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AndyLL

Fear of Derby is illogical. | Week 31

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Here's the sheet. Enter estimates next to AndyLL only, an entry in any other cell will cause a virus that will shut down BOT and @Baumer will go all out Jason on you

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_6LrNBRj2YIOemC1BSK0t8vUoJHJCb9IoPeglEmZ-0g/edit?usp=sharing

 

 

Last week of the month and the top scorers are...

TalismanRing 160
Matrix4You    142
No Prisoners  134
Exxdee          133

 

Me and @TalismanRing in the tourney final. I would wish you luck, but that's your name and you're on fire

:ohmyzod:

strength and honor

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Using deadline numbers. Tarzan was not reported. I used the 2.4m matching #10.

Im not sure how Lights Out jumped so big on Friday, it was bigger than any Purge or Shallows jump, that may be off by 10%

IA5 bumped more than FD or Minions last year. How a POS does that I don't know. Also could be revised fown 5-10%

The derby average continues to do well. BO.com trying to make it into the top 20 for the first time. BOM still wallowing in the bottom 50% for 4 weeks in a row

@TalismanRing are close for the tourney. He has the month won.

1 TalismanRing 90.92 25 Horror Wizard 84.53
2 Bates 90.51 26 cannastop 84.18
3 No Prisoners 90.25 27 AndyLL 84.16
4 Rolling Thunder 90.25 28 JMorphin 83.96
5 keysersoze123 90.13 29 Wrath 83.79
6 Matrix4You 90.08 30 Olive 83.52
7 Wildbill 89.82 31 Spaghetti 83.47
8 8wombi7 88.47 32 Wonka 83.22
9 Exxdee 88.38 33 24Lost 83.02
10 Derby Average 88.01 34 BoxOfficeMojo 82.96
11 JohnnY 87.81 35 CoolEric258 82.74
12 Iraf 87.64 36 nelmsey 82.46
13 moviecriticguy 87.25 37 RandomJC 81.76
14 SquareWatcher 87.19 38 Fanboy 81.64
15 kayumanggi 86.70 39 WrathOfHan 81.31
16 PanaMovie 86.65 40 AABATTERY 80.84
17 Viceversa 86.36 41 ChipMunky 80.55
18 narniadis 86.28 42 luxneji 80.17
19 ShinyDave 86.20 43 lilmac 78.36
20 BoxOffice.com 86.15 44 Blanks McCoy 77.08
21 Simionski 86.14 45 Arlborn 77.03
22 Boxx93 86.10 46 bapi 76.38
23 darkelf 85.66 47 boxofficeth 75.18
24 Bozly 84.53 48 Lights Camera Action 73.28

 

1). Jason Bourne (UNI), 4,026 theaters / $22M to $22.5M Fri. (includes $4.3M previews) / 3-day cume: $59.8M to $61M / Wk 1

2). Bad Moms (STX), 3,215 theaters / $9.6M (includes $2M previews) / 3-day cume: $26M to $27M / Wk 1

3). Star Trek Beyond (PAR), 3,928 theaters (0) / $6.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $22.8M (-61%) / Total cume: $104M / Wk 2

4). The Secret Life of Pets (ILL/UNI), 3,677 theaters (-371) / $5.6M to $5.8M Fri. / 3-day cume: $19M / Total Cume: $296.4M/ Wk 4

5). Ice Age: Collision Course (FOX), 3,052 theaters (+5) / $3.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $10.5M to $11.2M (-51%) / Total cume: $42.5M / Wk 2

6). Ghostbusters (SONY), 3,052 theaters (-911) / $2.7M Fri. / 3-day cume: $9M / Total: $105.5M / Wk 3

7). Lights Out (WB/NL), 2,818 theaters / $3.6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $10.8M (-50%) / Wk 2

8). Nerve (LGF), 2,538 theaters / $3.75M Wed. (includes $1M Tues. previews) / $2.3M Thurs. / $3.1M Fri. / 3-day cume: $9M /

9). Finding Dory (DIS), 1,733 theaters (-843) / $1.3M Fri. / 3-day cume: $4.6M / Total cume: $469.3M / Wk 7

10.) Hillary’s America…(Qual), 1,066 theaters (-151) / $753K Fri. / 3-day cume: $2.4M / Total: $8.7M / Wk 3

Edited by No Prisoners

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The Derby according to Rth

Major shift in the top 5. @keysersoze123 esta en fuego. Going to average 90% your first 4 weeks? We gotta new contenda!

