The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[SLAM!]

13 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Does anyone on BOT even use MT to buy tickets, or have ever used it? It's always been either Fandango or bust for me.

 

I remember that when I was little, they were basically the main competitor of Fandango. But Fandango was the one that innovated first, they were the ones with the paper bag mascots, and they were the ones that had a business title that didn't relegate them to ticket-selling alone.

[Eric the Minion]

19 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Tomb Raider	76	1560	4.87%
Ready Player One	78	1866	4.18%

 

Tomb Raider's looking hella weak. There hasn't been a single ticket sold for Sunday yet, and there's only one more day until previews.

Tomb Raider	112	1560	4.87%
Ready Player One	94	1866	4.18%

 

Tomb Raider still hasn't sold anything for Sunday.

 

Comps for TR:

61% of Blade Runner ($20.1M)

12% of Ragnarok ($15.1M)

56% of Jumanji ($20.2M)

140% of The Commuter ($19.2M)

72% of Den of Thieves ($11M)

62% of Maze Runner ($15M)

86% of Red Sparrow ($14.5M)

 

[Hiccup23]

18.9%

Black Panther

18.4%

I Can Only Imagine

17.4%

Wrinkle in Time, A

6.8%

Tomb Raider

6.3%

Love, Simon

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com - ICOI finally takes the #1 spot:)...

18.8% I Can Only Imagine

18.5% Black Panther

17.1% Wrinkle in Time, A

7.2% Tomb Raider

6.5% Love, Simon

 

Even if it has virtually no shot at #1 this weekend, ICOI can at least put up some decent presales:)...

[WrathOfHan]

At my theater, ICOI has gained nothing since noon while TR is up 1 (9/69) and Simon 2 (4/78). It's abundantly clear at this point that ICOI is being inflated by group sales. Next weekend's drop may be pretty big, especially with another Christian flick opening.

Edited March 15, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[el sid]

Just to fix it (as short as it probably will last, but who knows) .

MT:
#1 ICOI 18.8%
#2 BP 18.5%
#3 Wrinkle 17.1%
#4 TR 7.2%
#5 Love, Simon 6.5%

Edit: Too lame once again!

I`m not sure if the Christian films will hurt each other. Many more will see the trailers for the next films, the target audience could come into the right mood and first WOM for ICOI is good.

Edited March 15, 2018 by el sid

[XO21]

Will Tomb Raider be walk-up driven cause being <1.0% from Love, Simon which is projected to do $10-15m isn't promising.

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, XO21 said:

Will Tomb Raider be walk-up driven cause being <1.0% from Love, Simon which is projected to do $10-15m isn't promising.

Honestly? I don't think so. It's pretty far behind stuff like Red Sparrow and Death Wish at my theater, so we'll see how much the pace picks up.

[Hiccup23]

5 hours ago, Hiccup23 said:

Morning Pulse 15 minute watch

 

Love, Simon: 181 tickets 

Tomb Raider: 186 tickets

I Can Only Imagine: 251 tickets 

 

ICOI isn't dying....I am waiting for it to collapse haha

 

Love, Simon and Tomb Raider are super close to each other. Good for Love, Simon but not so good for Tomb Raider. 

Mid-Day Pulse 15 minute watch

 

Love, Simon: 175 tickets 

Tomb Raider: 268 tickets

I Can Only Imagine: 229 tickets 

 

Tomb Raider is kicking it up!

[Hiccup23]

Love, Simon	88	312	28.2%
Tomb Raider	103	848	12.1%
I Can Only Imagine	76	156	48.7%

 

 

5 Hours from the first showings! TR and LS both saw 40+ increase in ticket sales from last night. ICOI increased by 20+. ICOI is starting to sell its second showing finally. LS's currently selling is reminding me a lot of its preview weekend. Slow start but then rapidly increased as the showing times got closer. TR is over 100, which it needed. It is 20 tickets away from surpassing Red Sparrow....which it will easily do. 

 

Tomb Raider Similar Films

Red Sparrow- 123 tickets sold

Atomic Blonde- 145 tickets sold

 

Love, Simon Similar Films (Not good comparison at all...there really aren't any)

Wonder- 79 tickets sold

Every day- 53 tickets sold

 

[TalismanRing]

Fandango Avg Per Minute

 

Love Simon:  9.6  (3:10pm)

Tomb Raider:  9.8 (3:10pm)

I Can Only Imagine:  10.75 (3:20pm)

 

THUR Comps:

 

Atomic Bomb:  15.5 (10:10am) 18.3 (4pm) 28 (7pm)

Red Sparrow     8.8 (2:30pm), 12 (4:40pm), 17.33 (7pm)

Am. Assassin   5 (11:45am), 5 (2:10pm), 13.2 (4pm), 18.75 (7:15pm)

Mazerunner: Death Cure     4.2 (9:20am), 15.4 (5:30pm) 23.33 (6:45pm) 21 (7pm)

 

Everything, Everything: 8 avg (8:30pm)

Edited March 15, 2018 by TalismanRing

[filmlover]

What if I Can Only Imagine is the movie that finally unseats Black Panther?

 

[narniadis]

I love all the guessing going on about ICOI.... it is nice to be reminded that ala the Hindi / Foreign language films, this is an underserved demo that is really picky about what they see in bulk....

Obviously living in OK (the Premier was the other night right here in OKC) I can't use any of the sales metrics because the band / song / story is from here, but it's huge, probably as big as some superhero films in areas (relatively of course.)

 

That being said, whoever decided the 3 films needed to be scheduled on consecutive weekends needs to be shot because they all gonna suffer (although GND3 is probably screwed regardless of where it was placed LOL)

[WrathOfHan]

lmfao if Tomb Raider manages to go under 15M  

[WrathOfHan]

10 minutes ago, narniadis said:

I love all the guessing going on about ICOI.... it is nice to be reminded that ala the Hindi / Foreign language films, this is an underserved demo that is really picky about what they see in bulk....

Obviously living in OK (the Premier was the other night right here in OKC) I can't use any of the sales metrics because the band / song / story is from here, but it's huge, probably as big as some superhero films in areas (relatively of course.)

 

That being said, whoever decided the 3 films needed to be scheduled on consecutive weekends needs to be shot because they all gonna suffer (although GND3 is probably screwed regardless of where it was placed LOL)

Oh it's bombing hard. It'll probably be down to half a screen at most locations the following week  

[Fancyarcher]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

lmfao if Tomb Raider manages to go under 15M  

Wouldn't exactly shock me. Presales aren't looking so great, and I doubt it's gonna exactly be a walkup film. 

[a2k]

Any comps between Red Sparrow and Tomb Raider available? Even though they are rated differently I think it's worth a look.

[Alli]

Tomb Raider...another reboot destined to flop akin to The Mummy.

[Hiccup23]

26 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Any comps between Red Sparrow and Tomb Raider available? Even though they are rated differently I think it's worth a look.

 

At my theater, TR is running far ahead of RS

[CaptainJackSparrow]

20 minutes ago, Alli said:

Tomb Raider...another reboot destined to flop akin to The Mummy.

At least Mummy made 300 mil OS which this won’t.