The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Biggestgeekever]

Mendelson provided an update for Detective Pikachu here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2019/05/02/box-office-aladdin-will-smith-disney-brightburn-james-gunn-john-wick-pokemon-pikachu/#3b93472e494c

Quote

It’ll have to compete with the potentially huge Detective Pikachu (now allegedly tracking at closer to $80 million for next weekend)

 

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Mendelson provided an update for Detective Pikachu here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2019/05/02/box-office-aladdin-will-smith-disney-brightburn-james-gunn-john-wick-pokemon-pikachu/#3b93472e494c

 

Also says that Brightburn is tracking at $10-12M. Not at all surprised, it feels like a flop despite the fairly unique concept (what if Superman was a psychotic killer?).

[Cappoedameron]

11 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Mendelson provided an update for Detective Pikachu here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2019/05/02/box-office-aladdin-will-smith-disney-brightburn-james-gunn-john-wick-pokemon-pikachu/#3b93472e494c

 

Yet nada from Deadline or HR about DP? Is that weird? Does that usually happen?

[Mulder]

15 hours ago, Mulder said:

Final count for today, only Thursdays-

Aladdin-49 (+5), 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

Detective Pikachu-109 (+5), 6 screenings (3 3D, 3 Regular)

John Wick-54 (+6), 4 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 Regular)

 

All the releases did really good today. Aladdin and PikaPika both picked up 5 tickets today while John Wick picked up 6. 

Once again woke up late today so just going to do morning and mid-day counts together, only Thursdays-

Aladdin-49, 7 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 3D, 2 Regular+Fan Screening)

Detective Pikachu-113 (+4), 6 screenings (3 3D, 3 Regular)

John Wick-62 (+8), 4 screenings (2 IMAX, 2 Regular)

 

Pikachu's proceeding nicely and holy fuck @ John Wick's increase

[TwoMisfits]

So, Missing Link DOM OW is probably gonna be UglyDolls target - for the 2 theaters I track, it's sold no tickets for any show at 1 of them today (including 0 for the 4pm starting now) and 8 total at the other one (including 5 for 4pm).  So, previews are gonna be low...should have put out a promotion much earlier to try to save this OW:)...

Edited May 3, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Porthos]

46 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Mendelson provided an update for Detective Pikachu here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2019/05/02/box-office-aladdin-will-smith-disney-brightburn-james-gunn-john-wick-pokemon-pikachu/#3b93472e494c

 

"allegedly" "closer to 80".

 

Thanks a bunch, Scott. 👍

 

(I defend him more than most here, but that really was spectacularly unhelpful )

[Cappoedameron]

 

Everyone trying to track Detective Pikachu. Question marks and even more question marks on top of headaches.

Edited May 2, 2019 by Cappoedameron

[filmlover]

Variety says the same for Aladdin and Brightburn and that Booksmart is on track for $10M. That's better than I figured honestly. Tomato Law Magic @CJohn

 

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/aladdin-box-office-opening-weekend-tracking-disney-1203203319/

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Variety says the same for Aladdin and Brightburn and that Booksmart is on track for $10M. That's better than I figured honestly. Tomato Law Magic @CJohn

 

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/aladdin-box-office-opening-weekend-tracking-disney-1203203319/

Never underestimate the power of a fresh tomato.

[Biggestgeekever]

$10M would be a big win for Booksmart considering how generally awful Annapurna has been at distributing their films so far.

[filmlover]

Just now, Biggestgeekever said:

$10M would be a big win for Booksmart considering how generally awful Annapurna has been at distributing their films so far.

This time they can probably thank SXSW for helping build awareness for the movie.

[TalismanRing]

Just now, Porthos said:

"allegedly" "closer to 80".

 

Thanks a bunch, Scott. 👍

 

(I defend him more than most here, but that really was spectacularly unhelpful )

Better than his AEG stories where he bizarrely harps on how at most it will finish 2nd while proclaiming 2nd is great!  Even though it actually has a rather good shot at finishing 1st Dom & WW he seems to think what will prevent it most is.... Pikachu and that Disney might not want it to pass Avatar b/c it would make Avatar less special.

[Mulder]

80 million sounds about right for Aladdin honestly. 

[HouseOfTheSun]

I feel like Pika could have broken out 120+ over a 5 day memorial holiday 

[YM!]

12 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

I feel like Pika could have broken out 120+ over a 5 day memorial holiday 

To be honest, the whole schedule would be a clusterfuck. If had a say, I’d move Pets 2 to November as it and Frozen II could easily coexist, Pikachu and Lego 2 would switch spots as Lego 2 was doomed either way.

[Porthos]

Still capping BTW.  

