Weekend #s STB 59.6M, Pets 29.3M, GB and LO 21.6M, IA5 21M

[kayumanggi]

GHOSTBUSTERS drummed up $6.2M on Friday, and Sony is estimating $21M for the weekend, a drop of 54%--steepest drop of Feig's career.

— Exhibitor Relations (@ERCboxoffice) July 23, 2016

[POTUS 2020]

1	STAR TREK BEYOND Paramount 3,928	$22,500,000 -- / $5,728 $22,500,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	LIGHTS OUT Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,818	$9,150,000 -- / $3,247 $9,150,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS Universal 4,048	$8,650,000 +45% / $2,137 $240,028,745 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	ICE AGE: COLLISION COURSE Fox 3,992	$7,800,000 -- / $1,954 $7,800,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	GHOSTBUSTERS (2016) Sony / Columbia 3,963	$6,200,000 +65% / $1,564 $71,456,739 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	FINDING DORY Buena Vista 2,576	$2,087,000 +33% / $810 $455,066,119 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	THE LEGEND OF TARZAN Warner Bros. 2,844	$1,820,000 +54.1% / $640 $111,214,084 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	HILLARY'S AMERICA: THE SECRET HISTORY OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY Quality Flix 1,216	$1,361,581 +40556.3% / $1,120 $1,453,105 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	MIKE AND DAVE NEED WEDDING DATES Fox 2,137	$1,325,000 +51.2% / $620 $37,282,747 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE INFILTRATOR Broad Green Pictures 1,537	$883,360 +95.3% / $575 $9,829,270 / 10	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE Warner Bros. (New Line) 1,602	$815,000 +62.6% / $509 $121,133,163 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	THE PURGE: ELECTION YEAR Universal 1,701	$725,000 +37.3% / $426 $74,967,220 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A

[superweirdo87]

Wow. The sharp contrast between overseas and domestic has been a big story with Ice Age. But huge US declines are not something any studio should want considering that studios get a bigger cut here and the ancillary market is more robust.

[kayumanggi]

ABSOLUTELY FABULOUS: THE MOVIE earned an estimated $660K from 313 locations on opening day Friday. #AbsolutelyFabulous #AbFab

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) July 23, 2016

[grim22]

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$22,500,000	-	-	3,928	$5,728	$22,500,000	1
2	-	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$9,150,000	-	-	2,818	$3,247	$9,150,000	1
3	1	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$8,650,000	+45%	-43%	4,048	$2,137	$240,028,745	15
4	-	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$7,800,000	-	-	3,992	$1,954	$7,800,000	1
5	2	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$6,200,000	+65%	-64%	3,963	$1,564	$71,456,739	8
6	4	Finding Dory	BV	$2,087,000	+33%	-37%	2,576	$810	$455,066,119	36
7	5	The Legend of Tarzan	WB	$1,820,000	+54%	-46%	2,844	$640	$111,214,084	22
8	-	Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party	QF	$1,361,581	+40,556%	+3,207%	1,216	$1,120	$1,453,105	8
9	6	Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates	Fox	$1,325,000	+51%	-44%	2,137	$620	$37,282,747	15
10	10	The Infiltrator	BG	$883,360	+95%	-41%	1,537	$575	$9,829,270	10
11	9	Central Intelligence	WB (NL)	$815,000	+63%	-49%	1,602	$509	$121,133,163	36
12	8	The Purge: Election Year	Uni.	$725,000	+37%	-63%	1,701	$426	$74,967,220	22
-	3	Kabali	CineGalaxy	$721,262	-63%	-	235	$3,069	$2,646,641	2
-	-	Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie	FoxS	$660,000	-	-	313	$2,109	$660,000	1
-	7	The BFG	BV	$281,000	-47%	-76%	686	$410	$50,224,057	22
-	12	Independence Day: Resurgence	Fox	$237,000	-11%	-76%	730	$325	$100,561,325	29
-	-	Cafe Society	LGF	$234,868	+668%	+101%	50	$4,697	$737,247	8
-	11	The Shallows	Sony	$200,000	-26%	-79%	513	$390	$53,188,125	29
-	-	The Jungle Book (2016)	BV	$127,000	+32%	-14%	233	$545	$361,356,897	99
-	-	Train to Busan	WGUSA	$78,500	-	-	27	$2,907	$78,500	1
-	-	Captain America: Civil War	BV	$34,000	+32%	-34%	116	$293	$406,720,345	78
-	-	Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows	Par.	$32,000	+9%	-58%	114	$281	$81,001,883	50
-	-	Alice Through the Looking Glass	BV	$17,000	+15%	-46%	78	$218	$76,427,381	57

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, a2knet said:

