The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[La Binoche]

21 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Have you read any other scripts for films coming out soon? Would love to hear your takes

I read Hereditary last week. 

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, La Binoche said:

I read Hereditary last week. 

Nice. Would you say it's more appealing to a GA than other indie darlings like The Witch, ICAN, It Follows, and The Babadook?

[filmlover]

Winchester feels like a movie aimed at no one tbh. Too old-fashioned for the Insidious audience and the same time too scary for the Helen Mirren crowd. I won't be surprised if it misses double digits for the weekend.

[WrathOfHan]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Winchester feels like a movie aimed at no one tbh. Too old-fashioned for the Insidious audience and the same time too scary for the Helen Mirren crowd. I won't be surprised if it misses double digits for the weekend.

I'm leaning towards that too. Jumanji should win this weekend with ease.

[DAJK]

My theatre getting 12 Strong and Hostiles this weekend, will probably watch Strong on Friday and Hostiles next Thursday 

[TwoMisfits]

End of day MT.com - Black Panther makes an appearance...

9.9% Maze Runner: The Death Cure

8.1% Padmaavat (Padmavati) (Hindi)

7.2% Black Panther

6.5% Hostiles

6.2% Greatest Showman, The

[Porthos]

A quick overlook at the Greater Sacramento Area just before the social media embargo lifts (yes, this is a repost from the Black Panther thread ):

 

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-17 Days and counting  (Last updated at T-22 days and counting)

1/66 (+0/+4)

 

2D:  0/42 (+0/+4)

3D:  1/24 (nc/nc)     

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 44 showings (+4)>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

2 (+2)

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

7 (nc)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

1 (+1)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 0/119   

St: 0/119   

Su: 0/117  

Mon: 0/106

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (44/66 showings):

100%:    1 (nc)

90-99%: 2 (+2)

80-89%: 3 (-2)

70-79%: 2 (+1)

60-69%: 4 (+1)

50-59%: 2 (+1)

40-49%: 2 (-1)

30-39%: 3 (+1)

20-29%: 4 (nc)

10-19%: 7 (nc)

0-9%:   14 (+1)

Edited January 30, 2018 by Porthos

[La Binoche]

6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Nice. Would you say it's more appealing to a GA than other indie darlings like The Witch, ICAN, It Follows, and The Babadook?

It's hard to say because so much of what makes a horror movie work is not on the page. 

 

What hurts it is that unlike, say, The Conjuring (which has a loving and relatable couple at its core) it doesn't have likable characters. It's a very mean-spirited movie. 

What works in its favor is that despite the slow burn of the first half, things definitely come at night. They come hard and fast and furious and mean and scary. 

[tonytr87]

I'm sure it'll be shit, but the 500 ghosts thing has me hooked. Might have hooked others as well. 

[Eric the IF]

On 1/24/2018 at 11:19 PM, CoolEric258 said:

Maze Runner	180	1582	11.38%
Fifty Shades	477	1921	24.83%
Black Panther	1559	2176	71.65%

 

Maze Runner is about 107% of Pitch Perfect 3's 3-day ($21.5M)

 

Panther's now at a point where almost all of the 3-day shows are either sold-out or are at least half-full, with Monday being the only real slacker, and that's kind of a stretch to call it that, frankly.

 

Shades also saw a huge surge over the past week, with a sold-out Thursday 7 PM show, and some big increases on all the other days.

Winchester	13	1408	0.92%
Fifty Shades	572	1921	29.78%
Black Panther	2046	3808	53.73%

 

Black Panther just recently doubled its showtimes, and it's still trucking along. Shades is still doing well. Winchester just started selling tickets today, so it's too hard to say anything yet, although it should be noted Thurday and Friday are the only days with sold tickets.

[TwoMisfits]

On 1/23/2018 at 7:05 PM, TwoMisfits said:

So, 1st local is up...and it's not hello Oscar hopefuls...nope, this theater decided to roll the dice with some more new foreign films to help tide it over in the possible box office lull...here's the set...

 

NEW

Maze Runner (1) (above average theater size)

Baagamathie (1)

Padmavaat (1)

 

Returning

12 Strong (1)

Den of Thieves (1)

I Tonya (1)

Paddington (.75)

The Commuter (1)

The Post (1)

Jumanji (1)

The Greatest Showman (1)

TLJ (1 - it lives again - this theater must be in the "right zone" for this film:)

Insidious (1 showing - gets Paddington's late show)

 

Gone

All old foreign films, Proud Mary, Coco (finally gone for good)

 

1st local is up...and Coco was gone, and now it's back - it's the movie that won't die:)...this theater continued its "fill up extra screens with foreign films" strategy (still no Oscar nominees re-releasing or expanding here:)...

