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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Cap Summer Tentpole

Cap

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Andreas said:

MT Update:

 

I2: 65.7%

JW2: 11.3%

O8: 4.2%

Tag: 3.2%

Solo: 1.9%

 

JW2 just went down from 11.6%, not a good sign at all :gold:

It is Tuesday. People are probably just buying tickets for movies in theaters. 

 

@ Premium George: Jinx 😉

Edited by captainwondyful
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Eric is Quiet Global Phenomenon

Eric is Quiet

Posted
Posted (edited)
12 minutes ago, Andreas said:

MT Update:

 

I2: 65.7%

JW2: 11.3%

O8: 4.2%

Tag: 3.2%

Solo: 1.9%

 

JW2 just went down from 11.6%, not a good sign at all :gold:

It's Discount Tuesday. What did you expect?

 

EDIT: @george and wondy

 

spidermanpoint.jpg

Edited by CoolEric258
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Andreas Sleeper Hit

Andreas

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

It is Tuesday. People are probably just buying tickets for movies in theaters. 

 

@ Premium George: Jinx 😉

Did I2 also go down on last Tuesday?

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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 6/16/2018 at 10:45 AM, Nova said:

So I'm going to start tracking JW2 at my theater from now simply to see if it's walk up based or not. I did something similar for Solo. I started tracking that on May 20th. So I figured I'd started tracking JW2 now. 

 

Here's what I have for JW2 at my theater as of now. 

7PM 106/142 
10:30PM 30/142 

 

3D 
7PM 68/142 
10PM 12/142 

 

 

  

Fallen Kingdom update 

2D 

7PM 114/142 

10:30PM 40/142 

 

3D 

7PM 68/142 

10:00PM 18/142 

 

So since the last update it’s gone up by 18 seats for 2D and 6 seats for 3D. It’s increased at a slightly better pace than Solo did (solo’s sales pretty much stagnated even with additional showtimes) but it’s still not selling anywhere close to how DP2 was at my theater. 

Edited by Nova
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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

Posted
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17 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

It is Tuesday. People are probably just buying tickets for movies in theaters. 

 

@ Premium George: Jinx 😉

Not only is it Tuesday, but the largest animated film of all time is open for business. Incredibles 2 will have a bigger Tuesday than Avengers, Infinity War, Black Panther, The Last Jedi, and Jurassic World.

 

We have to remember that MovieTickets is a relative measure of tickets sold (based on the percentage of tickets sold), not actual numbers of tickets sold.

 

Peace,

Mike

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MovieMan89 Global Phenomenon

MovieMan89

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Andreas said:

MT Update:

 

I2: 65.7%

JW2: 11.3%

O8: 4.2%

Tag: 3.2%

Solo: 1.9%

 

JW2 just went down from 11.6%, not a good sign at all :gold:

Not a chance do I see more than 120 for it at this point. Now it's just a matter of does it pull a Solo and go sub 100 like everyone thought was impossible for that movie too? 

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Nova Global Phenomenon

Nova

Posted
Posted

One thing I will say about JW2 is that it’s sales throughout the weekend are stronger at my theater than how it’s doing on Thursday night. So I wouldn’t shocked to see a good IM for its OW once again. But just a matter to see what that Thursday number is. On that note, it’s strong sales throughout the weekend, to me, indicate a movie that is relying more on presales than people here are thinking it is. 

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The Fast and the Furiosa Sleeper Hit

The Fast and the Furiosa

Posted
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37 minutes ago, Nova said:

One thing I will say about JW2 is that it’s sales throughout the weekend are stronger at my theater than how it’s doing on Thursday night. So I wouldn’t shocked to see a good IM for its OW once again. But just a matter to see what that Thursday number is. On that note, it’s strong sales throughout the weekend, to me, indicate a movie that is relying more on presales than people here are thinking it is. 

This I agree with, but not nearly as drastic as say, Incredibles 2. Multiplier will be in between DP2 and I2 for sure, not exactly helpful as that’s a large range

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, TLK said:

JW2's Monday presales (9310) are quite a bit lower than Solo(13688), Deadpool 2 (23134) and Incredibles 2 (20872).

 

http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

Aside from I2 not being that pre-sale heavy compared to CBM, JW:FK Fandango Monday is only 3.09x Oceans 8 

 

Oceans 8:  3009 (Mon) / 4372 (Tues) / 11,114 (Wed)

 

Reserved seat sales at my local for Thur have risen by 11 seats yesterday over the last day for a total of 40 of about 600 seats.   On the bright side that's 37.9%!

Seriously, maybe non reserves less expensive regular 2D screens are selling better

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Alli Blockbuster

Alli

Posted
Posted

‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Ready To Leave $135M+ Footprint Stateside

https://deadline.com/2018/06/jurassic-world-fallen-kingdom-opening-weekend-projection-global-box-office-reign-1202413485/

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted (edited)
On 6/12/2018 at 3:55 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Action Point, Book Club, and Upgrade are gone.

 

Incredibles 2: 21 (17 2D/4 3D; XL x2, Biggest x2, and Smallest)

SuperFly: 5 (Smallest)

Tag: 5 (Average)

 

Avengers: Infinity War: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Deadpool 2: 5 (Down 3; Average)

Hereditary: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Ocean's 8: 5 (Down 6; Average)

Solo: A Star Wars Story: 5 (Down 3; Average)

Adrift: 2 (Down 3; Biggest)

Hotel Artemis: 1 (Down 4; Biggest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

Adrift, Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Hereditary, Hotel Artemis, and Solo: A Star Wars Story are gone.

 

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 21 (19 2D/2 3D; XL, Biggest, Average x2, and Smallest x0.5)

Gotti: 5 (Average)

 

Incredibles 2: 17 (Down 4 and lost 3D; XL, Biggest, Average, and Smallest x0.5)

Ocean's 8: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

SuperFly: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Tag: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

 

One screen still hasn't been scheduled, but this is an absolute massacre for holdovers :jeb!: 

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

 

 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, The Incredible Panda said:

Didn’t Solo’s tracking drop to around 135m this time around too?

was 140-170 4-day I think.

 

edit: going by jw1's massive silent audience thinking jw2 will be 5% over deadline's 135-150 tracking for 142-158 if not more.

Edited by a2k
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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, The Incredible Panda said:

Didn’t Solo’s tracking drop to around 135m this time around too?

The article says $135m to a possible $150m.  That's almost the same range, they had when early tracking came out though now they're only emphasizing the the low end in the title as opposed to ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Eyes $130M-$150M Stateside Start In Early Projections

 

They also snuck into the article that the budget they're hearing is $187m and not $175m which they say is still great because of the money it's already made and will make. But they usually only start sharing whispers of higher budgets when a disappointment is coming.  Rather schizophrenic.  :blink:

 

 

 

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, a2k said:

was 140-170 4-day I think.

https://deadline.com/2018/05/solo-a-star-wars-story-box-office-global-opening-memorial-day-weekend-1202395995/

 

May 22, 2018

 

Quote

Right now, domestic projections over the four-day Memorial Day holiday are ranging from $135 million-$170 million, 

 

Down from $160-170m 4 Day early projections

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