Weekend Thread | The Jungle Book - Early Weekend Estimates 101m - 103m (DHD - Page 59) (Fri 32m, Sat 41.5m-42m) | RTH Saturday Early Est = 40-44M (Page 46) | Barbershop TNC - Est 20.4m (DHD) | Boss -59% | Hardcore Henry epic -71%

[Bishop54]

2 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

So where's BvsS stand at?? I'm not seeing it's number in the title, or do people just not care anymore and JUNGLE BOOK has stolen it's thunder???

$9M weekend.

[efialtes76]

Just now, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

 

And to think, this was unimaginable back in January.. MARVEL was deemed a has been and BvsS was supposed to be WB/DC's version of The AVENGERS and it can't even get the job done..

i think that DC's version of the Avengers is the JL.

[a2k]

20 minutes ago, abra said:

Here are the Sunday estimates:

1). The Jungle Book (DIS), 4,028 theaters / $32.4M Fri. (includes $4.2M previews) / $41.1M Sat. (+27%) / $26.7M Sun. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $100M to $102M / Wk 1

2). Barbershop: The Next Cut (WB), 2,661 theaters / $7M Fri. (includes $735K previews) / $8.15M Sat. (+17%) / $4.9M Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $20M+ / Wk 1

3). The Boss (UNI), 3,495 theaters (+15) / $3M Fri. / $4.4M Sat. (+43%) / $2.6M Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $10M+ (-57%) / Total cume: $40.3M / Wk 2

4). Batman v Superman (WB), 3,505 theaters (-597) / $2.36M Fri. / $4.1M Sat. (+70%) / $2.68 Sun. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $9.2M / Total cume: $307M+ / Wk 4

5). Zootopia (DIS), 3,209 theaters (-235) / $2.1M Fri. / $3.6M Sat. (+73%) / $2.4M Sun. (-43%). / 3-day cume: $8.1M / Total cume: $311.5M / Wk 7

6). Criminal (LGF), 2,683 theaters / $2M Fri. / $2.27M Sat. (+12%) / $1.3M Sun. (-40%) / 3-day cume: $5.67M to $5.8M / Wk 1

7). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 (UNI), 2,297 theaters (-730) / $988K Fri. / $1.4M Sat. (+48%) / $M Sun. (-45%) / 3-day cume: $3.2M / Total cume: $52M / Wk 4

8). Miracles From Heaven (SONY), 2,082 theaters (-701) / $535K Fri. / $823K Sat. (+53%) / $530K Sun. (-60%) / 3-day cume: $1.87M /  Total cume: $56.9M / Wk 5

9). God’s Not Dead 2 (PURE), 1,585 theaters (-769) / $485K to $490K Fri. / $673K Sat. (+39%) / $570K Sun. (-15%) / 3-day cume: $1.7M / Total cume: $16.9M / Wk 3

10). Eye in the Sky (BLST), 891 theaters (-198) / $452K Fri. / $727K Sat. (+61%) / $400K Sun. (-45%) / 3-day cume: $1.57M / Total cume: $12M to $13M / Wk 6

 

Sunday is optimistic for BVS imo. TJB being in ow will be the only one having a good 30-35% drop on Sunday. But holdovers this weekend fall ~40% or more.

Even last year this weekend  http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2015-04-26

 

EDIT: Also DHD accidentally swapped ZOOTP's and BVS's cumes.

Edited April 17, 2016 by a2knet

[WrathOfHan]

Assuming TJB's Sunday drop is only 27%, this is my long range forecast:

 

Apr 15: 103.5M (21M weekdays, 124.5M total)

Apr 22: 71.4M (14M weekdays, 209.9M total)

Apr 29: 52.1M (8M weekdays, 270M total)

May 6: 33.3M (5M weekdays, 308.3M total)

May 13: 25M (2.5M weekdays, 335.8M total)

May 20: 13.7M (1.5M weekdays, 350.8M total)
May 27 (4 day): 10M (900k weekdays, 361.7M total)

Jun 2: 4M (500k weekdays, 366.2M total)

 

There's a good chance this beats Deadpool.

[kitik]

36 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

BATMAN V SUPERMAN took in an estimated $9.01M this weekend and has grossed $311.31M to date domestically. ‪#‎BatmanVSuperman‬

 

 

not saying anything pro or con about the movie itself, but just talking box office here:

 

Of the 139 biggest OWs of all time, BvS is going to have the absolute worst legs of all of them. Of every single movie that opened to more than 56.3M, it's legs will rank dead last.

 

And I'm drawing the line there for now, but it's not guaranteed to beat Valentines Day's legs in the end. So in a few weeks that might actually change to be worse legs than every other single movie in the top 150 OWs of all time.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Assuming TJB's Sunday drop is only 27%, this is my long range forecast:

 

Apr 15: 103.5M (21M weekdays, 124.5M total)

Apr 22: 71.4M (14M weekdays, 209.9M total)

Apr 29: 52.1M (8M weekdays, 270M total)

May 6: 33.3M (5M weekdays, 308.3M total)

May 13: 25M (2.5M weekdays, 335.8M total)

May 20: 13.7M (1.5M weekdays, 350.8M total)
May 27 (4 day): 10M (900k weekdays, 361.7M total)

Jun 2: 4M (500k weekdays, 366.2M total)

 

There's a good chance this beats Deadpool.

