The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TwoMisfits]

Morning MT.com - I don't see Maze Runner vs Hostiles ending up as close as WoH thinks...and Jumanji's back (didn't last long off this top 5)...

15.4% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

10.2% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

6.8% Hostiles

6.2% Post, The

5.8% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

 

[WrathOfHan]

Theater update:

Spoiler

 

Hostiles:

 

 

10:20: 36/78

1:35: 20/78

4:40: 4/78

7:45: 12/78

10:45: 0/78

 

Maze Runner:

 

10:00: 11/124

1:10: 3/124

4:20: 7/124

7:30: 23/124

9:15: 0/67

10:45: 0/124

 

 

12 Strong:

 

10:00: 16/113

1:00: 9/113

4:00: 0/113

7:00: 0/113

10:00: 0/113

 

The Post:

 

11:00: 4/78

1:45: 13/78

4:30: 6/78

7:15: 4/78

10:10: 0/78

 

Shape of Water: 

 

10:55: 11/78

2:00: 4/78

7:35: 0/78

 

Showman:

 

11:35: 2/63

2:05: 6/63

4:40: 2/63

7:10: 2/63

9:45: 0/63

 

Thieves:

 

10:15: 3/78

1:25: 0/78

4:35: 2/78

7:45: 2/78

10:50: 0/78

 

Jumanji:

 

10:30: 2/78

1:20 3D: 0/78

4:15: 0/78

7:05 3D: 4/78

9:55: 0/78

 

Commuter:

 

11:45: 6/78

2:30: 0/78

5:15: 0/78

7:50: 0/78

10:30: 0/78

 

Star Wars:

 

10:10: 3/60

2:00 3D: 0/69

4:00: 0/60

7:20 3D: 0/60

10:40: 2/60

 

My Girl:

 

11:10: 2/67

1:40: 0/67

4:10: 0/67

6:40: 0/67

10:25: 0/69

 

Paddington:

 

11:30: 0/69

1:30: 0/60

5:20: 2/69

7:55: 0/69

 

3B:

 

4:50: 2/78

10:25: 0/78

 

 

Hostiles: 72/390 (Up 31)

Maze Runner: 44/687 (Up 4)

The Post: 27/390 (Up 12) (-33% from last week)

12 Strong: 25/565 (Up 8) (-67% from last week)

Shape of Water: 15/234

Showman: 12/315 (Up 6) (-67% from last week)

Thieves: 7/390 (Up 2) (-70% from last week)

Jumanji: 7/390 (Up 2) (-40% from last week)

Commuter: 6/390 (Up 2) (-45% from last week)

Star Wars: 5/309 (Up 5) (-45% from last week)

My Girl: 2/337 (-85% from last week)

Paddington: 2/267 (Up 2) (-75% from last week)

3B: 2/156 (Up 2)

 

Maze Runner:

 

11% of Ragnarok (13.5M)

14% of Justice League (13.1M)

40% of Kingsman (15.6M)

90% of Blade Runner (29.5M)

90% of HDD (23.4M)

100% of Insidious (29.6M)

100% of Jigsaw (16.4M)

 

This has BARELY moved since last night. IDK how walkup oriented this will be.

 

Hostiles:

 

70% of The Post (13.6M)

70% of OE (19.5M)

95% of 12 Strong (15M)

110% of American Assassin (16.3M)

120% of THB (25.7M)

185% of The Commuter (25.3M)

325% of Logan Lucky (24.7M)

340% of Downsizing (17M)

 

The 12 Strong comp hasn't budged at all since last night; that's the one to go with IMO

Edited January 26, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

Dunkirk has sold nothing for today so far here (or tomorrow either). I'd expect a very poor average if WB reports the numbers.

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Dunkirk has sold nothing for today so far here (or tomorrow either). I'd expect a very poor average if WB reports the numbers.

Get Out will probably fare even worse considering it's on HBO now.

[Mojoguy]

Jumanji getting ready to TROLL Maze Runner.

Can Jumanji take first place again this weekend?

Edited January 26, 2018 by Mojoguy

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Mojoguy said:

Jumanji getting real TROLL Maze Runner.

