The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Durden]

1. Black Panther - $67,000,000 (-40%) Total $503,100,000
2. Death Wish - $19,500,000    
3. Red Sparrow - $19,000,000  
4. Game Night - $10,700,000 (-37%) Total $33,200,000
5. Peter Rabbit - $8,900,000 (-30%) Total $82,900,000

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-red-sparrow-death-wish-take-black-panther/

[fabiopazzo2]

+62/66M seems too big but who know

Aou.                 TA.                 CW.

$38,859,900 5-17-15 / 3 4,276 / $9,088 -50% $372,030,708

$55,644,102 5-20-12 / 1 4,249 / $13,096 -46% $457,665,517

$32,939,739 5-22-16 / 2 4,226 / $7,795 -54.7% $347,215,

 

Third Weekend

 

JW

$54,532,615
6-28-15 / 1
4,198 / $12,990
-48.8%
$500,373,390

[Green245]

I am interested in how The Black Panther will do overseas. 

 

I think using the highest grossing super hero movie of all time, "Marvel's The Avengers" is a good guide to chart The Black Panther's progress.

 

Here are the top 33 foreign opening weekends for the Avengers. These are all of the countries where the Avengers earned 1 million or more at the box office opening weekend. China is not listed because The Avengers opened in China at a later date.  In the list below, the first number is the Avengers Box office opening weekend number. The second number is the Black Panther's box office total. Countries in bold are where the Black Panther had a stronger opening weekend than Marvel's The Avengers.

 

The numbers are from Box Office Mojo.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com

 

 

 

 

        Country          The Avengers      Black Panther

 

1.     Argentina       $3,577,647         1,600,889

2.     Australia         $13,923,182       8,323,490

3.     Belgium          $1,271,359         1,234,874

4.     Brazil              $10,814,407       9,539,422

5.     Chile              $1,733,780          1,156,408.

6.     Colombia        $2,314,014          1,895,472

7.     Denmark         $1,658,686          1,295,969

8.     Ecuador          $1,294,001        has not opened

9.     France            $19,035,088        7,627,163

10.   Germany           $8,444,708          5,860,941

11.   Hong Kong        $4,351,700          3,781,994

12.   India                $12,616,061         3,874,526

13.  Indonesia      $2,914,124         6,223,814

14.   Italy                  $6,372,395         2,913,258

15.   Japan                $6,386,185         has not opened

16.  Malaysia         $3,302,692         4,713,624

17.   Mexico              $17,439,946         9,207,156

18.  Netherlands  $1,492,640          2,396,540

19.   New Zealand     $1,677,054           1,473,480

20.   Norway             $1,525,494             902,177

21.   Peru                 $2,230,676         has not opened

22.   Philippines        $6,580,876           4,951,865

23.   Russia             $14,954,518         has not opened

24.   Singapore         $3,441,766           2,838,403

25.  South Africa  $1,306,598           1,449,905

26.  South Korea  $10,792,833        25,332,202

27.   Spain                $7,065,265           3,017,030

28.   Sweden            $2,288,528            1,893,988

29.   Thailand         $2,537,093          4,479,091

30.   Turkey              $1,189,452           976,866

31.   UAE                  $2,671,492           has not opened

32.   UK                    $25,670,014         24,916,429

33.   Venezuela          $1,585,295          has not opened

Edited March 1, 2018 by Green245

[Boxofficerules]

38 minutes ago, Durden said:

1. Black Panther - $67,000,000 (-40%) Total $503,100,000
2. Death Wish - $19,500,000    
3. Red Sparrow - $19,000,000  
4. Game Night - $10,700,000 (-37%) Total $33,200,000
5. Peter Rabbit - $8,900,000 (-30%) Total $82,900,000

 

https://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-red-sparrow-death-wish-take-black-panther/

That’s way more than I though Death Wish would make TBH!

[filmlover]

Love Simon, Tomb Raider, and Pacific Rim 2 tickets all just went on sale at my theater.

[dxmatrixdt]

is Death Wish really going to do that well?  is this movie-pass related?  All of these regular adult action/thriller movies that were supposedly fading to netflix are suddenly hitting well at the box office....  Den of Thieves tripled my prediction.... This means the adult action films from 1990-2005 might be back!!!  Maybe Geostorm could have doubled OW?  Hurricane Heist 20m OW?

[WrathOfHan]

I told people in my controversial prediction that the trailer views were strong on Death Wish.

[dxmatrixdt]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I told people in my controversial prediction that the trailer views were strong on Death Wish.

yeah, but I bet they were strong for Mortdecai too?

