The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[filmlover]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. The Meg

2. Mission Impossible

3. Crazy Rich Asians

4. BlacKkKlansman

5. Slender Man

[WrathOfHan]

Damn, the top 5 changed vastly:

 

1. Christopher Robin

2. The Meg

3. Hotel Transylvania 3

4. Mission Impossible

5. Teen Titans Go!

[filmlover]

27 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Damn, the top 5 changed vastly:

 

1. Christopher Robin

2. The Meg

3. Hotel Transylvania 3

4. Mission Impossible

5. Teen Titans Go!

Kids getting in those last weekday movies before school starts.

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651
Alpha	181
Mile 22	282
*4pm-12am

[Eric Prime]

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-crazy-rich-asians-preps-26m-debut-1134632?utm_source=twitter

 

Quote

Following the better-than-expected debut of The Meg last weekend, fellow Warner Bros. film Crazy Rich Asians is now tracking to post a five-day debut of $26 million-plus, according to the latest prerelease surveys. That's up from $20 million several weeks ago.

 

Many box-office observers believe that Crazy Rich Asians will outperform tracking and do even more crazy great business. 

 

From STX Entertainment, Mile 22 is tracking to open in the $17 million to $18 million range. If that proves correct, the action-thriller could find itself in a close race for No. 2 with The Meg, which debuted to $45.4 million.

 

Alpha, one of the first films from Jeff Robinov's Studio 8, is tracking to open in the $7 million range. 

 

[Valonqar]

Ok, maybe I'm missing something but 20-26M for freakin 5 days is low or? 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Thats pretty solid for Mile 22 if it hits those numbers.

[TalismanRing]

33 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Ok, maybe I'm missing something but 20-26M for freakin 5 days is low or? 

Last couple of weeks I thought it was breaking out higher but I didn't know about last weeks Preview shows which were sold not free.  Numbers last week peaked for that then, dropped hard the day after - then built up again but now the pace is well off Oceans 8 and Mama Mia since it's a Wed opener.

[Valonqar]

2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Last couple of weeks I thought it was breaking out higher but I didn't know about last weeks Preview shows which were sold not free.  Numbers last week peaked for that then, dropped hard the day after - then built up again but now the pace is well off Oceans 8 and Mama Mia since it's a Wed opener.

Thanks! I guess we are in for a rollercoaster between celebrations and bad Crazy Flop Asians jokes. 

Edited August 14, 2018 by Valonqar

[Boxofficerules]

I saw a few sales for The Predator and The Happytime Murders on Pulse.

[BugsBunny]

CRA is gonna be a weird one. I'm in a major city, and the dominant, nicest theater is literally almost sold out for the most popular showtimes, and has a fair amount of tickets even at unpopular showtimes. Then I look across town and the theater almost hasn't sold a ticket yet.

[TwoMisfits]

52 minutes ago, BugsBunny said:

CRA is gonna be a weird one. I'm in a major city, and the dominant, nicest theater is literally almost sold out for the most popular showtimes, and has a fair amount of tickets even at unpopular showtimes. Then I look across town and the theater almost hasn't sold a ticket yet.

What chain is the dominant one (and the not dominant one)?  

[BugsBunny]

22 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

What chain is the dominant one (and the not dominant one)?  

Both AMCs, one is just the top theater in the metro area, the other in a suburb.

[TwoMisfits]

50 minutes ago, BugsBunny said:

Both AMCs, one is just the top theater in the metro area, the other in a suburb.

Are both on Atom?  I ask b/c Atom has a huge presale deal that gives you a bigger and bigger discount for more tickets...(Although, being the same chain, I'd assume they are).  That'd be a bennie (that might affect presales) above both being on the A-list subscriber plans...

 

[Taylor]

Deadline is saying $30m 5-day for CRA.

 

https://deadline.com/2018/08/crazy-rich-asians-box-office-opening-fandango-presales-online-buzz-1202445334/

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Taylor said:

Deadline is saying $30m 5-day for CRA.

 

https://deadline.com/2018/08/crazy-rich-asians-box-office-opening-fandango-presales-online-buzz-1202445334/

While tracking sees the Jon M. Chu-directed romance at $26M over five days, some believe that $30M isn’t out of the question

[Barnack]

Sound likely to be the next Meg / Equalizer 2 tracking beater, but will see.

[TalismanRing]

6 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Sound likely to be the next Meg / Equalizer 2 tracking beater, but will see.

Current Fandango comps (MM2 and O8 on their Weds) would have Wed at $4.5-5m - with the usual 5.5-6 multi that would mean  $24.75 -$30m - around where tracking has it right now.

[dxmatrixdt]

I saw Mile 22 will be getting some IMAX screens, but I have seen nothing on Alpha getting those screens after advertising advertised it as an IMAX experience.

 

 

[Barnack]

35 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Current Fandango comps (MM2 and O8 on their Weds) would have Wed at $4.5-5m - with the usual 5.5-6 multi that would mean  $24.75 -$30m - around where tracking has it right now.

Probably the best comparable possible to use right there, will see which from a big movie sequel vs books with a fanbase/hype will be the more pre-sales heavy.

 

Did MM2 and 08 launched very similar in preview vs pre-sales amount ?, I guess I should start doing some work now using the amount of nice pulse data there is.

Edited August 14, 2018 by Barnack