ROGUE ONE WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals R1 155.09m, Moana 12.7m, OCP 8.58m, CB 7.1m, FB 5.07m

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, MattW said:

I'm thinking between 1.1 and 1.2b, low 500s domestic and low 600s OS

 

I think 1.05 - 1.1b

 

 

Edited December 18, 2016 by TalismanRing

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Fantastic OW for RO. Thinking 500m is more likely than not.

[fabiopazzo2]

1.3 billion at the end of the run? LoL 

 

155 ml OW is great for a Spin off

Edited December 18, 2016 by fabiopazzo2

[misafeco]

Noooo... big theater loss for Hacksaw Ridge. My only hope for 70M is an expansion after Oscar nominations.

[jb007]

Excellent number for Rogue One. The powah of Star Wars. 

[redfirebird2008]

2 minutes ago, Jayhawk said:

Fantastic OW for RO. Thinking 500m is more likely than not.

 

I'll go with 520ish. 

Edited December 18, 2016 by redfirebird2008

[JohnnyGossamer]

9 minutes ago, Grand Moff said:

 

For a normal film sure, this is Star Wars though.

Yup. Thinking $550M+ DOM is locked.

[elcaballero]

Anything over $500m would be icing on the cake. 

 

Fantastic OW number, especially because the weather didn't cooperate nearly as well as it did with TFA.

[NCsoft]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

I think 1.05 - 1.1b

 

 

 

Agree with 1.1B as upper limit, I think it could easily fall under 1.05B into the Dory/Zootopia region though, if legs not as good as predicted, or China simply does not perform.

[TigerPaw]

11 minutes ago, NCsoft said:

 

There's nothing not normal about Rogue one, maybe one thing, domestic proportion of WW gross, that's on the high end for sure.

Gosh, Its like Dark Knight all over again.

Dark Knight is an Incredible movie, dark, gritty but one of the BEST movies and the domestic proportion is on the high end.

 

I remember tracking its numbers in 2008 weekly and every weekend I just sigh at the Overseas numbers. Overall overseas numbers for Dark Knight did not even clear 500m USD.

Of course Rogue One isn't as incredible even though it is really good, and this is not exactly an apples to apples comparison.

  But the dark and grittiness is a reminder.

Edited December 18, 2016 by TigerPaw

[Lordmandeep]

465 million seems to be the base domestic.

 

 

Dory is going down and Disney is like

 

 

 

UNLIMITED boxoffice!!!!

[JohnnyGossamer]

1 minute ago, elcaballero said:

Anything over $500m would be icing on the cake. 

 

Fantastic OW number, especially because the weather didn't cooperate nearly as well as it did with TFA.

Yup. It'll make that back in the next week a la Avatar.

[NCsoft]

Just now, TigerPaw said:

Gosh, Its like Dark Knight all over again.

Dark Knight is an Incredible movie, dark, gritty but one of the BEST movies and the domestic proportion is on the high end.

 

I remember tracking its numbers in 2008 weekly and every weekend I just sigh at the Overseas numbers. Overall overseas numbers for Dark Knight did not even clear 500m USD.

Of course Rogue One isn't as incredible even though it is really good, and this not exactly an apples to apples comparison.

  But the dark and grittiness is a reminder.

 

On the positive side, TDK just barely made into the 1B dollar club, which at that time isn't that common yet and I was really happy for it.

[FTF]

Great ow for RO...though not sure that 19% Sun drop is going to hold when actuals come out tomorrow.

[JohnnyGossamer]

3 minutes ago, NCsoft said:

 

On the positive side, TDK just barely made into the 1B dollar club, which at that time isn't that common yet and I was really happy for it.

I remember a re-release to get it over the top, no?

[RascarCapat]

Yes I know this is still an estimation.

I will update it when we have the actuals but here it is.

 

How to read it :

 

Underligned Blue : WINRAR

Blue : Very Close (-/+ 5M)

Green : Close (+/- 10M)

Yellow : Meh (+/- 20M

Red : Bad (+/- 30M)

Pink : Lol (Worst than +/- 30M)

 

 

OW

 

JohnnyGossamer 215M

Gokira2012 214M

theStun 190M

WrathOfHan 190M

grey ghost 190M

MCKillswitch123 185M

SWXII 185M

Yandereprime10189 180M

EmpireCity 180M

Daxtreme 180M

Biph Shmata 175M

robertman2 175M

That One Guy 175M

Porthos 175M

DAR 175M

RascarCapat 174M

feasby007 172M

DAJK 171M

junkshop36 170M

The Futurist 170M

ecstasy 170M

Wrath 170M

nilephelan 168M

Ethan Hunt 168M

Marek the Jedi 166M

druv10 165M

Claudio 163M

Heretic 160M

Jayhawk 160M

bapi 155M

Jake Gittes 154M

Jay Hollywood 152M

Blankments 152M

Arlborn 150M

Gokai Red 150M

Water Bottle 150M

a2knet 149M

angeldelmito 146M

The Panda Knight 145M

Captain H 145M

jb007 145M

CJohn 141M

CoolEric258 140M

TalismanRing 140M

Goffe 140M

Rallax 135M

Kalo 135M

hasanahmad 125M

Baumer 125M

RandomJC 120M

Dexter of Suburbia 115M

Truckasaurus 112M

 

[Lordmandeep]

3 minutes ago, FTF said:

Great ow for RO...though not sure that 19% Sun drop is going to hold when actuals come out tomorrow.

Yeah but it's reasonable as it's adult leaning.

[Lordmandeep]

It's a a great opening weekend likely been 170 180 if it opened in the summer.

[NCsoft]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

I remember a re-release to get it over the top, no?

 

not quite sure, I vaguely remember a small scale re-release so maybe

[kayumanggi]

#RogueOne daily breakdown: $71.1M FRI incl $29M THU pre-shows. SAT -35% to $46.4M. SUN -19% to $37.6M. #TheForceAwakens had 43% SAT drop.

— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) December 18, 2016