kayumanggi Posted May 7, 2016 Share Posted May 7, 2016 (edited) The first one made 440.1 M overseas. What number is a good target for this one? 600 M? Edited March 3, 2018 by kayumanggi 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claudio Posted May 7, 2016 Share Posted May 7, 2016 The sequel to one of the best original superhero movies ever been made??? I would say $650M+ OS thanks to the growth of China and market expansions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 7, 2016 Share Posted May 7, 2016 My favorite MCU film and one of the best received. I think it should, at least, double what it did in China (600m Yuan/$95m). It should definitely go over $600m. Maybe, as @Claudio says, 650. And of course, great chances of reaching the billion WW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted May 7, 2016 Share Posted May 7, 2016 Strong boisterous family films tend to have good increases overseas. Above 600m is very likely. Could go higher if Marvel includes extra characters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 21 hours ago, peludo said: My favorite MCU film and one of the best received. I think it should, at least, double what it did in China (600m Yuan/$95m). It should definitely go over $600m. Maybe, as @Claudio says, 650. And of course, great chances of reaching the billion WW. I agree with $650m OS, that would be a similar increase as another beloved blockbuster (HTTYD 2). But I think you are heavily overpredicting China. I can't understand why despite all the overpredicted movies in China this year alone (TFA, KFP3, BvS & CW) you are still setting up yourself for disappointment. Why would GotG do $190m in China when even CW isn't assured to do that much (or might just do slightly more)? China's BO expansion is hitting a ceiling and I think people are not adapting to that which is why movies will probably be overpredicted there for the years to come I guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 (edited) 1 hour ago, Agafin said: I agree with $650m OS, that would be a similar increase as another beloved blockbuster (HTTYD 2). But I think you are heavily overpredicting China. I can't understand why despite all the overpredicted movies in China this year alone (TFA, KFP3, BvS & CW) you are still setting up yourself for disappointment. Why would GotG do $190m in China when even CW isn't assured to do that much (or might just do slightly more)? China's BO expansion is hitting a ceiling and I think people are not adapting to that which is why movies will probably be overpredicted there for the years to come I guess. Because GOTG was very well liked there. It had great legs, better than most of MCU films. And among the films you mention, excepting KFP3, what has been obviously a disappointment, I do not think that others have done something different that the common sense would had said. I had TFA making 800s before release and it did 825 (you can find it in the Chinese thread. I said it several times). And people who thought BvS could rivalize with MCU was not objective, considering that the same year MOS did not reach 400m Yuan when IM3 was making over 750. An let's add that the disappointment of BvS has not been in China, but everywhere. It is not just a Chinese slow down factor. I am perfectly conscious that China is not growing as 1 or 2 years ago, but even with that factor and taking the 1.26b Yuan projection for CW made by @No Prisoners, Civil War still will make a 71% more than what Winter Soldier did just 2 years ago (35% more for each year). I do not see any real reason why GotGs can not do the same and add, let's say, a 20% because of one year more inflation/expansion, and make that GotG can reach 1.1b. Let's remember that both Winter Soldier (735m) and GotG (596m) came the same year, so GotG2 will have one year more to grow than CA3 and close the gap between the previous films. Of course, I can be wrong, but I do not think it is a bad prediction. A bad prediction and disappointment was to say that first Hobbit would make around 450 million in US and close to 1 billion OS. That was a huge disappointment for me. But if GotG2 makes 1.1b Yuan and I say 1.2b it will be just a not very accurate prediction but, at least, a decent one. Edited May 8, 2016 by peludo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 (edited) 21 hours ago, peludo said: Spoiler Because GOTG was very well liked there. It had great legs, better than most of MCU films. And among the films you mention, excepting KFP3, what has been obviously a disappointment, I do not think that others have done something different that the common sense would had said. I had TFA making 800s before release and it did 825 (you can find it in the Chinese thread. I said it several times). And