 

In other info, the Early Access showings for Rocketman was in the Top Five for Fandango for a while, before slipping out just now (pending adjustment).  And that's with EG hogging three of the top five slots.:

 

2019-05-02 12:00:00	1906	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-02 12:00:00	249	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-05-02 12:00:00	178	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
2019-05-02 12:00:00	154	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-05-02 12:00:00	79	The Intruder (2019)

2019-05-02 13:00:00	2580	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-02 13:00:00	331	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-05-02 13:00:00	253	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
2019-05-02 13:00:00	207	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-05-02 13:00:00	104	Long Shot

2019-05-02 14:00:00	2617	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-02 14:00:00	317	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-05-02 14:00:00	208	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-05-02 14:00:00	170	Fandango Early Access Rocketman
2019-05-02 14:00:00	112	The Intruder (2019)

2019-05-02 15:00:00	2648	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-02 15:00:00	362	Avengers Endgame 3D (2019)
2019-05-02 15:00:00	221	Avengers Endgame The IMAX 2D Experience (2019)
2019-05-02 15:00:00	135	The Intruder (2019)
2019-05-02 15:00:00	103	Long Shot
2019-05-02 15:00:00	84	Fandango Early Access Rocketman

===

The Intruder and Long Shot are both breaking in as well.  When all the EG slots are combined, then all three are safely in the Top Five.

Edited May 2, 2019 by Porthos

[cax16]

Update for EG showings at my theatre tomorrow. I have to work very early tomorrow so I won’t have time to update before work.

 

This was the last update ,

10:00am- 4/306

10:30am-18/392

11:00am-21/336

12:30pm-23/355

2:00pm-15/306

2:30pm-38/392

3:00pm-12/336

4:30pm-21/336

6:00pm-4/306

6:30pm-48/392

7:00pm-146/336

8:30pm-23/355

10:00pm-13/306

11:00pm-39/336

 

New numbers,

 

 

10:00am- 25/306

10:30am-74/392

11:00am-62/336

12:30pm-94/355

2:00pm-46/306

2:30pm-96/392

3:00pm-87/336

4:30pm-106/336

6:00pm- 97/306

6:30pm-203/392

7:00pm-247/336

8:30pm-214/355

10:00pm-62/306

11:00pm-90/336

 

They also added,

 

4:00pm- 52/223

8:00pm- 86/223

 

And a 1:00pm, 5:00pm, 9:00pm I can’t track.

 

This is obviously going to be another big weekend. 

[Ledmonkey96]

Just looked through all of this coming weekend for Endgame tickets and I'm somewhat surprised

 

For a comparison here is OW pre-sales as of the Tuesday before release (Fandango was to troublesome to manage Wednesday/Thurs)

As of 4/23/19	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	1670	1733	96.36%
Saturday	1864	1957	95.25%
Sunday	1483	1957	75.78%
Total	5017	5647	88.84%

 

 

Here is this coming weekend

	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	787	1816	43.34%
Saturday	1073	1834	58.51%
Sunday	660	1955	33.76%
Total	2520	5605	44.96%

 

So a bit over half as many tickets have been sold already for FSS, It's a little bit over half actually now that i think about it. There is a rented out show on Friday and Saturday which I'm fairly sure is in the 130 person theater so that adds 260/260 tickets to the total. 2780/5865 = 47.4%

 

 

Edited May 3, 2019 by Ledmonkey96

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

8 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Just looked through all of this coming weekend for Endgame tickets and I'm somewhat surprised

 

For a comparison here is OW pre-sales as of the Tuesday before release (Fandango was to troublesome to manage Wednesday/Thurs)

As of 4/23/19	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	1670	1733	96.36%
Saturday	1864	1957	95.25%
Sunday	1483	1957	75.78%
Total	5017	5647	88.84%

 

 

Here is this coming weekend

	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	787	1816	43.34%
Saturday	1073	1834	58.51%
Sunday	660	1955	33.76%
Total	2520	5605	44.96%

 

So a bit over half as many tickets have been sold already for FSS, It's a little bit over half actually now that i think about it. There is a rented out show on Friday and Saturday which I'm fairly sure is in the 130 person theater so that adds 260/260 tickets to the total. 2780/5865 = 47.4%

 

 

Good numbers, especially considering 2nd weekend is typically more walkup heavy than the first.

[HouseOfTheSun]

9 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Just looked through all of this coming weekend for Endgame tickets and I'm somewhat surprised

 

For a comparison here is OW pre-sales as of the Tuesday before release (Fandango was to troublesome to manage Wednesday/Thurs)

As of 4/23/19	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	1670	1733	96.36%
Saturday	1864	1957	95.25%
Sunday	1483	1957	75.78%
Total	5017	5647	88.84%

 

 

Here is this coming weekend

	Tickets Sold	Total Tickets	% sold
Friday	787	1816	43.34%
Saturday	1073	1834	58.51%
Sunday	660	1955	33.76%
Total	2520	5605	44.96%

 

So a bit over half as many tickets have been sold already for FSS, It's a little bit over half actually now that i think about it. There is a rented out show on Friday and Saturday which I'm fairly sure is in the 130 person theater so that adds 260/260 tickets to the total. 2780/5865 = 47.4%

 

 

I really don’t see it doing “just” 150 if this is accurate around the country. Walkups will actually be existent this weekend.