Can Jumanji take first place again this weekend?

Maybe, but it's kind of trending towards something between 14-15M and not 15-16M. The race for the top will be close between it, MR, and Hostiles.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Get Out will probably fare even worse considering it's on HBO now.

Yeah, giving these movies such a relatively wide re-launch when they've been available at home for a while feels like a waste of space (not that they would've benefitted from nominations if they were still in theaters either; they're by far the biggest films nominated, after all).

[dudalb]

We won't have to worry about tracking box office for "The Death Of Stalin" in Russia;

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/police-raid-moscow-theater-screened-banned-movie-death-stalin-1078669

[DAJK]

Any updates from your theater? Mine doesn't do matinees during the weekdays so I don't have any

@WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, DAJK said:

Any updates from your theater? Mine doesn't do matinees during the weekdays so I don't have any

@WrathOfHan

I'll do a total ticket sale report later, but Maze Runner's most recent show was a near sellout, and Hostiles and The Post have had near sellouts too

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com end of day numbers...

14.9% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

7.9% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.9% Hostiles

6.8% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

6.6% Post, The

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

MT.com end of day numbers...

14.9% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

7.9% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.9% Hostiles

6.8% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

6.6% Post, The

 

Hiws your theater looking like 

[Mojoguy]

MT.com end of day numbers...

14.9% Maze Runner: The Death Cure
7.9% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
7.9% Hostiles
6.8% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)
6.6% Post, The

Great bump for Jumanji, which is holding off all the other movies like a boss.

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, John Marston said:

 

Hiws your theater looking like 

Only looked tonight, but both locals sold out Maze Runner 7pm...Cinemark local is 1/2 sold for 10:40pm, while the Regal Atom theater sold out the 10pm and added a new 10:40pm show (at 9pm) with 125 seats which is now one row from a sellout...so walkups are still good:)...

 

EDIT: I guess I should add Hostiles has not sold out any evening show, nor has it gotten any extra shows, but it did sell okay tonight (probably 20-30 tickets in its tiny theaters at each)...

Edited January 27, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com end of day - Maze Runner held the top (and this matches my local, who again added an extra 10pm and this time, pretty much sold out all shows today)...

12% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

10.1% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.7% Post, The

7.3% Greatest Showman, The

6.5% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

[BenedictL11]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

MT.com end of day - Maze Runner held the top (and this matches my local, who again added an extra 10pm and this time, pretty much sold out all shows today)...

12% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

10.1% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

7.7% Post, The

7.3% Greatest Showman, The

6.5% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

TGS came back up on the top 5. Yay! Crossing my fingers for a great Saturday like a 70% increase.

[TwoMisfits]

End of day MT.com...Maze Runner held on the whole weekend...

12.4% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

10.2% Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

6.9% Greatest Showman, The

6.6% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

6.5% Post, The

[dxmatrixdt]

Maybe Winchester does well?  It seems usually mystery house horror/thriller might be 50/50 polarizing.  The Disappointments Room being the most recent (Tulip Fever).  However, due to the California setting, this castle set supernatural drama might scare in some people with an average similar to the adjusted averages of  The Glass House and An American Haunting

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=glasshouse.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=americanhaunting.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

Still, if reviews hit and write this one off as a boring supernatural biopic that cannot figure itself out, then WOM might suffer on the spot and you might just get a 3-5 million Saturday followed by the Sunday collapse.

Edited January 29, 2018 by Matrix4You

[La Binoche]

14 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

Maybe Winchester does well?  It seems usually mystery house horror/thriller might be 50/50 polarizing.  The Disappointments Room being the most recent (Tulip Fever).  However, due to the California setting, this castle set supernatural drama might scare in some people with an average similar to the adjusted averages of  The Glass House and An American Haunting

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=glasshouse.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=americanhaunting.htm&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

 

Still, if reviews hit and write this one off as a boring supernatural biopic that cannot figure itself out, then WOM might suffer on the spot and you might just get a 3-5 million Saturday followed by the Sunday collapse.

Script sucked. I can't imagine it being good. 

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

Script sucked. I can't imagine it being good. 

Have you read any other scripts for films coming out soon? Would love to hear your takes