As I thought LO was way high. IA came down a bit. GB went up 10% and Tarzan may be 2.8m. BO.com back in the bottom 50%

1 No Prisoners Tourney Final 94.39 25 BoxOffice.com 86.98
2 Bates 93.73 26 24Lost 86.74
3 keysersoze123 93.52 27 Olive 85.95
4 Wildbill 92.87 28 Fanboy 85.86
5 TalismanRing  Tourney Final 92.51 29 Bozly 85.81
6 Exxdee 92.36 30 luxneji 85.80
7 Rolling Thunder 91.86 31 ChipMunky 85.66
8 SquareWatcher 91.51 32 AndyLL 85.40
9 Matrix4You 91.44 33 RandomJC 85.20
10 PanaMovie 90.89 34 BoxOfficeMojo 85.08
11 Derby Average 90.89 35 CoolEric258 85.03
12 JohnnY 89.79 36 Wonka 84.93
13 Simionski 89.59 37 Spaghetti 84.31
14 Horror Wizard 89.39 38 nelmsey 84.28
15 moviecriticguy 89.25 39 Wrath 83.99
16 8wombi7 88.71 40 WrathOfHan 83.59
17 darkelf 88.66 41 AABATTERY 82.61
18 narniadis 88.25 42 JMorphin 81.77
19 cannastop 87.94 43 lilmac 81.04
20 ShinyDave 87.87 44 Blanks McCoy 80.20
21 Iraf 87.80 45 Arlborn 79.71
22 Boxx93 87.40 46 Lights Camera Action 79.05
23 kayumanggi 87.37 47 boxofficeth 77.01
24 Viceversa 87.13 48 bapi 76.85

 

 

Weekend Thread | Friday Numbers | Rth 11:30pm update Bourne 23.3, Bad Moms 9.6, Trek 6.7, Pets 5.5, Lights Out 3.5, Nerve/GB/IA5 3.1, FTF 1.1, Tarzan .8         

Edited by No Prisoners
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Using BO.com's projections

 

1 Bates 93.25 25 BoxOfficeMojo 85.62
2 Rolling Thunder 92.75 26 kayumanggi 85.37
3 TalismanRing Tourney Final 92.51 27 Viceversa 85.31
4 Exxdee 92.46 28 24Lost 85.14
5 No Prisoners Tourney Final 91.86 29 BoxOffice.com 85.01
6 Matrix4You 91.80 30 AndyLL 84.79
7 Wildbill 91.69 31 RandomJC 84.42
8 moviecriticguy 91.63 32 luxneji 84.24
9 keysersoze123 91.59 33 CoolEric258 84.17
10 8wombi7 91.49 34 Fanboy 84.08
11 SquareWatcher 90.83 35 Wonka 82.92
12 Derby Average 90.40 36 Spaghetti 82.89
13 Iraf 89.66 37 JMorphin 82.56
14 Simionski 88.37 38 Wrath 82.48
15 Horror Wizard 88.28 39 ChipMunky 82.46
16 darkelf 88.21 40 WrathOfHan 82.42
17 PanaMovie 88.06 41 nelmsey 80.96
18 ShinyDave 86.83 42 AABATTERY 80.6
19 JohnnY 86.63 43 Blanks McCoy 79.68
20 Bozly 86.31 44 Arlborn 79.6
21 narniadis 86.29 45 lilmac 79.10
22 Boxx93 86.26 46 boxofficeth 76.85
23 Olive 86.18 47 Lights Camera Action 75.88
24 cannastop 85.65 48 bapi 74.30
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Looks like I fell by going way too high on Nerve, but going big on Bourne has gone a bit better (I predicted $63m, so if it holds up well today - and an A- CinemaScore suggests there's a shot - that'll really help my score), and I also called most of the Trek crash with a $24.81m guess. The other one holding me down is Tarzan, as I banked on another drop in the 40s and hadn't accounted for the number of screens it lost.

 

I am happy to be on the left side of the leaderboard though :)

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17 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

Using BO.com's projections

 

1 Bates 93.25 25 BoxOfficeMojo 85.62
2 Rolling Thunder 92.75 26 kayumanggi 85.37
3 TalismanRing Tourney Final 92.51 27 Viceversa 85.31
4 Exxdee 92.46 28 24Lost 85.14
5 No Prisoners Tourney Final 91.86 29 BoxOffice.com 85.01
6 Matrix4You 91.80 30 AndyLL 84.79
7 Wildbill 91.69 31 RandomJC 84.42
8 moviecriticguy 91.63 32 luxneji 84.24
9 keysersoze123 91.59 33 CoolEric258 84.17
10 8wombi7 91.49 34 Fanboy 84.08
11 SquareWatcher 90.83 35 Wonka 82.92
12 Derby Average 90.40 36 Spaghetti 82.89
13 Iraf 89.66 37 JMorphin 82.56
14 Simionski 88.37 38 Wrath 82.48
15 Horror Wizard 88.28 39 ChipMunky 82.46
16 darkelf 88.21 40 WrathOfHan 82.42
17 PanaMovie 88.06 41 nelmsey 80.96
18 ShinyDave 86.83 42 AABATTERY 80.6
19 JohnnY 86.63 43 Blanks McCoy 79.68
20 Bozly 86.31 44 Arlborn 79.6
21 narniadis 86.29 45 lilmac 79.10
22 Boxx93 86.26 46 boxofficeth 76.85
23 Olive 86.18 47 Lights Camera Action 75.88
24 cannastop 85.65 48 bapi 74.30