 

NEW

Winchester (1 - smallest screen type)

Chalo (.5) - splits with

Touch Chesi Chudu (.5) (smallest screen type)

 

Returning

Maze Runner (1) (now has biggest screen type)

Baagamathie (1) 

Padmavaat (1)

12 Strong (1)

Den of Thieves (1)

Paddington (1) (moved back up to full screen)

The Post (1)

Jumanji (1)

The Greatest Showman (1)

Coco (.4 - 1st 2 shows) / The Last Jedi (.6 - last 3 shows) - I expect these 2 to be the 1st drops next week

 

Gone

Insidious, I Tonya, The Commuter

[WrathOfHan]

On 1/23/2018 at 1:55 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Darkest Hour, Insidious: The Last Key, and Proud Mary are gone.

 

Hostiles: 4 (Average)

Maze Runner: The Death Cure: 4 (Average)

The Shape of Water: 2 (Biggest)

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 2 (Return; Biggest)

 

12 Strong: 4 (Flat; 2nd Biggest)

The Commuter: 4 (Flat; Average)

Den of Thieves: 4 (Flat; Average)

Forever My Girl: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

The Greatest Showman: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 4 (Flat; 2 2D/2 3D; Average)

Paddington 2: 4 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)

The Post: 4 (Flat; Average)

Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 3 (Flat; 2 2D/1 3D; Smallest)

 

During the weekend, Maze Runner is in the biggest while SOW/3B are in an average auditorium.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

The Commuter, Paddington 2, and Star Wars: The Last Jedi are gone.

 

I, Tonya: 4 (Average)

Phantom Thread: 4 (Average)

Winchester: 4 (Biggest and Average)

Coco: 2 (Return; Smallest)

 

12 Strong: 4 (Flat; Average)

Den of Thieves: 4 (Flat; 3rd and 2nd Smallest)

The Greatest Showman: 4 (Flat; 3rd and 2nd Smallest)

Hostiles: 4 (Flat; Biggest and Average)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 4 (Flat; 3 2D/1 3D; Average)

Maze Runner: The Death Cure: 4 (Flat; Average)

The Post: 4 (Flat; 2nd Biggest)

Forever My Girl: 2 (Down 2; Smallest)

The Shape of Water: 2 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri: 2 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

 

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

Spoiler

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAS

 

[Morieris]

Man, our theaters are just rotating through Oscar stuff.

This week, we're getting, after the removal of Proud Mary;

• I, Tonya
• Molly's Game again
• Coco again
• Shape of Water at the Regal instead of the AMC
• Bilal (Which I have heard of and am quite pleasantly surprised at it's inclusion, it's probably not on any tracking lists?)

This makes me think we actually might get Female Brain next week, but that's a theatrical/VOD combo so it's 50/50.

^{And it looks like a disaster but I'm gonna watch it.}

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAS

 

[Porthos]

What the hell.  Might was well do it daily now.

 

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT UPDATE: T-16 Days and counting

1/66 (nc)

 

2D:  0/42 (nc)

3D:  1/24 (nc)        

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 44 showings>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

1 (+1)         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

1 (-1)

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivilent)

7 (nc)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

1 (nc)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 0/119   

St: 0/119   

Su: 0/117  

Mo: 0/106

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (44/66 showings):

100%:    1 (nc)

90-99%: 2 (nc)

80-89%: 3 (nc)

70-79%: 3 (+1)

60-69%: 6 (+2)

50-59%: 1 (-1)

40-49%: 1 (-1)

30-39%: 4 (+1)

20-29%: 4 (nc)

10-19%: 7 (nc)

0-9%:   12 (-2)

 

====

 

An interesting observation I had while tallying them up.  Three of the screenings (one each at three separate theaters) jumped by 40 to 50 seats sold after the social media embargo broke last night, while the rest either sold a handful or none at all.  Not really sure that says much of anything, but it was something that jumped out at me.

 

I'll be interested to see how much the screen count increases in the coming days, both for preview night and for the 4day weekend. I know it's gonna leap up on the week of release, but I'm a bit more interested to see the expansion before then.  Might be a sign on how much the theaters outfits themselves are expecting a huge breakout weekend.

[Taylor]

http://deadline.com/2018/01/super-bowl-box-office-2018-winchester-maze-runner-dwayne-johnson-jumanji-1202275222/

 

Winchester 6-8m, with a shot at 10m

Maze Runner 12-13m

Jumanji 9-10m

Hostiles 4.5m

 

I, Tonya is also expanding to 1,500 theatres this weekend.

Edited January 31, 2018 by Taylor

[RichWS]

For the first time in the two years I've lived here, the local multiplex and arthouse are playing the same movie simultaneously this weekend (Phantom Thread).

 

STILL no I, Tonya, which is now ridiculous.

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, RichWS said:

STILL no I, Tonya, which is now ridiculous.

 

They're doing you a favor

[RichWS]

14 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

They're doing you a favor

 

Probably, but there's a dearth of options here right now.