Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

[CJohn]

Moana going for the 80M.

 

Those preview numbers for Allied and Bad Santa 2 look bad.

[Mojoguy]

I'm going off personal experience here. It may indeed be a big hit but it's just a fact that boys aren't as likely to go for girly movies as girls are for masculine films. It's not that they can't be hits (women make up more than half the population, after all), but I can see why boys would not want to see it.

I think that has more to do with the bad parents that tell their boys that boys should like boy things and girls should like girl things. If a movie looks good or fun, I think most boys would want to see it.
Moana is being marketed as a fun adventure, nothing really girly about the movie at all unless you think the movie having a female lead makes it a girls movie.

Edited November 23, 2016 by Mojoguy

[GiantCALBears]

21 minutes ago, Nutella of Arabia said:

 

Settings > Notifications 

Which one is it? Tired of having to manually switch it off for each post.

[FantasticBeasts]

4 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

I wonder if we see FB hurt a little more due to Moana. Clearly will be the #1 family choice. Pretty great preview #.

I don't see it as a possibility.. Moana's audience will ve 75% under 13 which is like 5% of FB's audience..

[75Live]

1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:

Which one is it? Tired of having to manually switch it off for each post.

 

 go to Account Settings, then Notification Settings

 

in there you will see  Automatically follow content

 

uncheck both boxes and save

[yjs]

1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:

Which one is it? Tired of having to manually switch it off for each post.

account settings-> notification settings. I feel ya cause I also had a same problem.  

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, GiantCALBears said:

Which one is it? Tired of having to manually switch it off for each post.

 

Sorry, I was unclear (because I was being lazy and going off memory). Click notifications and up at the top you'll see an option called "notification settings". There you can turn them off completely, or adjust how (and how often) you can be notified. 

[yjs]

Just now, FantasticBeasts said:

I don't see it as a possibility.. Moana's audience will ve 75% under 13 which is like 5% of FB's audience..

75% under 13 is such an overstatement, man.

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, 75live said:

 

 go to Account Settings, then Notification Settings

 

in there you will see  Automatically follow content

 

uncheck both boxes and save

 

My personal preference is to follow any thread I post in, but keep the notifications only in the notification menu. Makes it easy to see how active threads are that I'm participating in. But yes, there's a whole range of options. 

[filmlover]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Moana going for the 80M.

 

Those preview numbers for Allied and Bad Santa 2 look bad.

Low previews probably mean nothing for Allied since it's destined to skew significantly older.

[FantasticBeasts]

1 minute ago, yjs said:

75% under 13 is such an overstatement, man.

I may tend to exxagerate a bit but my point is that I do not think FB will get hurt by Moana

[Arlborn]

21 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Let it go,Let it go...

One song did miracles!

Yeah pretty much this. I actually like some of Moana's songs but I don't see any of them having "Let It GO" potential.

 

Still, 300m is not impossible at all.

[RamblinRed]

I am interested to see the interaction between Moana and FB. my 13 yr old son wants to see both but is more interested in seeing Moana than FB. 

FB exit tracking was sort of interesting with over 55% over 35 and over 55% female. it basically sounded like FB was able to grab those that grew up with the HP movies but not really expand it's base at all (or even keep it's total HP base). Just reminds me alot of what happened with the Hobbit.

 

FB will still be a big success because it has always been more of an overseas movie event than a US one (every HP movie had between 67-71% of its total gross from overseas and FB looks like it might be closer to 73-75%). I'm hoping to get out to see both this weekend though given family desires Moana will be first and then FB second if I have a chance to see 2 movies this weekend, or will have to wait another week or two if I don't end up having the time.

 

I think my 13 yr old's movie order for the holidays is currently R1 first, Moana 2nd, Sing 3rd, FB 4th.

 

 

 

[FilmBuff]

6 minutes ago, 75live said:

 

 go to Account Settings, then Notification Settings

 

in there you will see  Automatically follow content

 

uncheck both boxes and save

Thanks!

[yjs]

5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

I may tend to exxagerate a bit but my point is that I do not think FB will get hurt by Moana

I also think they can coexist. DS and Trolls are the ones that would bleed harder this week. 

Edited November 23, 2016 by yjs

[FantasticBeasts]

1 minute ago, RamblinRed said:

I am interested to see the interaction between Moana and FB. my 13 yr old son wants to see both but is more interested in seeing Moana than FB. 

FB exit tracking was sort of interesting with over 55% over 35 and over 55% female. it basically sounded like FB was able to grab those that grew up with the HP movies but not really expand it's base at all (or even keep it's total HP base). Just reminds me alot of what happened with the Hobbit.

 

FB will still be a big success because it has always been more of an overseas movie event than a US one (every HP movie had between 67-71% of its total gross from overseas and FB looks like it might be closer to 73-75%). I'm hoping to get out to see both this weekend though given family desires Moana will be first and then FB second if I have a chance to see 2 movies this weekend, or will have to wait another week or two if I don't end up having the time.

 

I think my 13 yr old's movie order for the holidays is currently R1 first, Moana 2nd, Sing 3rd, FB 4th.

 

 

 

I heard from a lot of non Harry Potter fans that they went to see FB and they liked it, it's just that it seems the majority of them was over 25...

[DAJK]

Rules don't apply 65k

[filmlover]

Just now, DAJK said:

Rules don't apply 65k

Sub-$5M long weekend frame incoming.

[yjs]

6 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Low previews probably mean nothing for Allied since it's destined to skew significantly older.

potential Allied viewers were probably all in bed.

[Noctis]

16 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

I wonder if we see FB hurt a little more due to Moana. Clearly will be the #1 family choice. Pretty great preview #.

 

I think a little bit, but it won't be much. Fantastic Beasts skewed older than any of the Nolan Batman films and THG. DH2 had 55% over the age of 25...I think it was 65% for FB.

 

And less than 18% were under the age of 18. So it's not very family oriented.