[dxmatrixdt]

OPENING WEEKENDs for adult action/thriller or actor's films - last two years

 

2016 opening weekends

Rules Don't Apply - 1.6

Keeping Up With the Joneses - 5.5

Criminal - 5.8

The Choice - 6.1

Eddie the Eagle - 6.1

Triple 9 - 6.1

Masterminds - 6.5

Florence Foster Jenkins - 6.6

Birth of a Nation - 7.0

Collateral beauty - 7.1

Race - 7.4

Whiskey Tango Foxtrot - 7.5

Mechanic: Resurrection - 7.5

Free State of Jones  - 7.6

Snowden - 8.0

Mother's Day - 8.4

Bridget Jones 3 - 8.6

Finest Hours - 10.3

Why Him? - 11.0

Dirty Grandpa - 11.1

Nice Guys - 11.2

Ben-Hur - 11.2

Hail, Caesar - 11.4

Risen - 11.8

Allied - 12.7

Gods of Egypt - 14.1

When the Bough Breaks - 14.2

War Dogs - 14.7

Money Monster - 14.8

Miracles From heaven  - 14.8

Inferno - 14.9

Passengers - 14.9

Almost Christmas - 15.1

Hacksaw Ridge - 15.2

13 Hours - 16.2

Office Christmas Party - 16.9

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 17.9

How to Be Single - 17.9

Deepwater Horizon- 20.2

London Has Fallen - 21.6

Now You See Me 2 - 22.4

Jack Reacher 2 - 22.9

The Boss - 23.6

Bad Moms - 23.8

Accountant - 24.7

Magnificent Seven - 34.7

Sully - 35.0

Central Intelligence - 35.5

 

2017 opening weekends

Collide - 1.5

Same Kind of Different as Me  - 2.6

Subirbicon - 2.8

Just Getting Started - 3.2

Father Figures - 3.3

The Snowman - 3.4

The Founder - 3.4

Gold - 3.5

Megan Leavey - 3.8

Thank You For Your Service - 3.8

The Promise - 4.1

The Glass Castle - 4.7

Unforgettable - 4.8

Downsizing - 5.0

All the Money in the World - 5.6

Only the Brave - 6.0

mother! - 7.5

Logan Lucky - 7.6

CHiPs - 7.7

Rough Night - 8.0

Sleepless - 8.3

Home Again - 8.6

The House - 8.7

The Circle - 9.0

Kidnap - 10.0

Mountain Between Us - 10.6

Going in Style - 11.9

Fist Fight - 12.2

Life - 12.5

The Foreigner - 13.1

Geostorm - 13.7

American Assassin - 14.8

King Arthur - 15.4

The Shack - 16.2

Bad Moms 2 -  16.8

American Made - 16.8

A Dog's Purpose - 18.2

Atomic Blonde - 18.3

Baywatch - 18.5

Snatched - 19.5

Baby Driver - 20.6

Hitman's Bodyguard - 21.4

Wonder - 27.5

Murder on the Orient Express - 28.7

Daddy's Home 2 - 29.7

John Wick 2 - 30.4

Girls Trip - 31.2

The Mummy - 31.7

 

 

So far this year is doing significantly better and it all started right around November with Murder on the Orient Express and Daddy's Home 2.  However, it looks like movie-pass did not help influence Just Getting Started, Father FIgures, or Downsizing.  Movie-pass is just a guess as to why movies are doing better.  Also, the uptick might just be because people want to go to the movies more.   http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2018&view=releasedate&view2=domestic&sort=opengross&order=DESC&&p=.htm

 

^^ Fifty Shades, Game Night, 12 Strong, Den of Thieves, The Commuter, 15:17 to Paris, Annihilation, Winchester and Forever My Girl all seemed to do well on the high end so far....  up next is Red Sparrow, Death Wish, and Hurricane Heist. 

 

 

 

Edited March 1, 2018 by Matrix4You

[TwoMisfits]

16 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

OPENING WEEKENDs for adult action/thriller or actor's films - last two years

 

2016 opening weekends

Rules Don't Apply - 1.6

Keeping Up With the Joneses - 5.5

Criminal - 5.8

The Choice - 6.1

Eddie the Eagle - 6.1

Triple 9 - 6.1

Masterminds - 6.5

Florence Foster Jenkins - 6.6

Birth of a Nation - 7.0

Collateral beauty - 7.1

Race - 7.4

Whiskey Tango Foxtrot - 7.5

Mechanic: Resurrection - 7.5

Free State of Jones  - 7.6

Snowden - 8.0

Mother's Day - 8.4

Bridget Jones 3 - 8.6

Finest Hours - 10.3

Why Him? - 11.0

Dirty Grandpa - 11.1

Nice Guys - 11.2

Ben-Hur - 11.2

Hail, Caesar - 11.4

Risen - 11.8

Allied - 12.7

Gods of Egypt - 14.1

When the Bough Breaks - 14.2

War Dogs - 14.7

Money Monster - 14.8

Miracles From heaven  - 14.8

Inferno - 14.9

Passengers - 14.9

Almost Christmas - 15.1

Hacksaw Ridge - 15.2

13 Hours - 16.2

Office Christmas Party - 16.9

My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - 17.9

How to Be Single - 17.9

Deepwater Horizon- 20.2

London Has Fallen - 21.6

Now You See Me 2 - 22.4

Jack Reacher 2 - 22.9

The Boss - 23.6

Bad Moms - 23.8

Accountant - 24.7

Magnificent Seven - 34.7

Sully - 35.0

Central Intelligence - 35.5

 