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	Star Trek Beyond	Par.	$22,500,000	-	-	3,928	$5,728	$22,500,000	1
2	-	Lights Out	WB (NL)	$9,150,000	-	-	2,818	$3,247	$9,150,000	1
3	1	The Secret Life of Pets	Uni.	$8,650,000	+45%	-43%	4,048	$2,137	$240,028,745	15
4	-	Ice Age: Collision Course	Fox	$7,800,000	-	-	3,992	$1,954	$7,800,000	1
5	2	Ghostbusters (2016)	Sony	$6,200,000	+65%	-64%	3,963	$1,564	$71,456,739	8
6	4	Finding Dory	BV	$2,087,000	+33%	-37%	2,576	$810	$455,066,119	36
7	5	The Legend of Tarzan	WB	$1,820,000	+54%	-46%	2,844	$640	$111,214,084	22
8	-	Hillary's America: The Secret History of the Democratic Party	QF	$1,361,581	+40,556%	+3,207%	1,216	$1,120	$1,453,105	8
9	6	Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates	Fox	$1,325,000	+51%	-44%	2,137	$620	$37,282,747	15
10	10	The Infiltrator	BG	$883,360	+95%	-41%	1,537	$575	$9,829,270	10
11	9	Central Intelligence	WB (NL)	$815,000	+63%	-49%	1,602	$509	$121,133,163	36
12	8	The Purge: Election Year	Uni.	$725,000	+37%	-63%	1,701	$426	$74,967,220	22
-	3	Kabali	CineGalaxy	$721,262	-63%	-	235	$3,069	$2,646,641	2
-	-	Absolutely Fabulous: The Movie	FoxS	$660,000	-	-	313	$2,109	$660,000	1
-	7	The BFG	BV	$281,000	-47%	-76%	686	$410	$50,224,057	22
-	12	Independence Day: Resurgence	Fox	$237,000	-11%	-76%	730	$325	$100,561,325	29
-	-	Cafe Society	LGF	$234,868	+668%	+101%	50	$4,697	$737,247	8
-	11	The Shallows	Sony	$200,000	-26%	-79%	513	$390	$53,188,125	29

 

Dory has the best hold not counting expansions.

[WrathOfHan]

Kabali was insanely frontloaded, not surprised. I imagine Absolutely Fabulous is in for a sharp drop today, I didn't even know the show existed until I read how it was doing in the UK  Excellent increase for Cafe Society, should be in for a PTA over 15k this weekend. 

[WrathOfHan]

I expected over 5M for Hillary's America, glad it's doing worse  

[kayumanggi]

Weekend Projections: #StarTrekBeyond Warps to $59M Bow; #LightsOut Breaks Out to $22.3M; #IceAgeCollisionCourse... https://t.co/JUM7S638mY

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) July 23, 2016

[baumer]

Great weekend for holdovers.

I think GB should do 21. 

LO can maybe get to 23.

[WrathOfHan]

Looking at the potential PTA for Captain Fantastic (5.35k), getting 300+ theaters looks unlikely now. Bleecker Street isn't as aggressive as A24 or Roadside with expansions.

[James]

40 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said:

Yeah it's from Identity. Bourne is my favorite trilogy of all time

Nice! Not my favorite, but it is the best spy series out there.

19 minutes ago, UrosepsisFace said:

Looks like Bourne, Pets, Purge will bring Universal DOM to over a billion by the end of Summer.

 

@James Do you think Warner Bros can get to 2 billion DOM this year? With LO doing well, looks like 1 billion DOM, for the pre-SS movies, is possible. Can SS, Fantastic Beasts, Storks, and the rest of the slate make 1 billion DOM? If so, only once had a studio crossed 2 billion DOM before last year, and then we get two years in a row w/ two studios doing it. Looks like at least 1.7 billion DOM assured.

 

Whatever happens with IA, Fox still has a nice line-up of movies left, and they would need to avg about 80-90 million for this to be Fox's best year ever and make it a tight race w/ WB. Seems possible.

Yeah, I think 2B will happen for WB.

 

Like you said - Lights Out + current batch = 1b

Suicide Squad 360m (just like Deadpool - and that is really low balling it)

War Dogs - 70m

Sully - 70m

Storks - 130m

The Accountant - 70m

Fantastic Beasts - 300m

 

My personal guess is that War Dogs and Sully will over perform and reach 100m, while SS will clear 400m. Warner made 2.1b DOM back in 2009. I am thinking 2016 might set a new record for them.

 

[Daxtreme]

This year, basically --

 

• Predict an horror movie.
• Add 25% to your prediction
• There you go

[DAJK]

23 hours ago, DAJK said:

Gonna guess 9.3M for lights Out for today

Well, I guess I'm not always the worst predictor here

[narniadis]

Overall a very solid weekend. Fantastic increase for Ghostbusters. 

[DAJK]

If Into Darkness jumped from 21 to 26M Friday to Saturday, why are we expecting a small decline/stay flat?

[MrPink]

2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

If Into Darkness jumped from 21 to 26M Friday to Saturday, why are we expecting a small decline/stay flat?

 

Because it's the middle of July, not mid May, and Into Darkness opened on a Thursday.

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

If Into Darkness jumped from 21 to 26M Friday to Saturday, why are we expecting a small decline/stay flat?

 

Because it opened on a Thursday, so it didn't have previews wrapped into its Friday numbers.

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Telemachos said:

 

Because it opened on a Thursday, so it didn't have previews wrapped into its Friday numbers.

Also, it was May.

[WrathOfHan]

My week by week SS breakdown:

 

Aug 5: 150M (54M weekdays, 204M Total)

Aug 12: 60M (24M weekdays, 288M Total)

Aug 19: 30M (12M weekdays, 330M Total)

Aug 26: 17M (7.5M weekdays, 354.5M Total)

Sep 2: 10M (6M weekdays, 371.5M Total)

Sep 9: 5M (2.7M weekdays, 379.2M Total)

Sep 16: 2.5M (1.4M weekdays, 383.1M Total)

Sep 23: 1.2M (700k weekdays, 385M Total)

 

Final Total: 390M (2.6x)

 

It should stay on top until Labor Day when Morgan dethrones it (or maybe it doesn't?)

Edited July 23, 2016 by WrathOfHan