filmlover Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 After finally seeing Call Me by Your Name, I'll be very surprised if it gets Carol'd. It's definitely a much warmer and more dream-like film that voters won't have much difficulty gravitating towards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I like Darkest Hour's chances better after seeing it. It's stodgy as all get-up, but it will appeal to the "They don't make 'em like they used to!" segment of the Academy, and that could be enough to get it over the hump. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 19 hours ago, Webslinger said: I like Darkest Hour's chances better after seeing it. It's stodgy as all get-up, but it will appeal to the "They don't make 'em like they used to!" segment of the Academy, and that could be enough to get it over the hump. This is true, just look at Tele’s opinion and you’ll see! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 On 5/20/2017 at 11:57 PM, The Last Panda said: Way to early, but what the hell I'll guess something crazy! Best Picture Blade Runner 2049 Detroit The Disaster Artist Dunkirk Get Out It Comes At Night The Post The Shape of the Water Suburbicon Untitled PTA Best Director Kathryn Bigelow, Detroit James Franco, The Disaster Artist Jordan Peele, Get Out Steven Spielberg, The Post Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049 Best Actor John Boyega, Detroit Daniel Day Lewis, Untitled PTA James Franco, The Disaster Artist Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman/Logan Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out Best Actress Kirsten Dunst, Woodshock Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Julia Roberts, Wonder Meryl Streep, The Post Best Supporting Actor Zac Efron, The Greatest Showman Oscar Isaac, Suburbicon Anthony Mackie, Detroit Seth Rogen, The Disaster Artist Harry Styles, Dunkirk Best Supporting Actress Carmen Ejogo, It Comes at Night Julianne Moore, Suburbicon Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water Camilla Rutherford, Untitled PTA Michelle Williams, The Greatest Showman Original Screenplay Detroit Get Out The Post Suburbicon The Shape of Water Adapted Screenplay Blade Runner 2049 Call Me By Your Name The Disaster Artist Logan The Lost City of Z Best Cinematography Blade Runner 2049 Dunkirk It Comes at Night The Shape of Water Untitled PTA Best Animated Feature Animal Crackers The Breadwinner Coco Despicable Me 3 Ferdinand Film Editing Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Get Out Suburbicon Star Wars: The Last Jedi Production Design Beauty and the Beast Blade Runner 2049 The Greatest Showman The Shape of Water Star Wars: The Last Jedi Costume Design Beauty and the Beast Blade Runner 2049 The Greatest Showman The Shape of Water Untitled PTA Makeup and Hairstyling Beauty and the Beast Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 The Greatest Showman Sound Mixing Blade Runner 2049 The Greatest Showman Detroit Dunkirk Star Wars: The Last Jedi Sound Editing Blade Runner 2049 Detroit Dunkirk It Comes At Night Star Wars: The Last Jedi Original Score Blade Runner 2049 The Book of Henry The Shape of Water Star Wars: The Last Jedi Untitled PTA Film Original Song Evermore, Beauty and the Beast Coco Despicable Me 3 "The Greatest Showman" 2x Visual Effects Blade Runner 2049 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 The Shape of Water Star Wars: The Last Jedi War for the Planet of the Apes These were my first full predictions, uh oh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 On 3/1/2017 at 4:35 AM, tribefan695 said: Editorial: Get Out's going to be a footnote by the end of the year. Reception's inflated right now because people are getting caught off guard by a horror movie having blunt social commentary, but once they've thought about it for more than two seconds they'll realize it's just a weak haunted house/stepford wives riff with racism theme window dressing that doesn't even deliver that with any conviction. Apologies in advance, but you can expect this to be a thing for me this year. of all the hindsight lols this is my fav. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 On 3/1/2017 at 1:36 PM, filmlover said: Even with their great reviews, neither Get Out or Logan is even sniffing a Best Picture nomination. Sorry. lmao "sorry". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Okay, so I was wrong about Get Out not having staying power. I still hate the movie and I can still futily hope it gets snubbed 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 I'll go ahead and take a stab at 2018 BP nods so hindsight laughter next year Best Picture 2018 Backseat Beautiful Boy The Bell Jar First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Mary, Queen of Scots Old Man and the Gun Roma Sidney Hall Widows Director: Josie Rourke, Mary, Queen of Scots BA: Christian Bale, Backseat BAs: Saoirse Ronan, Mary, Queen of Scots BSA: Daniel Kaluuya, Widows BSAs: Charlize Theron, Mary, Queen of Scots AS: Mary, Queen of Scots OS: Backseat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 New predictions? Why not: Spoiler Picture: 1. The Post 2. Three Billboards 3. Get Out 4. Lady Bird 5. The Shape of Water 6. Dunkirk 7. Darkest Hour 8. The Florida Project 9. Phantom Thread ------------ 10. Call Me by Your Name Director: 1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water 2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 3. Steven Spielberg, The Post 4. Jordan Peele, Get Out 5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Alt: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Actor: 1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread 3. