The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Minnale101]

The secret life of pets 2 will win this weekend and it won’t be close 

[el sid]

Pulse today 8:50-9:04 EST:

 

Dark Phoenix: 162/15 – yesterday it were 102/15, up 59%; CM had at that time 859/15 and Shazam 175/15.
Pets 2: 151/15 – yesterday 52/15, up 191%; The Lego Movie 2 had 110/15, Wonder Park 44/15, Dumbo 167/15, Aladdin 384/15, How to Train Your Dragon 3 227/15, all same day and time of the day.

Men in Black International: 4/15 – yesterday 7/15
Toy Story 4: 8/15 – yesterday 4/15

Child's Play: 1/15
 

And Pulse 10:50-11:04 EST:

Pets 2: 239/15 – yesterday 164/15, up 41%; The Lego Movie 2 had 160/15, Wonder Park 59/15, Dumbo 223/15, Aladdin 600/15, How to Train Your Dragon 3 325/15, all same day and time of the day. Not totally bad, but it did not have the jump I hoped for after yesterday. E.g. compared to Dumbo or The Lego Movie 2 it would reach 50M OW but OTOH it's behind HtTYD3 now and Idk if its walk ups can compensate that.
Dark Phoenix: 235/15 – yesterday 154/15, up 43%; CM had 1.500/15, Fantastic Beasts 2 593/15, Shazam 322/15, all same day and time of the day. So behind Shazam in the second counting, not good. And with these reviews, I also fear now an OW under 40M is coming.

At least MiBI and Toy Story 4 slowly increase.

MiBI: 11/15 – yesterday 6/15
Shaft: 1/15 – yesterday 1/15
Toy Story 4: 18/15 – yesterday 15/15

Edit: I just watched the trailer for Pets 2 (maybe I should have done this earlier ) and now I doubt that it will stay under 50M. It was a bit overexcited and episodic but several scenes were quite cute IMO.

Boxofficepro.com predicts 62M OW excluding the earnings from early screenings on May the 25th.

Edited June 6, 2019 by el sid

[abra]

2019-06-06 17:00:36.230032 UTC
1	23.5%	Aladdin
2	13.2%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
3	12.2%	Rocketman
4	11.3%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters
5	7.7%	Dark Phoenix

2019-06-06 16:00:25.831503 UTC
1	24.1%	Aladdin
2	12.6%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
3	12.1%	Rocketman
4	11.5%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters
5	7.6%	Dark Phoenix

2019-06-06 15:00:23.010515 UTC
1	24.2%	Aladdin
2	12.2%	Rocketman
3	11.7%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters
4	11.7%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
5	7.8%	Dark Phoenix

2019-06-06 14:00:19.622063 UTC
1	24.1%	Aladdin
2	12.5%	Rocketman
3	11.6%	Godzilla: King of the Monsters
4	11.6%	The Secret Life of Pets 2
5	7.6%	Dark Phoenix

[Biggestgeekever]

Overseas numbers are certainly portending a weekend in the 30s for Dark Phoenix

 

https://deadline.com/2019/06/dark-phoenix-rises-in-china-with-12m-launch-day-are-dark-times-ahead-overseas-1202628273/

 

Quote

 In the UK, which likewise started Wednesday, it’s down by 50% compared to the last installment.

 

[narniadis]

From both a tracking and fan perspective, Dark Phoenix should be used as training ground. Cannot for the life of me think of why they decided this was the direction to go and then to not put the decent marketing into it since selling was expected by that point. 

[narniadis]

Also, SLOP being so low reminds me of what we overall expected of the original before its shocking debut. 🤷‍♂️ perfect example of a film just hitting it right at the time and not being able to replicate it. 

[Tinalera]

9 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Also, SLOP being so low reminds me of what we overall expected of the original before its shocking debut. 🤷‍♂️ perfect example of a film just hitting it right at the time and not being able to replicate it. 

To me pets was a great one shot film that could have followed up with pixar-esque shorts before other main features. Would have worked well imo.

Edited June 6, 2019 by Tinalera

[narniadis]

4 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

To me pets was a great one shot film that could have followed up with pixar-esque shorts before other main features. Would have worked well imo.

No doubt - there just wasnt a need for a sequel. If it wasnt for TS4, Id probably take my kiddos to see it but - budgets and all. 

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, narniadis said:

No doubt - there just wasnt a need for a sequel. If it wasnt for TS4, Id probably take my kiddos to see it but - budgets and all. 

To be fair though, SLOP2 far exceeds #1 in every possible way and is much more justifiable for its existence. 

 

If you did see it I don't think it would be wasted. Kids here in UK seem to really love it, and I personally enjoyed it a lot (and I slept part way through SLOP1... granted it was like 2 am but still)

[Porthos]

4 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

@DeeCee @baumer

hi, unlock @Charlie Jatinder Pls

If @Charlie Jatinder wants back in, and I presume he does because he 'liked' the quoted post, he could always try using the "Contact Us" link and message the Staff directly that way.

