The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Hiccup23]

All 5 showings of Friend Request got pulled at my theater

[WrathOfHan]

The 7:30 Kingsman only sold 8 tickets. Hmm.

[TalismanRing]

42 minutes ago, Hiccup23 said:

All 5 showings of Friend Request got pulled at my theater

Friend Request - Denied

[WrathOfHan]

8:00 Kingsman is ending with 18 tickets, so that's about 80 tickets total for tonight. Obviously it isn't terrible, but it makes me think the weekend's roof isn't much higher than 40M. I'll do a Friday report in about an hour or two, but first, I'm waiting to see if the 8:15 FR can manage to sell anything  

[Rumpot]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

8:00 Kingsman is ending with 18 tickets, so that's about 80 tickets total for tonight. Obviously it isn't terrible, but it makes me think the weekend's roof isn't much higher than 40M. I'll do a Friday report in about an hour or two, but first, I'm waiting to see if the 8:15 FR can manage to sell anything  

It's no IT, but faring better at my theater for sure (will update soon, should do more than 50% IT), but I do wonder if the run-time is just too much for a non-summer Thursday.

 

It is selling well enough on Fandango though - ~50 tickets per minute for me since 5pm

[WrathOfHan]

Friend Request sold NOTHING tonight    These are the worst previews for ANY film this year here! I'm seriously wondering if this thing can go below 2M.

 

[WrathOfHan]

> NEW RELEASES
1	-	The LEGO Ninjago Movie	Warner Bros.	4,047	-	-	1
3	-	Kingsman The Golden Circle	Fox	4,003	-	-	1
6	-	Friend Request	Entertainment Studios	2,569	-	-	1
14	-	Stronger	Roadside Attractions	574	-	-	1
46	-	Battle of the Sexes	Fox Searchlight	21	-	-	1
48	-	Elizabeth Blue	Global Digital	10	-	-	1
52	-	Victoria and Abdul	Focus Features	4	-	-	1
54	-	Woodshock	A24	3	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
17	91	Brad's Status	Annapurna Pictures	453	+449	+11,225.0%	2
30	34	Viceroy's House	IFC	121	+12	+11.0%	4
34	46	Rebel in the Rye	IFC	81	+32	+65.3%	3
45	59	The Unknown Girl	IFC	22	+6	+37.5%	3
> NO CHANGE
4	3	American Assassin	Lionsgate	3,154	-	-	2
7	7	mother!	Paramount	2,368	-	-	2
53	-	Le Trou (2017 re-release)	Rialto	3	-	-	12
55	-	L'important C'est D'aimer (2017 Re-Release)	Rialto	2	-	-	9
> DECLINING
2	1	It	Warner Bros. (New Line)	4,007	-141	-3.4%	3
5	4	Home Again	Open Road Films	2,685	-351	-11.6%	3
8	2	The Hitman's Bodyguard	Lionsgate/Summit	2,037	-1,235	-37.7%	6
9	5	Wind River	Weinstein Company	1,431	-1,188	-45.4%	8
10	6	Leap!	Weinstein Company	1,301	-1,115	-46.2%	5
11	10	Spider-Man: Homecoming	Sony / Columbia	1,006	-430	-29.9%	12
12	8	Annabelle: Creation	Warner Bros. (New Line)	682	-1,435	-67.8%	7
13	9	Dunkirk	Warner Bros.	678	-800	-54.1%	10
15	13	The Emoji Movie	Sony / Columbia	573	-578	-50.2%	9
16	14	Despicable Me 3	Universal	536	-447	-45.5%	13
18	11	Logan Lucky	Bleecker Street	397	-1,004	-71.7%	6
19	12	The Dark Tower	Sony / Columbia	358	-877	-71.0%	8
20	19	Wonder Woman	Warner Bros.	355	-304	-46.1%	17
21	15	The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature	Open Road Films	341	-505	-59.7%	7
22	17	Girls Trip	Universal	310	-423	-57.7%	10
23	21	War for the Planet of the Apes	Fox	306	-164	-34.9%	11
24	16	All Saints	Sony / Columbia	293	-457	-60.9%	5

 

 

Kingsman managed to limp over 4k theaters, so that's three films in 4k+ theaters this weekend   HUGE drops for THB, WR, Leap, Annabelle, Dunkirk, LL, and TDT. 

Edited September 22, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[TwoMisfits]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Friend Request sold NOTHING tonight    These are the worst previews for ANY film this year here! I'm seriously wondering if this thing can go below 2M.

 

Probably - so far my local has sold zero and my mall has sold 6 tickets...so its previews are probably gonna be so low as to not bother being reported...it can still rebound a little on typical Fri/Sat night horror, but unless Moviepass holders get bored, this is looking bad (too bad that probably means you'll win our Casino bet, but then again, mother! still could go low, too...although that low would be hard:)...

