The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Good enough for double digit OD?

Maybe. 4.5 hours it was at 6883/175599, $80723. The lack of PLFs definitely shows in the ticket price. Still it's the fourth biggest PS start of the year at MTC2, behind Spidey, BW, and Eternals. I'm quite impressed considering MTC2 is usually family oriented and doesn't tend to go for R-rated movies. 

Edited December 6, 2021 by Menor

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, Menor said:

Maybe. 4.5 hours it was at 6883/175599, $80723. The lack of PLFs definitely shows in the ticket price. Still it's the fourth biggest PS start of the year at MTC2, behind Spidey, BW, and Eternals. I'm quite impressed considering MTC2 is usually family oriented and doesn't tend to go for R-rated movies. 

This is peak movie going season and both Matrix/Sing 2 will benefit. Especially when prime time Spidey shows sellout. This is apart from those who want to watch this on big screen. 

 

I am more optimistic about Sing 2 as that is not a hybrid release. 

[Gopher]

Any chance this is partially the MTCs doing as well? Theaters are getting an record-breaking grosser in NWH, a blockbuster in Sing 2 and a solid programmer in Kings Man, all *theatrical exclusive*. Hard not to see this as retribution of some sort for WB letting so many day and date releases die on the vine theatrically. 

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, Gopher said:

Any chance this is partially the MTCs doing as well? Theaters are getting an record-breaking grosser in NWH, a blockbuster in Sing 2 and a solid programmer in Kings Man, all *theatrical exclusive*. Hard not to see this as retribution of some sort for WB letting so many day and date releases die on the vine theatrically. 

Yeah Encanto was cut down because Disney+...

What's an MTC though?

[filmlover]

I was just looking at WB's slate for 2022 and they have only 9 movies listed as coming for the whole year (The Batman, Fantastic Beasts 3, Super-Pets, Elvis, Black Adam, Salem's Lot, Don't Worry Darling, The Flash, Aquaman 2) - 5 of which are DC-affiliated. Clearly they're worried most about what's going to happen to HBO Max's subscriber numbers once the theatrical day-and-dates are over starting next month, especially when they're sending pretty much everything that probably wouldn't need to make much in theaters to turn a profit like Magic Mike 3 directly to their streaming service.

Edited December 6, 2021 by filmlover

[XXR vs XXR]

16 minutes ago, cannastop said:

What's an MTC though?

Movie Theater Chain

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2248

3431

65.52%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2037

4232

48.13%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
13084	412	32711	40.00%	15	212

 

AMCs sold	7061
Cinemarks sold	2562
Regals sold	2192
Harkins sold	1269

 

Eternals final comp: 27.92M

Shang-Chi final comp: 28.54M

Black Widow final comp: 27.15M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 31.47M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-11 comp: 47.00M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-11: +412, +3.25%

6.75x Shang-Chi T-11 (+61, +8.21%)

5.72x Black Widow T-11 (+72, +4.06%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-11: +311, +2.77%

2.21x TRoS T-11 (+141, +1.50%)

Barely a drop from yesterday, pretty solid

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2299

3431

67.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2084

4232

49.24%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
13403	319	32711	40.97%	15	212

 

AMCs sold	7224
Cinemarks sold	2616
Regals sold	2253
Harkins sold	1310

 

Eternals final comp: 28.60M

Shang-Chi final comp: 29.23M

Black Widow final comp: 27.81M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 32.18M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-10 comp: 47.48M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

Spoiler

NWH T-10: +319, +2.44%

4.98x Eternals T-10 (+64, +4.24%)

3.51x Shang-Chi T-10 (+91, +11.32%)

4.37x Black Widow T-10 (+73, +3.96%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-10: +253, +2.25%

2.18x TRoS T-10 (+116, +1.21%)

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-11 days Thursday(157 showings): 17973(+452, +2.58%)/37704(+452) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 27.84M

Black Widow final comp: 28.66M

 

Daily pace comparison: 7.66x Black Widow T-11 (+59, +2.67%)

 

T-12 days Friday(181 showings): 12987(+361, +2.86%)/50009 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 29.93M

Black Widow final comp: 36.78M

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.23x Black Widow T-12 (+69, +4.76%)

 

T-13 days Saturday(179 showings): 6892(+480)/48174(+294) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 19.37M

 

T-14 days Sunday(153 showings): 1610(+230)/46322 in 15 theaters

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-10 days Thursday(161 showings): 18553(+580, +3.23%)/38339(+635) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 28.74M

Black Widow final comp: 29.58M

 

Daily pace comparison: 8.66x Black Widow T-10 (+67, +2.95%)

 

T-11 days Friday(181 showings): 13588(+601, +4.63%)/50009 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 31.31M

Black Widow final comp: 38.48M

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.56x Black Widow T-11 (+108, +7.11%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(179 showings): 7487(+595)/48174 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 21.05M

 

T-13 days Sunday(153 showings): 1766(+156)/46322 in 15 theaters

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Matrix 415 IMAX on 22nd doing well at AMC after just few hours with 76 tickets sold

 

The 705 digital has 17.

