justice league 26 11.75 4.93 111428 Shazam 24.6 4.87 2.57 123373 Thor Ragnarok 24.2 - - - I would like to point out the huge gap between the OD PS and the Sat/Sun PS for Shazam. It is the biggest gap i have seen for any movie. The closest one i could find was Ant Man 2 which is why I included it. Ant man 2 had some of the lowest internal multi for a SH movie. This cements the fact that the holiday tomorrow is definitely skewing the PS and we will see a low internal multi probably. Show count is also low for a SH movie in comparisons to SH movies of the past 1.5 years but comparable to SH movies from 2017 and before PS to OW multi Shazam OW with same multi Captain Marvel 8.14 29.81 Black panther 9.27 33.95 Ant-Man 2 9.97 36.51 Justice league 13.26 48.56 Thor Ragnarok 14.96 54.79 Aquaman 18.06 66.14 The comparisons are all over the place. But we can eliminate at least the top 2 and bottom 2 which gives a range between 37-48. Narrowing it down I will put it between 37-45m which is still a big range I know but the holiday on OD is throwing everything off. With reviews being luke warm at best from Douban and other Asian markets I will not be surprised if it comes towards the lower end of the range Pretty close to Gavin’s 35-45 the other day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shuotong Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 Tragic news, Shazam starts with a 7.8 rating on Maoyan... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 (edited) 23 hours ago, VenomXXR said: 802.2k @ 11am CST - April 3 863.4k @ 11am CST - April 4 928.5k @ 11am CST - April 5 Will definitely hit a million by Sunday, but could do it Saturday. For reference, IW hit a final number of 1.15m! Edited April 5, 2019 by VenomXXR 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 (edited) 8 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: 928.5k @ 11am CST - April 5 Will definitely hit a million by Sunday, but could do it Saturday. For reference, IW hit a final number of 1.15m! It’s another increase over 60k What if every day from the release date announcement until it opens has a bigger jump than IW’s biggest Edited April 5, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted April 5, 2019 Share Posted April 5, 2019 @POTUS 2020 @Olive @firedeep With the way presale numbers are dropping around the globe, and the massive hype that Endgame is having in China; is it crazy to believe that it can deliver ¥600m - ¥700m PS? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
