The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476
A Simple Favor	564	2,126
White Boy Rick	136	567
Unbroken 2	88	180
*4pm-12am

[Poseidon]

This looks like collective breakout with the exception, that Predator will be prelase heavy and shouldn't be compared to a movie like "Equalizer 2".

[Nova]

Pulse Right now: 

1. A Simple Favor 

2. The Nun 

3. The Predator 

4. Crazy Rich Asians 

5. A Star Is Born 

 

*Pretty huge for A Star Is Born. I had no idea tickets even went on sale but really bodes well for it to be a box office smash and outgross Venom imo (which is looking more and more likely from my point of view). I mean I guess the question at this point is just how big is A Star Is Born going to be. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

Pulse Right now: 

1. A Simple Favor 

2. The Nun 

3. The Predator 

4. Crazy Rich Asians 

5. A Star Is Born 

 

*Pretty huge for A Star Is Born. I had no idea tickets even went on sale but really bodes well for it to be a box office smash and outgross Venom imo (which is looking more and more likely from my point of view). I mean I guess the question at this point is just how big is A Star Is Born going to be. 

They just went on sale recently. FWIW my theater has it booked for the biggest non-PLF auditorium (which will obviously go to Venom) that weekend. Somebody posted a source saying that the two movies aren't far off in tracking and I can believe it tbh.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

They just went on sale recently. FWIW my theater has it booked for the biggest non-PLF auditorium (which will obviously go to Venom) that weekend. Somebody posted a source saying that the two movies aren't far off in tracking and I can believe it tbh.

Yea I had no idea they went on sale lol But either way I'm surprised its selling well so far. I'm also not shocked that your theater is giving it the biggest auditorium. It's looking to be a monster hit. I mean it really is a case of just how big can it get. 

[DAJK]

That fandango count for Simple Favor is 

[WrathOfHan]

A Star is Born is rotating between the two biggest auditoriums at my theater to maximize showtimes. Idk what that means for Venom's runtime bc ASIB is 2:15.

[kitik]

Just took a look at my local theater (Cinemark), and A Star Is Born is the only October release that's currently selling tickets. Nothing for Halloween or Venom or First Man yet.

[Poseidon]

It's kind of expected, that A Star is born is selling early tickets. Lady Gaga, despite lower salesrecently, still has a pretty hardcore fanbase, you'd expect to buy tickets, when they go on sale. 

Either way, this movie is going to be huge and might even get her back on track musically.

[Taylor]

https://deadline.com/2018/09/the-predator-sex-offender-controversy-hurricane-florence-box-office-forecast-the-nun-blake-lively-anna-kendrick-1202463425/

 

Predator 25-30m

The Nun 25m

A Simple Favor 13-15m

White Boy Rick 8-10m

Unbroken 2-4m

 

They're underestimating ASF.

[efialtes76]

3 minutes ago, Taylor said:

https://deadline.com/2018/09/the-predator-sex-offender-controversy-hurricane-florence-box-office-forecast-the-nun-blake-lively-anna-kendrick-1202463425/

 

Predator 25-30m

The Nun 25m

A Simple Favor 13-15m

White Boy Rick 8-10m

Unbroken 2-4m

 

They're underestimating ASF.

And overestimating The Nun!

[Nova]

7 minutes ago, Taylor said:

https://deadline.com/2018/09/the-predator-sex-offender-controversy-hurricane-florence-box-office-forecast-the-nun-blake-lively-anna-kendrick-1202463425/

 

Predator 25-30m

The Nun 25m

A Simple Favor 13-15m

White Boy Rick 8-10m

Unbroken 2-4m

 

They're underestimating ASF.

A Simple Favor has been outselling The Predator for the majority of the day today on Fandango. Take that for what you will. 

Edited September 12, 2018 by Nova

[KeepItU25071906]

15 minutes ago, Taylor said:

They're underestimating ASF.

 

True. But it's good for the future loud titles.

 

11 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

And overestimating The Nun!

who knows...

Edited September 12, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[MCKillswitch123]

6 hours ago, filmlover said:

They just went on sale recently. FWIW my theater has it booked for the biggest non-PLF auditorium (which will obviously go to Venom) that weekend. Somebody posted a source saying that the two movies aren't far off in tracking and I can believe it tbh.

When was the last time that we had two 40M+ openers in the same weekend? Because I'm feeling A Star Is Born is going to hit double digits with a 4 in the left more and more (and of course, I still have Venom pegged for 60/70M at the very least).

 

And it's gonna happen in October of all months, too. Man, I don't know about that billion club, but if First Man does good business, Halloween hits the high end of expectations and these two skyrocket, it might stand a better chance at making a billion than we think.

[dxmatrixdt]

Peppermint!

[Barnack]

5 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

When was the last time that we had two 40M+ openers in the same weekend?

50 shades and lego batman I think (three 30m+ being probably a rare one too):

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?yr=2017&wknd=06&p=.htm

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	The LEGO Batman Movie	WB	$53,003,468	-	4,088	-	$12,966	$53,003,468	$80	1
2	N	Fifty Shades Darker	Uni.	$46,607,250	-	3,710	-	$12,563	$46,607,250	$55	1
3	N	John Wick: Chapter Two	LG/S	$30,436,123	-	3,113	-	$9,777	$30,436,123	-	1
4	1	Split	Uni.	$9,525,935	-34.0%	2,961	-412	$3,217	$112,498,205	$9	4
5	4	Hidden Figures	Fox	$8,002,670	-21.5%	2,667	-734	$3,001	$131,454,920	$25	8

Edited September 12, 2018 by Barnack

[DAJK]

2 hours ago, Taylor said:

https://deadline.com/2018/09/the-predator-sex-offender-controversy-hurricane-florence-box-office-forecast-the-nun-blake-lively-anna-kendrick-1202463425/

 

Predator 25-30m

The Nun 25m

A Simple Favor 13-15m

White Boy Rick 8-10m

Unbroken 2-4m

 

They're underestimating ASF.

Give 4-5M from Nun to ASF

[dxmatrixdt]

i'll take Unbroken 2 at 6M

[filmlover]

The 7:10 on Friday for A Simple Favor at my theater is now half full in one of the largest auditoriums (around 200 seats). Just said it in its thread but it's actually selling better than The Predator here.

[filmlover]

3 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

When was the last time that we had two 40M+ openers in the same weekend? Because I'm feeling A Star Is Born is going to hit double digits with a 4 in the left more and more (and of course, I still have Venom pegged for 60/70M at the very least).

 

And it's gonna happen in October of all months, too. Man, I don't know about that billion club, but if First Man does good business, Halloween hits the high end of expectations and these two skyrocket, it might stand a better chance at making a billion than we think.

It's already sold a number of seats for opening weekend so the hype is definitely looking very real. Will be very interesting to see how theaters allocate these movies as we get closer to release, I know someone posted a tweet from an inside source in one of the threads that the two films are amazingly enough tracking not too far from each other.