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FlashMaster659

Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

By FlashMaster659, in Numbers and Data

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, elcaballero said:

Fantastic Beasts keeps on surprising. The idea that it would behave like a HP movie is laughable now.

 

Well, the first three Potter Nov openers had 3.5, 2.9 & 2.8+ multipliers....    This looks to land around the latter 2.

 

Only the last one with huge $20m+ Thur previews which inflates opening w/e and lowers multipliers did a front loaded 2.36

 

 

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James Summer Tentpole

James

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Well, the first three Potter Nov openers had 3.5, 2.9 & 2.8+ multipliers....    This looks to land around the latter 2.

 

Only the last one with huge $20m+ Thur previews which inflates opening w/e and lowers multipliers did a front loaded 2.36

 

 

I think a 3.1x multi (230m) is very likely to happen at this point. Gonna be optimistic and hope for a 3.2x. 

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, kayumanggi said:

Can someone verify?

 

2013 - opening weekend of Frozen, #1 = Catching Fire part...

2010 ow Tangled, #1 Harry Potter part 1

2015 ow Good Dinosaur - Catching Fire part...

 

I didn't check all, as I trust Gitesh

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/thanksgiving.htm?page=3dayopen&p=.htm

 

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elcaballero Box Office Gold

elcaballero

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

Well, the first three Potter Nov openers had 3.5, 2.9 & 2.8+ multipliers....    This looks to land around the latter 2.

 

Only the last one with huge $20m+ Thur previews which inflates opening w/e and lowers multipliers did a front loaded 2.36

 

 

A lot more was expected from FB's previews based mainly on DH part 2 it seems.

 

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GiantCALBears Global Phenomenon

GiantCALBears

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, James said:

I think a 3.1x multi (230m) is very likely to happen at this point. Gonna be optimistic and hope for a 3.2x. 

Dude holidays are over after today essentially for this movie. Time to get back to harsher drops on a daily basis. Bet the under. It won't be a factor by the time RO opens.

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James Summer Tentpole

James

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

Dude holidays are over after today essentially for this movie. Time to get back to harsher drops on a daily basis. Bet the under. It won't be a factor by the time RO opens.

FB didn't have those great holds because of the holidays alone lol. It has great WOM. That means it will have above the norm drops for the rest of the run. 

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Fancyarcher Global Phenomenon

Fancyarcher

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

Nicholson back in a proper dramatic plum role would be so great. If only.

 

He claims he'd return to the big screen, if he got a great script, but given the films he apparently turned down in recent years, I just think he's enjoying retirement. 

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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

Posted
Posted

Boosted by superb openings in China and Japan, Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them conjured up an estimated $132m from its 67 markets for $317.5m to date overseas.

The Harry Potter spin-off landed top spot in China with $41.1m after only three days of release and also arrived at number one in Japan with a five-day bow of $15.5m from 966 screens.

Fantastic Beasts remained at the top of the chart in all of its key holdover markets, including the UK ($11m for $37.6m), South Korea ($7.4m for $24.6m), Germany ($6.1m for $18.4m) and France ($5.2m for $16.7m).

From 1,048 IMAX screens worldwide, the film grossed $14.3m for $35.6m so far. Overseas, it took $9.7m from 660 screens for $19.4m, led by its China debut of $5.1m from 347 screens, a record for the Harry Potter franchise.

WALT DISNEY STUDIOS MOTION PICTURES INTERNATIONAL

To go with its bumper $81.1m North American debut, Moana recorded a $16.3m overseas bow from its 12 territories.

The animation’s sole key opening this weekend was in China where it charted second behind Fantastic Beasts with a three-day gross of $12.3m, marking the second-highest Disney Animation Studios’ three-day opening in the market behind Zootopia.

It sails into a number of territories next weekend, including France, Mexico, Russia, Spain and the UK.

Doctor Strange has now crossed the $600m mark globally to stand at $616m, surpassing Iron Man’s $585m result.

Overseas, it added $9.8m from its 53 territories for $410.9m and in its sole new opening in Argentina, it enjoyed a chart-topping $1m bow ahead of a national holiday tomorrow (November 28).

PARAMOUNT PICTURES INTERNATIONAL

Allied started its international rollout in 23 markets with an estimated $9.4m overseas debut, 8% ahead of Bridge Of Spies in the same markets.

Robert Zemeckis’ latest enjoyed its best opening in France with $2.8m from 542 sites, followed by the UK with $1.6m from 501 and Spain with $1.3m from 430. All three openings saw it chart second.

It opens in China and Russia next weekend, with Germany (December 22) and Australia (December 26) to come.

Led by a $1.3m debut in Mexico, Jack Reacher: Never Go Back shot to $6.1m from its 46 markets for $88.4m to date.

The action sequel also opened in Brazil ($880k from 344 sites), Venezuela ($1.5m from 51) and Panama ($508k from 80), ahead of its final release in South Korea next weekend.

UNIVERSAL PICTURES INTERNATIONAL

28 Panfilovtsev opened in second in Russia behind Fantastic Beasts with an estimated $2.5m from its 1,110 sites, marking the third biggest opening weekend ever for a local war drama.

Landing in three more territories, Nocturnal Animals grossed $1.1m from its 14 territories for $6.8m. It enjoyed a $615k second weekend in Italy for a local tally of $1.6m, and opens in Finland, Latvia, Netherlands, Spain, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand next weekend.

Blumhouse and Platinum Dunes’ Ouija: Origin Of Evil opened in its final market of Belgium with a $155k debut and has now scared up $45.7m overseas, while La Reina De Espana posted a $401k bow in Spain from its 331 sites.

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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted

@FantasticBeasts

You can take a look at the post Thanksgiving weekends at BOM:

2 charts: the worst and the best drops

I pre-sorted the links for highest total to have the smaller releases not on top, but you can change back to 'best/worst' with clicking on the correspondingly tab (in this case 'Rank') on the top of the charts.

clicking twice changes descending to the opposite...

 

worst

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/postthanksgiving.htm?page=drop&sort=totalgross&order=DESC&p=.htm

 

best

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/postthanksgiving.htm?page=hold&sort=totalgross&order=DESC&p=.htm

 

Have fun!

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James Summer Tentpole

James

Posted
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, water said:

where on earth is this fb optimism coming from. it's having worse holds than mj2 which had a 2.74x multiplier

Lol, wut? MJ2 dropped 49% in it's second weekend. FB dropped 39%. They are not even close. 

 

Plus, MJ2 had an embarrassing 64% post-Thanksgiving drop, one of the worst ever. I doubt FB drops more than 50-55%. 

Edited by James
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