I think they're too high on Nerve and too low on Lights Out 

 

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3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Did Bourne really screw me that much? :kitschjob: 

Told you to go hi. 

The V really tapped your bottom pretty good. What were you thinking?

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studio estimates. and the top 5 shift continues

bad moms bad daily holds propels @Wildbill to the top

@TalismanRing has the Tourney unless IA5 drops to 10.3m or IA5 to 10.4 with FD rising to 4.35

1 Wildbill 92.54 25 Olive 85.4
2 moviecriticguy 90.85 26 Horror Wizard 85.28
3 Bates 90.79 27 Spaghetti 85.21
4 TalismanRing 90.61 28 Wrath 84.83
5 Matrix4You 90.58 29 BoxOfficeMojo 84.7
6 8wombi7 90.34 30 JohnnY 84.69
7 keysersoze123 90.26 31 Bozly 84.55
8 No Prisoners 90.25 32 AndyLL 84.37
9 Rolling Thunder 90.17 33 luxneji 84.36
10 PanaMovie 89.79 34 CoolEric258 83.97
11 Derby Average 89.57 35 ChipMunky 83.81
12 Exxdee 89.21 36 AABATTERY 83.5
13 Boxx93 88.46 37 RandomJC 83.19
14 SquareWatcher 87.56 38 24Lost 82.74
15 Simionski 87.00 39 nelmsey 82.28
16 Wonka 86.84 40 Fanboy 82.06
17 Iraf 86.64 41 JMorphin 80.53
18 darkelf 86.60 42 WrathOfHan 79.97
19 ShinyDave 86.52 43 lilmac 78.71
20 kayumanggi 86.21 44 Lights Camera Action 76.38
21 Viceversa 86.15 45 bapi 76.23
22 narniadis 85.99 46 Arlborn 75.92
23 BoxOffice.com 85.84 47 Blanks McCoy 75.28
24 cannastop 85.45 48 boxofficeth 73.98

 

 

 

Edited by No Prisoners
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for god's sake... 30th? i was in 12th with estimates

 

edit: ok, there was a mistake in my score, for some reason it was written "61" in my ghosbusters accuracy instead of the formula lol

 

i got 87.9%, which puts me in 13th

Edited by JohnnY

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15 hours ago, Rolling Thunder said:

Been wondering when Wildbill would finally get in the win column! 

I remember him winning earlier this year

 

 

15 hours ago, JohnnY said:

for god's sake... 30th? i was in 12th with estimates

 

edit: ok, there was a mistake in my score, for some reason it was written "61" in my ghosbusters accuracy instead of the formula lol

 

i got 87.9%, which puts me in 13th

sounds like someone put a Bourne estimate in that cell:angry:

Edited by No Prisoners

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@AndyLL

 

Actuals:

July 29-31, 2016
Weekend

 

1 N Jason Bourne Uni. $59,215,365 - 4,026 - $14,708 $59,215,365 $120 1
2 1 Star Trek Beyond Par. $24,754,339 -58.2% 3,928 - $6,302 $106,474,717 $185 2
3 N Bad Moms STX $23,817,340 - 3,215 - $7,408 $23,817,340 $20 1
4 2 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $18,915,140 -36.1% 3,677 -371 $5,144 $296,882,885 $75 4
5 4 Ice Age: Collision Course Fox $10,988,839 -48.6% 3,997 +5 $2,749 $42,598,462 $105 2
6 3 Lights Out WB (NL) $10,803,331 -50.2% 2,835 +17 $3,811 $42,870,363 $4.9 2
7 5 Ghostbusters (2016) Sony $10,125,735 -51.8% 3,052 -911 $3,318 $106,497,206 $144 3
8 N Nerve LGF $9,445,456 - 2,538 - $3,722 $15,496,743 - 1
9 6 Finding Dory BV $4,322,747 -40.3% 1,733 -843 $2,494 $469,115,677 - 7
10 7 The Legend of Tarzan WB $2,467,018 -62.5% 1,503 -1,341 $1,641 $121,918,228 $180 5

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=main&yr=2016&wknd=31&p=.htm

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