[FlashMaster659]

Dark Phoenix - Regal Edwards Ontario Palace IMAX & RPX (Thursday Night)

 

IMAX Fan Event

 

6:00 PM - 87/532

 

IMAX 2D

 

9:00 PM - 26/532

 

RPX 2D

 

7:30 PM - 19/744

10:30 PM - 7/744

 

RealD 3D

 

10:00 PM - 6/211

 

2D

 

7:00 PM - 13/211

8:00 PM - 8/122

11:00 PM - 0/122

 

Total

 

166/3218 (5.2%)

 

0.3395x as many seats sold as Godzilla: King of the Monsters mid-day of previews

[TalismanRing]

On 6/5/2019 at 3:28 PM, TalismanRing said:

My local (NYC) - doing much better than the National Fandango Avg

 

Far fewer preview showings - like Aladdin - only 4 showings (Aladdin expanded to 5 later in the night)

 

Selling 9.37% more seats than SHAZAM THUR shows
Running neck and neck with Godz2  THUR shows (209 v 204 tickets)

 

EDIT:  Don't know why I was comparing Wed to Thur - maybe it  just feels like a Thur (damn this has been a long week)

 

X-Men 6 (WED 3:15pm)
(7:15pm) 52/301 (2D)
(8pm) 115/320 (RPX)
(10:50pm) 26/320  (RPX)
(10:15pm)  16/301 (3D)

=209/942 = 22.19%

 

X-Men 6 (TUES 4pm)
(7:15pm) 24/301 (2D)
(8pm) 53/320 (RPX)
(10:50pm) 16/320  (RPX)
(10:15pm)  10/301 (3D)

=103/942 = 10.93%

 

SHAZAM  - WED Afternoon
19 / 329
47 / 329
22 /329
10 / 320
10 / 320
10/ 301
11/301

= 129 / 2229 = 5.78%

SHAZAM - THUR 3:30pm  (4pm start)
(4:10pm) 39/ 329 (2D)
(7:20pm) 66/ 329 (2D)
(10:30pm)   21/ 329 (2D)
(6pm)  22 / 320 (RPX)
(9:15pm) 17/ 320 (RPX)
(5pm)    10/ 301 (3D)
(8:15pm)12/ 301  (3D)

=187 / 2229 = 8.3%

 

GODZILLA2 - Wed 7:45pm

16 /255
39/ 255
17/ 255
27/320
18/320
8/ 255
2/ 255
0/255

=135/ 1915 = 7.04%

 

 

GODZILLA -Thur 3:30pm

(4pm)    45/255 (2D)
(7:15pm) 55/ 255 (2D)
(10:25pm)17/ 255 (2D)
(6:15pm) 38/320 (RPX)
(9:30pm) 23/320 (RPX)
(4:30)   22/ 255 (3D)
(7:45pm)  4/ 255 (3D)
(10:55pm) 0/255 (3D)

=204 / 2150 = 9.488%

 

Seriously over indexing Fandango sales.   Does anyone know what share of the ticketing market Atom has?  

 

Godz2 and Shazam! starting shows 3 hours earlier

33% ahead of Godz2  & 45% ahead of Shazam!

 

X-Men 6 (THUR 3:45pm)
(7:15pm) 90/301 (2D)
(8pm) 133/320 (RPX)
(10:50pm) 31/320  (RPX)
(10:15pm) 18 /301 (3D)

= 272/942 = 28.87%

 

 

[Morieris]

The next showing of Aladdin at like 3:15 is still 99% full.

 

The one at 5:35 has 4 seats left.

 

I'm impressed.

[Porthos]

5 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Seriously over indexing Fandango sales.   Does anyone know what share of the ticketing market Atom has?  

 

Scott Mendelson referenced a study of movie goers  that talked about the online/offline ticketing split as well as third party/company website online purchases.  But I couldn't tell offhand if they further split Atom and Fandago, and I didn't download the study/poll to find out.

 

Didn't find much else out when it came to Atom market share.

 

Maybe your slice of NYC just likes mutants.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Scott Mendelson referenced a study of movie goers  that talked about the online/offline ticketing split as well as third party/company website online purchases.  But I couldn't tell offhand if they further split Atom and Fandago, and I didn't download the study/poll to find out.

 

Didn't find much else out when it came to Atom market share.

 

Maybe your slice of NYC just likes mutants.

For $4 tickets NYers will like anything - that's more than 75% off my local's usual ticket price

 

Probably the only reason it's not sold out is b/c not enough people use T-Mobile. 

 

 

 

Edited June 6, 2019 by TalismanRing

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, TalismanRing said:

For $4 tickets NYers will like anything - that's more than 75% off my local's usual ticket price

FWIW, when I last checked last night I didn't see much over-performance locally at the places that have Atom ticketing (Regal, SMG).  Nothing that leapt out at me at any rate.

 

I'll probably do a 5pm check for shits-and-giggles.  I'll keep an eye open to see if there is any marked jump at those locations.

[Biggestgeekever]

SLOP 2 has the second widest release in history with 4,561 theaters per BOM. Crazy how high theater counts are this year (for everything except Dark Phoenix, heh), I assume The Lion King will be breaking the record next month.

[Cap]

22 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Seriously over indexing Fandango sales.   Does anyone know what share of the ticketing market Atom has?  

I don’t. But I do use Atom for all of my tickets (lt links up to my theater loyalty points AND Disney Movie Rewards automatically!) and for my seat clients. I can write down all the theaters in NYC the app offers during tonight’s update if you want. 

[TalismanRing]

Just now, captainwondyful said:

I don’t. But I do use Atom for all of my tickets (lt links up to my theater loyalty points AND Disney Movie Rewards automatically!) and for my seat clients. I can write down all the theaters in NYC the app offers during tonight’s update if you want. 

Someone said yesterday that Atom covers all of NYC. 
 

[Cap]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

Someone said yesterday that Atom covers all of NYC. 
 

Yay! No extra homework!