[That One Girl]

I think FR can still hit 5M.

[Rumpot]

9 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Probably - so far my local has sold zero and my mall has sold 6 tickets...so its previews are probably gonna be so low as to not bother being reported...it can still rebound a little on typical Fri/Sat night horror, but unless Moviepass holders get bored, this is looking bad (too bad that probably means you'll win our Casino bet, but then again, mother! still could go low, too...although that low would be hard:)...

The bar for a horror fan to decide to stay up late on a Thursday has been raised this year I bet...plus can't imagine anyone past early 20s would watch this...

[Boxofficerules]

I keep seeing Jeepers Creepers 3 tickets selling, how many theatres is it opening in next week? I've seen more sales for that than a I have for Friend Request or Flatliners.

[WrathOfHan]

I've said this several times before, but Friend Request is the type of horror film tweens and teens under 17 go to see and have a riot with their friends, except this one is rated R and therefore off limits for that crowd. The older crowd sure as shit won't care about this, and if they do, what's stopping them from watching it online right now or importing a Blu-Ray?  

[That One Girl]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

I keep seeing Jeepers Creepers 3 tickets selling, how many theatres is it opening in next week? I've seen more sales for that than a I have for Friend Request or Flatliners.

 

It's a one night only event

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

I keep seeing Jeepers Creepers 3 tickets selling, how many theatres is it opening in next week? I've seen more sales for that than a I have for Friend Request or Flatliners.

It's a one night only Fathom Event, so it'll only make a few million at the most. However, maybe that's enough to beat FR  

[Boxofficerules]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I've said this several times before, but Friend Request is the type of horror film tweens and teens under 17 go to see and have a riot with their friends, except this one is rated R and therefore off limits for that crowd. The older crowd sure as shit won't care about this, and if they do, what's stopping them from watching it online right now or importing a Blu-Ray?  

It did poorly over here when released and it had a lower rating. When I saw it opening night there where a few older people at it but that was it. No teens at all.

[WrathOfHan]

How my theater looks tomorrow:

 

Spoiler

Kingsman:

 

10:00: 17/124

11:45: 4/78

12:20: 2/78

1:45: 2/113

3:00: 2/78

4:00: 6/124

5:30: 0/78

7:00: 4/78

7:30: 4/113

8:45: 4/78

10:00: 7/124

10:30: 2/78

 

Ninjago:

 

10:00: 0/78

11:15: 0/113

12:30 3D: 6/78

1:15: 1/124

2:00: 0/78

2:55 3D: 0/78

4:30: 0/78

5:00: 0/113

6:10 3D: 7/78

7:15: 8/124

8:40 3D: 0/78

10:10: 0/78

 

It:

 

10:30: 2/78

12:00: 0/69

1:30: 0/78

3:00: 2/69

4:30: 0/78

6:00: 2/69

7:30: 4/78

9:05: 0/69

10:45: 0/113

 

Friend Request:

 

10:10: 0/67

12:30: 0/67

2:50: 2/67

5:10: 2/67

7:30: 0/67

9:50: 2/67

 

mother!:

 

10:15: 0/63

1:00: 2/63

3:45: 0/63

6:30: 0/63

9:15: 0/63

 

THB:

 

11:05: 2/60

 

Kingsman: 54/1,144

Ninjago: 22/1,098

It: 10/701

Friend Request: 6/402

mother!: 2/315

THB: 2/60

Mulan, American Assassin, Home Again, and SMH have sold nothing.

 

Kingsman comps:

 

165% of THB

80% of AA

35% of It

 

Ninjago is selling 20% of what Lego Batman was the day of. That only had like 40 more seats too, so it's definitely not a capacity issue  

 

 

Edited September 22, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

I'm thinking Ninjago will open with just over half of what LEGO Batman did at this point. It's been a while since there was a family film but the weak reviews and unpersuasive marketing are gonna pretty much alienate the adults/teens who went to see the other LEGO movies.

Edited September 22, 2017 by filmlover

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, filmlover said:

I'm thinking Ninjago will over with just over half of what LEGO Batman did at this point. It's been a while since there was a family film but the weak reviews and unpersuasive marketing are gonna pretty much alienate the adults/teens who went to see the other LEGO movies.

I'm veeeeeeeeeery tempted to lower my prediction to 30M (it's at 35M right now). Tracking has it as low as 31M, so it's not too much of a stretch. 

[YM!]

Ninjago as long as it does a $30M+ OW, everything will be fine. But upper 20's OW can happen too .

[That One Girl]

Kingsman - 37M

It - 32M

Ninjago - 30M

American Assasin - 6.5M

Friend Request - 4M

mother! - 2.6M