Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

[dxmatrixdt]

Pete's Dragon looked pretty good on a few.

[Finnick]

DEAD LINE NOW: ‘Sausage Party’ Is A Box Office Hot Dog, Heating Up $30M-$32M Weekend; ‘Suicide Squad’ At Est. $44M

2ND UPDATE, 12:30PM: Refresh for updates Sony/Annapurna’s Sausage Party is pulling in a lot of attendees. Based off of Friday matinees, the Seth Rogen-Evan Goldberg production is pulling in an estimated $13M Friday on it way to $30M-$32M.  Excellent for this film which cost an estimated $19M.

 

 

Looks like Sausage Party‘s festivities are cutting into Suicide Squad‘s business.  While that film will pull in just over $13M for Friday, industry estimates have it at a $44M. If that figure holds, that’s a 67% drop, which is 2% higher than Batman v. Superman‘s -69% sophomore weekend drop. I hear matinees on Suicide Squad are down 93% and that doesn’t for the $20.5M amount of business the DC villain film did on Thursday.

Disney’s Pete’s Dragon looks to fly in with $7.5M estimated Friday on track for a $21M-$23M weekend. The film cost an estimated $65M before P&A.  Paramount’s Florence Foster Jenkins looks to be coming in at its projections with a $2.5M Friday, $5.5M-$6M opening weekend.

Edited August 12, 2016 by Finnick

[lobogotti]

the 11:50am (which I attended) and 2:30pm sold a combined 48 tickets.  that's petty darn good for this demo.  night crowd will be ferocious.  seeing a lot of sell-outs around me, but not at my theater yet... but they are coming.

[Mojoguy]

SS getting a BvS like second weekend drop.

DC fans getting pissed and screaming murder wanting to burn down Marvel Studios and nuke all the critics.

Edited August 12, 2016 by Mojoguy

[Dementeleus]

2 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

SS getting a BvS like second weekend drop.

DC fans getting pissed and screaming murder wanting to burn down Marvel Studios and nuke all the critics.

 

Please stop.

[baumer]

3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

SS getting a BvS like second weekend drop.

DC fans getting pissed and screaming murder wanting to burn down Marvel Studios and nuke all the critics.

 

No one really cares about any numbers from Deadline at noon on a Friday.

[lobogotti]

2 minutes ago, Baumer loves Dory said:

 

No one really cares about any numbers from Deadline at noon on a Friday.

 

I agree with that statement.  They are going to be low on Sausage for IMHO.

[Nova]

Can we not start with the DC BS, please? 

 

But I'm not shocked at Sausage Party. I've been calling it in the tracking thread that this was going to blow up. 

[dxmatrixdt]

Reserved Seating Report (12:00 – 12:55)

Audience total only.

 

12:00 - Suicide Squad – 41

12:05 – Pete’s 3D – 3

12:05 – Bad Moms – 0

12:05 – Ice Age – 8

12:10 – Star Trek – 9

12:10 – Suicide Squad – 21

12:10 – Nine Lives – 9

12:15 – Bad Moms – 6

12:15 – Suicide Squad RPX2D – 7

12:15 – Sausage Party – 12

12:15 – Florence Foster Jenkins – 32

12:20 – Sausage Party – 7

12:25 – Sausage Party – 19

12:25 – Sausage Party – 32

12:30 – Suicide Squad 3D – 13

12:30 – Ice Age –3

12:30 – Jason Bourne – 7

12:30 – Sausage Party – 22

12:30 – Star Trek – 19

12:30 – Florence Foster Jenkins – 30

12:30 – Pete’s Dragon – 74

12:30 – Pete’s Dragon – 93

12:40 – Star Trek – 10

12:45 – Jason Bourne – 22

12:45 – Finding Dory – 9

12:45 – Nine Lives – 17

12:55 – Suicide Squad – 19

AVERAGES

Pete’s Dragon – 83.5 (2)

Florence Foster Jenkins – 31 (2)

Suicide Squad – 22 (4)

Sausage Party – 18.40 (5)

Jason Bourne – 14.5 (2)

Nine Lives – 13 (2)

Suicide Squad 3D – 13 (1)

Star Trek – 12.67 (3)

Finding Dory – 9.00 (1)

Ice Age – 5.50 (2)

Pete’s 3D – 3.00 (1)

Bad Moms – 3.00 (2)

[ecstasy]

1 hour ago, Dexter of Suburbia said:

I was joking

  Reveal hidden contents

that image is similar to the movie it is applying sex

 

 

I couldn't tell if you were joking or serious Dex. But yeah in the context of SP it does raise eyebrows. But its funny how something so innocent from the past be construed as hyper sexual in this era.

[Mojoguy]

SS getting more competition than BvS ever did.

[kswiston]

9 minutes ago, Baumer loves Dory said:

 

No one really cares about any numbers from Deadline at noon on a Friday.

 

I think Deadline is lowballing a bit, but Sun to Thursday drop for Suicide Squad (73%) was pretty similar to those of Bourne (75%) and Star Trek Beyond (74%) over the past two weeks. A bit over 13M like they are reporting would fall between the Friday increases of those two films as well. Based on that, I'm guessing $46-48M unless Friday's bumped over $14M. 

Edited August 12, 2016 by kswiston

[La Binoche]

If FFJ does 2.5M on Friday, it will do 7M for the weekend. 

 

[Spectre]

16 minutes ago, Finnick said:

DEAD LINE NOW: ‘Sausage Party’ Is A Box Office Hot Dog, Heating Up $30M-$32M Weekend; ‘Suicide Squad’ At Est. $44M

2ND UPDATE, 12:30PM: Refresh for updates Sony/Annapurna’s Sausage Party is pulling in a lot of attendees. Based off of Friday matinees, the Seth Rogen-Evan Goldberg production is pulling in an estimated $13M Friday on it way to $30M-$32M.  Excellent for this film which cost an estimated $19M.

 

Boy, I sure do love matinee-based analysis on hard-R rated movies.

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

If FFJ does 2.5M on Friday, it will do 7M for the weekend. 

 

 

Riki did $2.26 for $6.61 .  With the same multiplier off $2.5 FFJ would hit $7.3m

 

[Nova]

If Sausage Party is this hot for matinees, I'm expecting $35M+ for the OW. It's a hard R which means a lot of its audience will be flocking to it at night. 

[La Binoche]

Poor Meryl, her days as a box office draw (2006-2010) are over. At least FFJ is getting good reviews. 

[Hiccup23]

$3.3 million for Sausage Party......damn didn't see that coming. I still see this movie being frontloaded. 

[Hiccup23]

$44 million for Suicide Squad would be expected. Not bad, not good. 

[a2k]

Even 44m would be a good weekend. Better hold than BVS despite summer weekdays making a bigger % of OW:

 

BVS did 166 OW and made 43.1 Mon-Thu. Weekdays are 26% of OW.

SS did 133.7 OW and made 45.4 Mon-Thu. Weekdays are 34% of OW.

 

With 44m weekend taking it to 223, very unlikely that it would fall below 300m.

 

Edit: SS is well on track to displace AUJ and become the #7 biggest WB film behind 2 TDKs, 2 Potters, BVS and Sniper (not in that order). Could have a shot at Potter 1's 317.6m too but time will tell.

Edited August 12, 2016 by a2knet