Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m

[lobogotti]

8 minutes ago, Nova said:

If Sausage Party is this hot for matinees, I'm expecting $35M+ for the OW. It's a hard R which means a lot of its audience will be flocking to it at night. 

 

it's going over $35M IMO.  tickets are selling early and last night the late shows were the sold out ones around me.

[That One Girl]

36 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Reserved Seating Report

I will try to have one out at the top of every hour

Format will now look like this....

 

12:55 - Norm of the North - 200

12:55 - DeadPool - 30

1:00 - Revenant - 22

 

I just had the thought in my head of a sold out theater sitting there and enjoying Norm of the North.  Scary thoughts...

[DAJK]

Dang for Pete's Dragon. Was seriously thinking that would break out, but I guess not. Oh well, I'm still mad at Disney so they can suck it at the box office.

[a2k]

Quote

Looks like Sausage Party‘s festivities are cutting into Suicide Squad‘s business.  While that film will pull in just over $13M for Friday, industry estimates have it at a $44M. If that figure holds, that’s a 67% drop, which is 2% higher than Batman v. Superman‘s -69% sophomore weekend drop. I hear matinees on Suicide Squad are down 93% and that doesn’t for the $20.5M amount of business the DC villain film did on Thursday.

 

I get that -67 > -69, but they are making it sound as if it held worse than BVS.

[Eric S'ennui]

5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Dang for Pete's Dragon. Was seriously thinking that would break out, but I guess not. Oh well, I'm still mad at Disney so they can suck it at the box office.

Mad at Disney? What did they do?

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Pete's Dragon should have a great multi. If it can just get mid-20's OW, I think 100m is possible.

[a2k]

But..But..my BO analyst said there was no correlation between Thursday night previews and the weekend. Sticking to 15-20 OW.

[JohnnyGossamer]

With those way too early estimates from Deadline, I expect SS to go down a tad, SP to go up a tad and PD to come just about where DL has it coming in.

[TalismanRing]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-sausage-party-918979

 

THR

 

SAUSG $13 million Friday / $31 million or more

PDRGN $8 million Friday / $23 million 

FLORN $2 million on Friday / $6-7 million

SS: $41-48m (way to go out on a limb!)

[Jonwo]

Sausage Party is a real shot in the arm for Sony after Ghostbusters. All the other films they released this summer aside from GB were all under $100m and have been profitable. 

 

Mid budget films like SP, Central Intelligence etc have been successful this summer. I would say having a mix of tentpoles and lower budget films can be just as profitable then just a wall of tentpoles.

[Nova]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-sausage-party-918979

 

THR

 

SAUSG $13 million Friday / $31 million or more

PDRGN $8 million Friday / $23 million 

FLORN $2 million on Friday / $6-7 million

SS: $41-48m (way to go out on a limb!)

I'm dead at THR's prediction for SS. Like what a prediction. They're so bold! 

[Morieris]

Pity about Dragon, but ... at least Disney's only printing money with 8 out of 10 movies between this and BFG instead of 10/10.

[a2k]

1 minute ago, Morieris said:

Pity about Dragon, but ... at least Disney's only printing money with 8 7 out of 10 movies between this and BFG instead of 10/10.

[JohnnyGossamer]

But, just about everyone's saying under $50M for SS which is what Guru, Deadline and Prophets initially predicted. Would be great to see SP go over $35M this weekend.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

1 hour ago, The Panda said:

 

Baumer's getting frisky.

Baumer is disappointed that Ryan Reynolds is not in the movie. 

[Nova]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

Sausage Party is a real shot in the arm for Sony after Ghostbusters. All the other films they released this summer aside from GB were all under $100m and have been profitable. 

 

Mid budget films like SP, Central Intelligence etc have been successful this summer. I would say having a mix of tentpoles and lower budget films can be just as profitable then just a wall of tentpoles.

Agreed. Angry Birds, The Shallows and now Sausage Party have all been profitable for them. Honestly before the year started that's not what I would have thought. I thought these three films would have bombed for them. I didn't watch Angry Birds but The Shallows and Sausage Party were easily two of the better films I've watched this summer. And all under $100M. Shows you can make good films without throwing huge budgets at them. 

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, Morieris said:

Pity about Dragon, but ... at least Disney's only printing money with 8 out of 10 movies between this and BFG instead of 10/10.

 

The budget is $60-65m.  They'll make money on it, probably for decades to comes

[WrathOfHan]

SP could open 10M higher than Pete's. Once again, WHERE'S OUR BACKGROUND?!?!?!  

[Johnny Tran]

If this movie sucks the sausage then I have 4 words for it. Off with their heads!

[a2k]

Am I the only one happy over ~45 SS weekend? 

 

It had 20.5 in previews.

The summer weekdays are so good it made more money than BVS and CW Mon-Thu (45.4 SS vs vs 44.2 CW vs 43.1 BVS) after opening 32-47m less.

Even CW fell 59.5% with summer not even fully kicked in. BVS fell 69% w/o summer. APOC fell 65-66% with far smaller numbers.

A 66-67% fall for SS is just fine.

Edited August 12, 2016 by a2knet