ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[water]

sdalfkj why did moana increase on a thursday. queen

[efialtes76]

$29M...$140M OW.

 

 

 

Edited December 16, 2016 by efialtes76

[terrestrial]

5 minutes ago, robertman2 said:

God, you're old

He is younger than me and I do NOT feel old

[kayumanggi]

STAR WARS: ROGUE ONE: $33M Overseas Total / $62M Global Total #RogueOne #StarWars

— BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) December 16, 2016

[redfirebird2008]

6 minutes ago, Alli said:

He is a HACK.  he was fired by FOX for reviewing Wolverine from a leaked tape. He has no credibility

 

I knew his name sounded familiar. Thanks for the Wolverine reminder. You're right, he is a hack.

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, lab276 said:

What would be stopping R1 from getting to 166m if BvS got there?

 

IMO, the nature of the fandom.  It has a rabid fan base that come out heavily for previews like Twilight & Potter.

[Cmasterclay]

With a weekend IM from the preview of 4.5, only slightly less than TFA, this does 130.5 OW. That means baumer's club would be looking real good, FWIW. And honestly, I think its multiplier from preview might be even worse. I'd love for someone to explain to me how an adult-oriented spinoff for the fans will be more backloaded than the broadly appealing TFA. I just don't get it. 

[DAR]

Oh no it's only going to be the second biggest December opening and one of the biggest ever.  THINK OF THE CHILDREN!!!  OH WILL SOMEONE THINK OF THE CHILDREN!!!!!

[Lordmandeep]

I don't see how it goes below 140 million.

 

That would require  twilight level legs.

 

 Go with

29

38

41

33

141

 

 

[Xavier]

7 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

$29m is still more than CW & BVS, not bad at all. $180m+/$600m+ predicts are likely dead at this point. 

 

I understand fandom and all that but do you think that movie, that particular movie, should gross 600m?

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

IMO, the nature of the fandom.  It has a rabid fan base that come out heavily for previews like Twilight & Potter.

 

So does Batman though.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

We'll just have to wait and see with the true Friday #. If it's low-mid 30s, probably headed for the lower end of things (like 130-140m depending on holds).

Edited December 16, 2016 by Jayhawk

[terrestrial]

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

STAR WARS: ROGUE ONE: $33M Overseas Total / $62M Global Total #RogueOne #StarWars

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice

STAR WARS: ROGUE ONE begins its run in North America with $29M, the biggest Thursday preview of 2016 #RogueOne #StarWars

The Numbers ‏@MovieNumbers

Very early days, but #RogueOne on track for $150m+ opening weekend, based on $29m in previews on Thursday, and comp with Hunger Games.

 

Deadline Hollywood ‏@Deadline 

‘The Great Wall’ Scales $24.3M In First Day Of China Release http://deadline.com/2016/12/the-great-wall-china-opening-box-office-matt-damon-1201872165?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter …

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Cmasterclay said:

With a weekend IM from the preview of 4.5, only slightly less than TFA, this does 130.5 OW. That means baumer's club would be looking real good, FWIW. And honestly, I think its multiplier from preview might be even worse. I'd love for someone to explain to me how an adult-oriented spinoff for the fans will be more backloaded than the broadly appealing TFA. I just don't get it. 

 

Not an Event. 

 

I think a telling number may be the increase in the % of female audience at the previews vs male that indicates it's less hard core geek saturated previews .  So maybe a 5x instead of a 4.36x of TFA

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

There are a lot of ways this weekend could go. We're going to have to wait three hours for Deadline's early estimates

[Lestranger]

Damn, I thought it would do well over 30. But I am still banking on plus 180 or higher. Everyone wants to see this. I think it was just not a huge must see Thursday night film. JW only did 18.5 million on previews. It did 11x that for OW. RO only needs to do 6x to get to 180. I think that feels very likely. I think it goes a lot higher than that.

[cannastop]

5 minutes ago, water said:

sdalfkj why did moana increase on a thursday. queen

Because the Holidays are starting. Some schools probably let out on Wednesday.

[GiantCALBears]

4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

With a weekend IM from the preview of 4.5, only slightly less than TFA, this does 130.5 OW. That means baumer's club would be looking real good, FWIW. And honestly, I think its multiplier from preview might be even worse. I'd love for someone to explain to me how an adult-oriented spinoff for the fans will be more backloaded than the broadly appealing TFA. I just don't get it. 

I don't see it going that low but it's possible.

[SoSaysI]

4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

With a weekend IM from the preview of 4.5, only slightly less than TFA, this does 130.5 OW. That means baumer's club would be looking real good, FWIW. And honestly, I think its multiplier from preview might be even worse. I'd love for someone to explain to me how an adult-oriented spinoff for the fans will be more backloaded than the broadly appealing TFA. I just don't get it. 

This same thing could have been said for Fantastic Beasts like a month ago. 

[miketheavenger]

7 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:

6 years ago when new moon had 30 million dollar midnight it was the greatest thing in the history of box office at the time LOL. Now world one gets 29 million and some here, very few mind you, but some here are calling it disappointing LOL. I personally think it's a fantastic number and it puts it on Pace for around 130 - 140 million opening weekend.

You know you're on BOT when the seventh-biggest preview number of all time is being labeled "disappointing".