The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Here you go

 

NWH MTC1 Previews - 288101/444978 4390129.45 2205 shows (303 Theaters)

 

I think $ value is bit high as there will be kids/senior tickets sold as well. But even if you discount 10% these numbers are crazy for 1/3rd of show3s. 

The show  count being 1/3rd is low but theater count of 303 is about 3/5th. 

[charlie Jatinder]

On 12/2/2021 at 2:14 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Oh and it crossed $50M in pre-sales. In 3 days. ~$50M.

 

Previews I don't see go below $45M at this point. Somehow I am feeling a bit dodgy on how its THU/FRI ratio be. On one hand it is deflated by matinee, on other hand it has huge no. of shows. 

 

I guess

45-50

60-70

62-75

50-64 = 217-259

 

for now. Let's see, how things change

7 days be around ~$57M.

 

Now with more clarity of data

 

45-50

55-65

55-66

44-54

 

199-235

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

The show  count being 1/3rd is low but theater count of 303 is about 3/5th. 

Its not comprehensive data for those theaters. Most big plexes had initial allotment of shows and then added many more later. So I do have data from the big ones missing as well. 

[keysersoze123]

My coverage for SW9 was not final. 

 

SW9 MTC1 previews final - 526597/1015531 7638050.75 6792 shows.

 

I think based on what @charlie Jatinder posted earlier, its about 70% of overall number at MTC1. NWH should beat that for sure. How much only time will tell. 

[XXR & Friends]

10 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

My coverage for SW9 was not final. 

 

SW9 MTC1 previews final - 526597/1015531 7638050.75 6792 shows.

 

I think based on what @charlie Jatinder posted earlier, its about 70% of overall number at MTC1. NWH should beat that for sure. How much only time will tell. 

If my math is correct, wouldn’t that put NWH around TROS already? 

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

If my math is correct, wouldn’t that put NWH around TROS already? 

Let's wait for the run to finish. 1/3 of the shows, depending on where they are from, can be deceptive. Plus from regionals it's nowhere close so why would MTC1 be that high. 

[XXR & Friends]

3 minutes ago, Menor said:

Let's wait for the run to finish. 1/3 of the shows, depending on where they are from, can be deceptive. Plus from regionals it's nowhere close so why would MTC1 be that high. 

It shouldn’t be but I’m just spitballing. Hence why I asked if the run favored higher selling shows or there was any rhyme to what the algorithm picked when it was running. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

On 12/4/2021 at 9:22 PM, Menor said:

West Side Story MTC2

 

Thursday

Seats Sold: 2053/124763    

$ Sales: 26475  

Showtimes: 707    

 

Friday:

Seats Sold: 3678/236186    

$ Sales: 41396    

Showtimes: 1277

 

Over 80 theaters haven't even put the tickets on sale...

Thu:

Seats Sold: 2454/125491 (+401)

$ Sales: 31577 (+5102)

Showtimes: 710 (+3)

 

Fri:

Seats Sold: 4730/237662 (+1052)

$ Sales: 53647 (+12251)

 Showtimes: 1283 (+6)

 

Pace for both Thu and Fri is on par with what I had for Free Guy back then, if not a bit higher. Will have an exact comp tomorrow but it's looking like it will land at 80% of FG Thu and higher than FG Fri when I take it. 

Edited December 6, 2021 by Menor

[charlie Jatinder]

18 minutes ago, Menor said:

Let's wait for the run to finish. 1/3 of the shows, depending on where they are from, can be deceptive. Plus from regionals it's nowhere close so why would MTC1 be that high. 

Is the run gonna finish? @keysersoze123. I thought he said the run hit a bug and had to abort.

[Menor the Destroyer]

13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Is the run gonna finish? @keysersoze123. I thought he said the run hit a bug and had to abort.

New run I believe. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

27 minutes ago, Menor said:

Thu:

Seats Sold: 2454/125491 (+401)

$ Sales: 31577 (+5102)

Showtimes: 710 (+3)

 

Fri:

Seats Sold: 4730/237662 (+1052)

$ Sales: 53647 (+12251)

 Showtimes: 1283 (+6)

 

Pace for both Thu and Fri is on par with what I had for Free Guy back then, if not a bit higher. Will have an exact comp tomorrow but it's looking like it will land at 80% of FG Thu and higher than FG Fri when I take it. 

So 1.7m previews?

[charlie Jatinder]

5 minutes ago, Menor said:

New run I believe. 

Oh I hope it get finished and we get all the data 😛

[Menor the Destroyer]

4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

So 1.7m previews?

Lot of variables. I assume MTC1 would be even better but then Free Guy was also MTC1 heavy. But hopefully at least that. 

 

FYI Jungle Cruise comp will probably be around 1.2m Thu/5.5m Fri tomorrow, it for sure will be higher than that as JC was very MTC2 heavy. Can take that as the floor but I'm optimistic in beating 20 on the weekend. 

Edited December 6, 2021 by Menor

[filmlover]

West Side Story is gonna be in over 1K theaters less than Free Guy so a similar PTA would result in an opening in the high teens. Doesn't seem impossible, but we'll see.

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

West Side Story is gonna be in over 1K theaters less than Free Guy so a similar PTA would result in an opening in the high teens. Doesn't seem impossible, but we'll see.

Well the PTA is higher than Free Guy so far. This seems to be playing in around 240 MTC2 theaters vs 317 for Free Guy, still it's matching the sales. 

Edited December 6, 2021 by Menor

[Eric is Quiet]

22 hours ago, Eric Madrigal said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	202	15,799	37,428	40.86%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 507

 

Comp

2.081x of Black Widow's Final Count (27.47M)

3.016x of Venom 2's Final Count (34.99M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.207x of Star Wars: TROS T-12 (48.29M)

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	5	202	16,435	37,428	43.91%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 3

Total Seats Sold Today: 1,143

 

Comp

2.164x of Black Widow's Final Count (28.57M)

3.138x of Venom 2's Final Count (36.4M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.242x of Star Wars: TROS T-11 (49.67M)

 

So I forgot to add in the two previous sellouts that emerged a couple days ago. But hey, this takes a long time to do, so cut me some slack.

 

And yeah, for whatever reason three sellouts, all at the same theater, happened today. That's kinda weird.

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/5/2021 at 1:25 AM, Eric Madrigal said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	54	1480	9916	14.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 6

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	54	1485	9916	14.98%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 5

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Menor said:

Well the PTA is higher than Free Guy so far. This seems to be playing in around 240 MTC2 theaters vs 317 for Free Guy, still it's matching the sales. 

Oh it's a good sign for sure, especially for a movie that's largely aimed at an audience that still hasn't returned to theaters in full force yet. Imagine there's some frontloading going on though given that one could make a valid argument that this is an IP-based property (as unquestionably one of, if not the, most iconic musicals ever).

[Joyous Legion]

6 minutes ago, Eric Madrigal said:

And yeah, for whatever reason three sellouts, all at the same theater, happened today. That's kinda weird.

🕷️🕷️🕷️

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Oh it's a good sign for sure, especially for a movie that's largely aimed at an audience that still hasn't returned to theaters in full force yet. Imagine there's some frontloading going on though given that one could make a valid argument that this is an IP-based property (as unquestionably one of, if not the, most iconic musicals ever).

That is likely. Will run Sat tomorrow to check on frontloading. Still the Fri/Thu ratio seems like it will be solid.