people who thought BvS could rivalize with MCU was not objective, considering that the same year MOS did not reach 400m Yuan when IM3 was making over 750. An let's add that the disappointment of BvS has not been in China, but everywhere. It is not just a Chinese slow down factor. Fair enough. I think you'll be disappointed but your points make sense nonetheless. Edited May 9, 2016 by Agafin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 (edited) 13 hours ago, Agafin said: Fair enough. I think you'll be disappointed but your points make sense nonetheless. I was disappointed with first Hobbit since Middle Earth is my favorite saga, but no more. Since that moment, I learnt to not be dissapointed with more or less box office for my favorite films. It is absurd. I learnt to separate tastes and I try to be objective with numbers. In this case, it is a mere prediction taking into account several factors like how well liked was GotG and considering that although China is slowing down, it is not stopping from growing. You think it will make less and I think it will make more. That is all. Edited May 10, 2016 by peludo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCKillswitch123 Posted April 14, 2017 Share Posted April 14, 2017 Couldn't find a thread for this here so I decided to do one myself. Release info from IMDB: Australia - 25 April 2017 Italy - 25 April 2017 Belgium - 26 April 2017 Finland - 26 April 2017 France - 26 April 2017 Indonesia - 26 April 2017 Norway - 26 April 2017 Philippines - 26 April 2017 Sweden - 26 April 2017 Argentina - 27 April 2017 Chile - 27 April 2017 Colombia - 27 April 2017 Germany - 27 April 2017 Denmark - 27 April 2017 Hong Kong - 27 April 2017 Cambodia - 27 April 2017 Netherlands - 27 April 2017 Portugal - 27 April 2017 Singapore - 27 April 2017 Taiwan - 27 April 2017 Estonia - 28 April 2017 Spain - 28 April 2017 UK - 28 April 2017 Lithuania - 28 April 2017 Turkey - 28 April 2017 South Korea - 3 May 2017 United Arab Emirates - 4 May 2017 Brazil - 4 May 2017 Czech Republic - 4 May 2017 Georgia - 4 May 2017 Greece - 4 May 2017 Hungary - 4 May 2017 Israel - 4 May 2017 Kuwait - 4 May 2017 Kazakhstan - 4 May 2017 Russia - 4 May 2017 Ukraine - 4 May 2017 Bangladesh - 5 May 2017 Bulgaria - 5 May 2017 China - 5 May 2017 India - 5 May 2017 Poland - 5 May 2017 Romania - 5 May 2017 Japan - 12 May 2017 Any predictions? I see around a 500-550M OS total. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted April 14, 2017 Share Posted April 14, 2017 (edited) 600m OS - 450m DOM Edited April 14, 2017 by Fullbuster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 14, 2017 Share Posted April 14, 2017 $ 900-930M total. For this franchise is amazing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 14, 2017 Share Posted April 14, 2017 The first Guardian Dom: 330 OS: 440 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted April 23, 2017 Share Posted April 23, 2017 Sessions start at 6:30pm tonight, April 24, in Australia/New Zealand. In just over 8 hours in New Zealand. The full opening is tomorrow on the ANZAC Day public holiday in Australia and New Zealand. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted April 23, 2017 Share Posted April 23, 2017 I'm going to guess that with the same exchange rates as summer 2014 GotGv2 would make over a billion. But as it is it will be low $500-550m (plus about 350dom gives close to 850-900m total). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisman0606 Posted April 23, 2017 Share Posted April 23, 2017 I agree this will prob be a sub 1 billion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted April 23, 2017 Share Posted April 23, 2017 I'm thinking $ 575 - 625m OS [with $ 375 - 425m DOM] $ 950m - 1.050b WW total Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted April 24, 2017 Share Posted April 24, 2017 900M is great for Disney/Marvel and for the Guardians Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted April 24, 2017 Share Posted April 24, 2017 (edited) I am quite sure @kayumanggi would have created a thread for this like eons ago. I remember predicting for this. Based on early presales data, it looks like mid level OS blockbuster rather than uber blockbuster territory. I would say 500-550m OS and 350m domestic for 850-900m WW. there you go from archives. @grim22 can you lock/merge threads. Edited April 24, 2017 by keysersoze123 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted April 24, 2017 Share Posted April 24, 2017 Bump Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted April 24, 2017 Author Share Posted April 24, 2017 This will be big here. Opens on the 26th. Students are on vacation and May 1st is a holiday so that is like a 6-day weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...