 

Really would have been cool to see what this would have done in a world without HBO MAX.. even a world when it wasn't splitting IMAX

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-11 days Thursday(260 showings): 24906(+416)/33921

 

Eternals final comp: 23.56M

 

T-12 days Friday(317 showings): 21519(+619)/42409

 

Eternals final comp: 35.03M

 

T-13 days Saturday(354 showings): 20469(+914)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 33.09M

 

T-14 days Sunday(295 showings): 10163(+712)/39325

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-10 days Thursday(260 showings): 25200(+294, +1.18%)/33921

 

Eternals final comp: 23.84M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.66x Eternals T-10 (+177, +3.69%)

 

T-11 days Friday(318 showings): 22261(+742, +3.45%)/42510(+101)

 

Eternals final comp: 36.23M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.52x Eternals T-11 (+164, 3.87%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(354 showings): 21252(+783, +3.83%)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 34.36M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.47x Eternals T-12 (+175, 4.06%)

 

T-13 days Sunday(295 showings): 10881(+718, +7.06%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.74x Eternals T-13 (+125, 5.00%)

 

The capacity issues are really showing with the Thursday pace comparison

[Eduardo]

Is selling better than Dune, but all I hear is doomsday for Matrix 4.

We all know how Dune don't gonna break the $60M and all other trash stuff. 

[Inceptionzq]

Regal is already marketing No Way Home as the #1 movie of the year. Can't blame them

[Cap]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am not sure if @Cap is tracking empire/lincoln. But data I see so far is

 

Empire 25 - 5392/7428 109210.28 31 shows

Lincoln Sq - 4474/5396 98250.86 17 shows

 

Crazy strong but limited potential for growth as all prime time shows are almost sold out. 

I am not tracking them post pandemic, but when I get home tonight I’ll pull up my old data I have. 
 

I found they weren’t necessarily the best to track Because Lincoln Square tended to always over perform since it is the premium theater in the city. I was actually trying to figure out a way to do an adjustment scale, but then Covid happened

[Inceptionzq]

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

119

794

14.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

76

1036

7.34%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 7 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
398	398	10018	3.97%	15	63

 

AMCs sold	283
Cinemarks sold	27
Regals sold	65
Harkins sold	23

 

Pacing ahead of what Dune started at, though that's previews vs OD. But nonetheless, Dune was at 434 sold after 8 hours.

[Inceptionzq]

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-16 days Wednesday(37 showings): 138/8660 in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Thursday(33 showings): 64/8048 in 8 theaters

 

T-18 days Friday(23 showings): 54/5190 in 8 theaters

 

T-19 days Saturday(34 showings): 36/7783 in 8 theaters

 

T-20 days Sunday(21 showings): 7/4202 in 6 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-16 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2053/11113

 

T-17 days Thursday(81 showings): 909/10091

 

T-18 days Friday(48 showings): 214/5585

 

T-19 days Saturday(67 showings): 366/7530

 

T-20 days Sunday(55 showings): 181/6434

 

Strong start here. For comparison's sake, Dune was at 3126 sold for T-7 Thursday and 4338 for T-8 Friday

[XXR vs XXR]

44 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

The capacity issues are really showing with the Thursday pace comparison

Yep. Looking at your other numbers there no reason it shouldn’t be 600+ except for lack of good seats/times.

[CloneWars]

I am going to say this, NWH is one of the hardest films opening to predict, and I say this as someone who has been into box office since I got into it the weekend the first Spider-Man opened with $114M. Under normal times, the presales would indicate a potential $300M opening (they still do, but unlikely). However, presales are more frontloaded. Some families and older people just aren't going back to theaters. And, we now have another Covid variant. Plus, there is a worker shortage which could impact showtimes and also some theaters closed for good during the pandemic. Regardless, this will still open massively, but I honestly have no idea if it opens to $200M, $300M or somewhere in-between.

 

I will say this, I expect legs to be strong because I think two actors will appear in this film and once that confirmation spreads a lot of people will go see it second weekend. At least, that's my thoughts.

Edited December 7, 2021 by CloneWars

[efialtes76]

$300M OW?🤣

[Menor the Destroyer]

So...I'm not sure what's going on, but West Side Story advance tickets for previews don't appear to be available on MTC2 website anymore. 

 

 

Can anyone else confirm this? This is so weird. I manually checked quite a few MTC2 theaters that used to have WSS showings for Thursday, and they have just vanished. 

 

Friday is still there thankfully. So will update that and Saturday today. 

Edited December 7, 2021 by Menor