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name 4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out 5. Tom Hanks, The Post Alt: James Franco, The Disaster Artist Actress: 1. Meryl Streep, The Post 2. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 3. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 4. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 5. Margot Robbie, I, Toyna Alt: Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World Supporting Actor: 1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 4. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World 5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Alt: Bob Odenkirk, The Post Supporting Actress: 1. Allison Janney, I, Toyna 2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water 5. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread Alt: Mary J. Blige, Mudbound Original Screenplay: 1. Three Billboards 2. Get Out 3. The Post 4. Lady Bird 5. Phantom Thread Alt: The Shape of Water Adapted Screenplay: 1. Call Me by Your Name 2. The Disaster Artist 3. Mudbound 4. Molly's Game 5. Wonder Alt: All the Money in the World Cinematography: 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. The Shape of Water 4. The Post 5. Darkest Hour Alt: The Florida Project Editing: 1. Dunkirk 2. The Post 3. Get Out 4. Three Billboards 5. Baby Driver Alt: The Shape of Water Score: 1. The Shape of Water 2. Phantom Thread 3. Dunkirk 4. The Post 5. Three Billboards Alt: Darkest Hour Song: 1. Remember Me, Coco 2. Mystery of Love, Call Me by Your Name 3. This Is Me, The Greatest Showman 4. Evermore, Beauty and the Beast 5. I Don't Wanna Live Forever, Fifty Shades Darker Alt: Mighty River, Mudbound Production Design: 1. The Shape of Water 2. Dunkirk 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Post 5. Darkest Hour Alt: Phantom Thread Costume Design: 1. Phantom Thread 2. Beauty and the Beast 3. The Shape of Water 4. The Greatest Showman 5. Darkest Hour Alt: Murder on the Orient Express Makeup: 1. Darkest Hour 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 3. Wonder Alt: Bright (please god no) Visual Effects: 1. Blade Runner 2049 2. The Shape of Water 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 4. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 5. Dunkirk Alt: War for the Planet of the Apes Sound Editing: 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 4. mother! 5. Baby Driver Alt: The Shape of Water Sound Mixing: 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. The Greatest Showman 4. mother! 5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi Alt: The Shape of Water Nomination count: Spoiler 11: The Shape of Water (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Visual Effects) 9: Dunkirk (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) The Post (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design) 8: Three Billboards (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor x2, Original Screenplay, Editing, Score) 6: Darkest Hour (Picture, Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup) Phantom Thread (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Score, Costume Design) 5: Get Out (Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing) 4: Blade Runner 2049 (Cinematography, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing) Lady Bird (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay) 3: Baby Driver (Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Call Me by Your Name (Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Song) The Greatest Showman (Song, Costume Design, Sound Mixing) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) 2: Beauty and the Beast (Song, Costume Design) Coco (Animated, Song) The Florida Project (Picture, Supporting Actor) Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 (Makeup, Visual Effects) I, Tonya (Actress, Supporting Actress) mother! (Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Wonder (Adapted Screenplay, Makeup) I'm predicting a CMBYN snub in Picture now. The movie has lost a lot of momentum, and its nomination potential is below what Carol had. Likewise, I'm ditching Franco in Actor because The Disaster Artist came and went. He's definitely still in the running for a nomination though, and the last three spots could be any combo of him, Kaluuya, and Hanks (maybe even Denzel) Darkest Hour is back on the rise with that amazing box office. I think Focus will be getting both of their main pushes six nominations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 56 minutes ago, The Last Panda said: I'll go ahead and take a stab at 2018 BP nods so hindsight laughter next year Best Picture 2018 Backseat Beautiful Boy The Bell Jar First Man If Beale Street Could Talk Mary, Queen of Scots Old Man and the Gun Roma Sidney Hall Widows Director: Josie Rourke, Mary, Queen of Scots BA: Christian Bale, Backseat BAs: Saoirse Ronan, Mary, Queen of Scots BSA: Daniel Kaluuya, Widows BSAs: Charlize Theron, Mary, Queen of Scots AS: Mary, Queen of Scots OS: Backseat @The Shape of Pasta can the 2018 thread be started? I want to take a stab at predicting too 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Yup. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 8 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: New predictions? Why not: Reveal hidden contents Picture: 1. The Post 2. Three Billboards 3. Get Out 4. Lady Bird 5. The Shape of Water 6. Dunkirk 7. Darkest Hour 8. The Florida Project 9. Phantom Thread ------------ 10. Call Me by Your Name Director: 1. Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water 2. Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk 3. Steven Spielberg, The Post 4. Jordan Peele, Get Out 5. Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Alt: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird Actor: 1. Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour 2. Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread 3. Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name 4. Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out 5. Tom Hanks, The Post Alt: James Franco, The Disaster Artist Actress: 1. Meryl Streep, The Post 2. Frances McDormand, Three Billboards 3. Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird 4. Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water 5. Margot Robbie, I, Toyna Alt: Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World Supporting Actor: 1. Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards 2. Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project 3. Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water 4. Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World 5. Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Alt: Bob Odenkirk, The Post Supporting Actress: 1. Allison Janney, I, Toyna 2. Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird 3. Holly Hunter, The Big Sick 4. Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water 5. Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread Alt: Mary J. Blige, Mudbound Original Screenplay: 1. Three Billboards 2. Get Out 3. The Post 4. Lady Bird 5. Phantom Thread Alt: The Shape of Water Adapted Screenplay: 1. Call Me by Your Name 2. The Disaster Artist 3. Mudbound 4. Molly's Game 5. Wonder Alt: All the Money in the World Cinematography: 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. The Shape of Water 4. The Post 5. Darkest Hour Alt: The Florida Project Editing: 1. Dunkirk 2. The Post 3. Get Out 4. Three Billboards 5. Baby Driver Alt: The Shape of Water Score: 1. The Shape of Water 2. Phantom Thread 3. Dunkirk 4. The Post 5. Three Billboards Alt: Darkest Hour Song: 1. Remember Me, Coco 2. Mystery of Love, Call Me by Your Name 3. This Is Me, The Greatest Showman 4. Evermore, Beauty and the Beast 5. I Don't Wanna Live Forever, Fifty Shades Darker Alt: Mighty River, Mudbound Production Design: 1. The Shape of Water 2. Dunkirk 3. Blade Runner 2049 4. The Post 5. Darkest Hour Alt: Phantom Thread Costume Design: 1. Phantom Thread 2. Beauty and the Beast 3. The Shape of Water 4. The Greatest Showman 5. Darkest Hour Alt: Murder on the Orient Express Makeup: 1. Darkest Hour 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 3. Wonder Alt: Bright (please god no) Visual Effects: 1. Blade Runner 2049 2. The Shape of Water 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 4. Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 5. Dunkirk Alt: War for the Planet of the Apes Sound Editing: 1. Dunkirk 2. Blade Runner 2049 3. Star Wars: The Last Jedi 4. mother! 5. Baby Driver Alt: The Shape of Water Sound Mixing: 1. Dunkirk 2. Baby Driver 3. The Greatest Showman 4. mother! 5. Star Wars: The Last Jedi Alt: The Shape of Water Nomination count: Reveal hidden contents 11: The Shape of Water (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Costume Design, Visual Effects) 9: Dunkirk (Picture, Director, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) The Post (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Score, Production Design) 8: Three Billboards (Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor x2, Original Screenplay, Editing, Score) 6: Darkest Hour (Picture, Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup) Phantom Thread (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay, Score, Costume Design) 5: Get Out (Picture, Director, Actor, Original Screenplay, Editing) 4: Blade Runner 2049 (Cinematography, Production Design, Visual Effects, Sound Editing) Lady Bird (Picture, Actress, Supporting Actress, Original Screenplay) 3: Baby Driver (Editing, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Call Me by Your Name (Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Song) The Greatest Showman (Song, Costume Design, Sound Mixing) Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) 2: Beauty and the Beast (Song, Costume Design) Coco (Animated, Song) The Florida Project (Picture, Supporting Actor) Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 (Makeup, Visual Effects) I, Tonya (Actress, Supporting Actress) mother! (Sound Editing, Sound Mixing) Wonder (Adapted Screenplay, Makeup) I'm predicting a CMBYN snub in Picture now. The movie has lost a lot of momentum, and its nomination potential is below what Carol had. Likewise, I'm ditching Franco in Actor because The Disaster Artist came and went. He's definitely still in the running for a nomination though, and the last three spots could be any combo of him, Kaluuya, and Hanks (maybe even Denzel) Darkest Hour is back on the rise with that amazing box office. I think Focus will be getting both of their main pushes six nominations. Please enlighten us as to where this confidence in Phantom Thread is coming from. It has no heat of any kind in half the categories you're predicting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, filmlover said: Please enlighten us as to where this confidence in Phantom Thread is coming from. It has no heat of any kind in half the categories you're predicting. Actor: DDL is a given Supporting Actress: I think Manville can surprise here. I would be shocked if Hong Chau made it in with how much Downsizing is flopping, which basically leaves the last two spots between Manville, Spencer, and Blige. Original Screenplay: The last spot is between this, SOW, and The Big Sick. The writing branch loves PTA as evident by Inherent Vice's nomination a few years back (let's not forget Gone Girl was somehow snubbed), so the path to a nomination here is rather easy if it can beat the competition. Score: It's in contention for the win. Costume Design: Duh. All this leads to Picture where it should have enough support. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I can see Chau making it into Supporting Actress even with Downsizing being a total no1curr otherwise. Golden Globe + SAG shows that support is definitely there for her. And she's easily the best thing about the movie, as little as that means. My predictions there are her, Hunter, Janney, Metcalfe, and Spencer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I would bet money on Chau missing it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I think the Netflix situation could cause a Blige snub if enough people in the acting branch care. We'll see. Personally, for the Netflix reason alone, I would personally like to see someone else there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BK007 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just wanted to pop in and say that the faux outrage for any Wonder Woman snubs for any category is a joke. Wonder Woman is really only praised because it's supposed to be a female led, driven whatever movie- all except that it is basically the same damn superhero movie as all the rest. Spare me the where is our Black Panther nominations?! next year. Just as ridiculous as the Deadpool lovefest- basically the same movie except with swearing. It is incredulous how superhero pandering seems to have seeped into cultural consciousness in America/English speaking nations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BardCrank Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 20 minutes ago, BK007 said: Just wanted to pop in and say that the faux outrage for any Wonder Woman snubs for any category is a joke. Wonder Woman is really only praised because it's supposed to be a female led, driven whatever movie- all except that it is basically the same damn superhero movie as all the rest. Spare me the where is our Black Panther nominations?! next year. Just as ridiculous as the Deadpool lovefest- basically the same movie except with swearing. It is incredulous how superhero pandering seems to have seeped into cultural consciousness in America/English speaking nations. The movie was a text book ok-ish superhero origins movie , not even a great one the fact that box office and political/social themes ( WW / Get out / Darkest Hour ) make an otherwise completely mediocre movie an instant masterpiece is just sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 16 hours ago, That One Guy said: I would bet money on Chau missing it. Chau is great. MVP of a respected enough movie. Diversity also helps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What will be the gross for the BP contenders before nominatios are announced? And after Oscars? Last year we had 3 movies over 100M, all of these reached the mark after noms. The average gross for the BP contenders last year was 77M (53M prior to noms) I would say this year is better BO wise. DOM gross before noms Dunkirk - 188M Get Out - 175M The Post - 50M Lady Bird - 40M Darkest Hour - 40M Shape of Water - 30M Three Billboards - 25M Call Me By Your Name - 7M 69M average gross more or less the day noms are announced. Let's see how much more fuel these movies have in the tank after noms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