 

You think JB is only going to go down 35% when CW opens and it loses almost all it's PLF and larger screens

[mredman]

8 minutes ago, Treetrunk Special said:

9M weekend, -60% drop. 307M total

how in the hell can it only be on 307 when it was on 304 on friday. Its on 311-313

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

You think JB is only going to go down 35% when CW opens and it loses almost all it's PLF and larger screens

Zootopia only dropped 35% when BVS opened. I might be a tad generous on that drop but it won't be dropping over 50%

[K1stpierre]

Not that far off from my 110-113M predict. Hopefully Sunday holds strong.

[TalismanRing]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Zootopia only dropped 35% when BVS opened. I might be a tad generous on that drop but it won't be dropping over 50%

 

Zootopia wasn't losing those premium screens - BVS was

[kdx125]

45 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  1m1 minute ago

61% fall for #BatmanvSuperman to $9M wknd. $311.3M cume, now #49 on all-time list. $325-330M final, just below #GuardiansOfTheGalaxy.

 

Who would have thought that The Animal and Johnny Karate would be bigger box office draws than Superman and Batman?  Not me, that's for sure ...

[K1stpierre]

Guys, this is not the Marvel vs. DC thread. Take that shit somewhere else.

[JennaJ]

16 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

not saying anything pro or con about the movie itself, but just talking box office here:

 

Of the 139 biggest OWs of all time, BvS is going to have the absolute worst legs of all of them. Of every single movie that opened to more than 56.3M, it's legs will rank dead last.

 

And I'm drawing the line there for now, but it's not guaranteed to beat Valentines Day's legs in the end. So in a few weeks that might actually change to be worse legs than every other single movie in the top 150 OWs of all time.

 

That's insane. 

If someone had told me on OW that this might not get to x2 multiplier, I would have laughed.

This, along with a few other recent examples, just goes to show how important reviews and WOM are for a movie's long term success.

RT has become an important factor in box office. Should be really interesting to watch when the next Transformers comes out.

Or maybe some movies are still critic proof?

Edited April 17, 2016 by JennaJ

[Clef Ment]

12 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

 

But that's not how the movie came across though with the inclusion of WONDER WOMAN, then the glorified cameo's of the other members and I just think the general audience doesn't care.. It's basically a case where 1 studio beat another studio t the punch and anything after that comes across as a "Wannabe"..

 

Agree.

 

And now, why would anyone care about a Snyder-directed JL movie after MoS and BvS?

[Bishop54]

16 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

not saying anything pro or con about the movie itself, but just talking box office here:

 

Of the 139 biggest OWs of all time, BvS is going to have the absolute worst legs of all of them. Of every single movie that opened to more than 56.3M, it's legs will rank dead last.

 

And I'm drawing the line there for now, but it's not guaranteed to beat Valentines Day's legs in the end. So in a few weeks that might actually change to be worse legs than every other single movie in the top 150 OWs of all time.

Now that's an accomplishment.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

not saying anything pro or con about the movie itself, but just talking box office here:

 

Of the 139 biggest OWs of all time, BvS is going to have the absolute worst legs of all of them. Of every single movie that opened to more than 56.3M, it's legs will rank dead last.

 

And I'm drawing the line there for now, but it's not guaranteed to beat Valentines Day's legs in the end. So in a few weeks that might actually change to be worse legs than every other single movie in the top 150 OWs of all time.

 

 I haven't completely verified but seems the 3 movies that did less than 2x after a 50m+ ow are,

Valentines' Day 56.260 ow / 110.485 dom / 1.96x

50 Shades of Grey 85.171 ow / 166.167 dom / 1.90x

Watchmen 55.214 ow / 107.509 dom / 1.95x

BVS looking at 327.5 (325-330) dom which will be 1.97x after a 166.001 ow

Record previews and size of the ow does not help BVS's multiplier but still no excuses. If it does 327.5 dom then after 27.7 in previews, it will have added "only" 299.8 more to it's run.

[Ent]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  2m2 minutes ago

Gargantuan $103.6M opening wknd for #TheJungleBook shattering all expectations. 7th biggest non-sequel debut of all-time!

[FlashMaster659]

THE JUNGLE BOOK opened with an estimated $103.57M this weekend. ‪#‎TheJungleBook‬

[Avatree]

12 minutes ago, mredman said:

how in the hell can it only be on 307 when it was on 304 on friday. Its on 311-313

sorry was just reading off the chart posted above in the thread.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

3 minutes ago, K1stpierre said:

Guys, this is not the Marvel vs. DC thread. Take that shit somewhere else.

 

Yeah.....i don't get why they're still talking about this here.