2017 opening weekends

Collide - 1.5

Same Kind of Different as Me  - 2.6

Subirbicon - 2.8

Just Getting Started - 3.2

Father Figures - 3.3

The Snowman - 3.4

The Founder - 3.4

Gold - 3.5

Megan Leavey - 3.8

Thank You For Your Service - 3.8

The Promise - 4.1

The Glass Castle - 4.7

Unforgettable - 4.8

Downsizing - 5.0

All the Money in the World - 5.6

Only the Brave - 6.0

mother! - 7.5

Logan Lucky - 7.6

CHiPs - 7.7

Rough Night - 8.0

Sleepless - 8.3

Home Again - 8.6

The House - 8.7

The Circle - 9.0

Kidnap - 10.0

Mountain Between Us - 10.6

Going in Style - 11.9

Fist Fight - 12.2

Life - 12.5

The Foreigner - 13.1

Geostorm - 13.7

American Assassin - 14.8

King Arthur - 15.4

The Shack - 16.2

Bad Moms 2 -  16.8

American Made - 16.8

A Dog's Purpose - 18.2

Atomic Blonde - 18.3

Baywatch - 18.5

Snatched - 19.5

Baby Driver - 20.6

Hitman's Bodyguard - 21.4

Wonder - 27.5

Murder on the Orient Express - 28.7

Daddy's Home 2 - 29.7

John Wick 2 - 30.4

Girls Trip - 31.2

The Mummy - 31.7

 

 

So far this year is doing significantly better and it all started right around November with Murder on the Orient Express and Daddy's Home 2.  However, it looks like movie-pass did not help influence Just Getting Started, Father FIgures, or Downsizing.  Movie-pass is just a guess as to why movies are doing better.  Also, the uptick might just be because people want to go to the movies more.   http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2018&view=releasedate&view2=domestic&sort=opengross&order=DESC&&p=.htm

 

^^ Fifty Shades, Game Night, 12 Strong, Den of Thieves, The Commuter, 15:17 to Paris, Annihilation, Winchester and Forever My Girl all seemed to do well on the high end so far....  up next is Red Sparrow, Death Wish, and Hurricane Heist. 

 

 

 

Yeah, I'm not sure anything could have helped those films...I mean, you have to not to be horrible for Movie Pass to help you (and Sinemia, the "other white meat" option now that seems to be getting traction if MoviePass is suing it, although funny enough, it's again an "outside" option)...aka, you have to provide a passable movie-going experience, not an agonizing one!

[TwoMisfits]

Mt.com - Red Sparrow makes it on at the end of night...

53% Black Panther

8.4% Game Night

4.7% Annihilation

3.6% Red Sparrow

3.6% Peter Rabbit

 

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Black Panther 3D

3. Red Sparrow

4. Game Night

5. Annihilation

 

Sparrow has consistently been on Pulse since last night whereas Death Wish only appeared this morning. 

[Barnack]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Sparrow has consistently been on Pulse since last night whereas Death Wish only appeared this morning. 

Fair to assume Death Wish will be more walk in heavy too ? less seat designed screening ? Is Imax screen on pulse ? A bit older crowd, etc...

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

Red Sparrow: 14/78

Death Wish: 8/78

 

These are the strongest morning pre-sales in quite a while (obviously excluding BP)  

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Red Sparrow

3. Black Panther 3D

4. Game Night

5. Death Wish

[KeepItU25071906]

44 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Red Sparrow

3. Black Panther 3D

4. Game Night

5. Death Wish

[TwoMisfits]

Mt.com - Death Wish finally makes it on here, too...good sign for both movies...

52.3% Black Panther

6.6% Game Night

6.2% Red Sparrow

4% Peter Rabbit

3.6% Death Wish

[narniadis]

Would be good for the Box Office if both films opened over 20m, this is encouraging that it is at least a slight possibility (note, I don't expect that to happen)

[WrathOfHan]

Thoroughbreds is opening near me next week, so I'm guessing Focus is opening it in 600-700 theaters? Only one theater in Orlando has tickets on sale right now. @filmlover what it's looking like by you?

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Thoroughbreds is opening near me next week, so I'm guessing Focus is opening it in 600-700 theaters? Only one theater in Orlando has tickets on sale right now. @filmlover what it's looking like by you?

It's opening at quite a few theaters around me. Not that I expect it to do particularly well.