The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[keysersoze123]

On 3/23/2021 at 3:59 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Godzilla vs Kong (T-8)

MTC1 - 31804/308311 463439.00 1589 shows +4713

MTC2 - 36719/309367 424091.89 2023 shows(223 theaters) +5449 // 276 shows have not sold any tickets

 

I did not post an update yesterday evening. So its almost 2 days of data. Good increase in show count and ticket sales. 

 

18 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I tried to look at all MTC theaters and found data for lot more shows. 

 

MTC1 - 39617/412322 569033.00 2149 shows(306 theaters)  // 530 shows have not sold any tickets. 

 

Godzilla vs Kong (T-7)

MTC1 - 43740/434380 623736.00 2287 shows (317 theaters)  +4123 // 481 shows have not sold any tickets

MTC2 -  43831/389760 500455.74 2544 shows (259 theaters)  +7112 // 454 shows have not sold any tickets

 

Another solid increase and show count is on a rise as well.  I am also tracking more theaters in both the MTC and MTC2 increase will look more dramatic today. Though I am bummed by Black Widow news yesterday, Zilla is showing there is some life to movie going though we are far from peak.  

[The Wild Eric]

23 hours ago, Eric #TeamKong said:

Nobody Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting (Thursday & Friday)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	116	3778	3.07%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 26

Total Seats Added Today: 2,130

Total Seats Sold Today: 41

 

Comps

1.381x of Chaos Walking T-2 Days Before Release ($1.83M OD)

Nobody Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting (Thursday & Friday)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	56	175	3842	4.55%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 64

Total Seats Sold Today: 59

 

Comps

1.336x of Chaos Walking T-1 Day Before Release ($1.77M OD)

[The Wild Eric]

23 hours ago, Eric #TeamKong said:

Godzilla vs. Kong Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 Days and Counting (Wednesday)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	18	47	1298	3305	39.27%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 16

Total Seats Added Today: 719

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 74

Godzilla vs. Kong Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-7 Days and Counting (Wednesday)

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	19	52	1429	3471	41.17%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 166

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 131

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

Godzilla Vs. Kong Greater Sacramento Area Opening Day Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	14	115	2846	4784	1938	40.51%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	3
Total Showings Added Today	14
Total Seats Added Today	582
Total Seats Sold Today	274

 

====

 

T-8 Comp (lol [well, probably] - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
KotM (Thr Prev)	213.91		61	906		0/93	11736/12642	7.17%		13.48m

 

====

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)	47
Private Watch Party Showings - Cinema West ($130)	5
Adjusted Seats Approximation	822

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25] and 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25] 

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism in this post.

 

===

 

Some, but not all, Cinemarks started to add showings today.  There was also some discussion between myself and @WandaLegion whether or not the one theater that could expand to a cap of 50%/200 max seating would or not today.  Judging by the sellouts which did not become available for purchase to pick up those now legal extra seats I'm going with: Not Yet.

 

I'll keep an eye on it going forward, however.

Godzilla Vs. Kong Greater Sacramento Area Opening Day Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	15	119	3208	5328	2120	39.79%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today	1
Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	544*
Total Seats Sold Today	182

*NOTE: If Fandango sales are accurate, the one theater in the region that has been approved by the state to move to a 50% (or 200 people, whichever is fewer) cap, has done so.  As such I have increased the number of seats available at that theater from 224 seats to 448.   If Fandango is in error, I will revert the number of seats available for that theater in a future update.

Also, one theatre was giving me fits in trying to figure out their formula for how many seats they claim to have available before applying a cap.  I believe I have figured out their formula for all of their showings, resulting in an increase of 76 seats.  The other 244 seats added are from the four new showings added today.

 

====

 

T-7 Comp (lol [well, probably] - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
KotM (Thr Prev)	210.32		102	1008		0/98	12732/13740	7.34%		13.25m

 

====

 

Private Watch Party Showings - Cinemark ($149)	50
Private Watch Party Showings - Cinema West ($130)	6
Adjusted Seats Approximation	884

NOTE: PWP adj = 16 seats for Cinemark [$149/$9.25] and 14 seats for Cinema West [$130/$9.25] 

See further explanation for why I am approximating PWPs and why they should be viewed with at least some skepticism in this post.

[Porthos]

On 3/23/2021 at 11:19 PM, Porthos said:

Godzilla Vs. Kong Greater Sacramento Area Opening Day Seat Report: T-8 days and counting

T-8 Comp (lol [well, probably] - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-8	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
KotM (Thr Prev)	213.91		61	906		0/93	11736/12642	7.17%		13.48m

 

 

Just now, Porthos said:

Godzilla Vs. Kong Greater Sacramento Area Opening Day Seat Report: T-7 days and counting

 

T-7 Comp (lol [well, probably] - use at own risk)

	%		Sold T-7	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
KotM (Thr Prev)	210.32		102	1008		0/98	12732/13740	7.34%		13.25m

ALTOGETHER NOW:

 

CRUMBLING!!!!!!!!!!!! 

[Cooper Legion]

5 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

ALTOGETHER NOW:

 

CRUMBLING!!!!!!!!!!!! 

Damn, $1M OD it is then.

[keysersoze123]

On 3/21/2021 at 4:08 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Here you go

 

Godzilla vs Kong

Day 2

MTC1 - 4879/229807 76770.00 1147 shows

MTC2 - 9451/279543 107899.29 1818 shows

Day 3

MTC1 - 8853/398295 127401.00 2000 shows

MTC2 - 13173/377292 154130.86 2429 shows

Day 4

MTC1 - 12241/499950 159517.00 2471 shows

MTC2 - 16935/443294 198011.72 2853 shows

 

It has increased show count for friday/saturday. 

 

 

Just looked at data for D2/3/4 with enhanced theaters that I am tracking. This took a while to do and Day 2/3 were taken yesterday. 

 

Godzilla vs Kong

Day 2

MTC1 - 11556/390601 178921.00 1993 shows (310 theatres) // 942 shows no tickets sold

MTC2 -  14290/383768 162999.88 2550 shows(262 theatres) // 1226 shows no tickets sold

Day 3 

MTC1 - 17817/544940 251928.00 2738 shows(414 theatres) // 1035 shows no tickets sold

MTC2 - 19992/519000 234303.79 3385 shows(270 theatres) // 1573 shows no tickets sold

Day 4

MTC1 - 21947/651018 279369.00 3284 shows(410 theatres) // 1261 shows no tickets sold

MTC2 - 23654/589840 275983.11 3833 shows(270 theatres) //  1726 shows no tickets sold

 

Still OD shows dominate ticket sales big time. 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Still OD shows dominate ticket sales big time. 

But that's how it is supposed to be, no?

In fact Day 4 having almost $1M nationwide sales is really great IMO.

[keysersoze123]

6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

But that's how it is supposed to be, no?

In fact Day 4 having almost $1M nationwide sales is really great IMO.

normally pre-covid I expect Friday/Saturday sales to be lot closer to OD considering its a normal business day release. Plus friday/saturday release is lot wider. In fact barring blockbusters, its quite "normal". Of course individual screen capacity is lot less than normal. Reason I mentioned is that the demand might not sustain and it may have not so great legs consequently. 

[charlie Jatinder]

Basing of @keysersoze123 data

Wed - $2.5M

Thu - $0.7M

Fri - $0.85M

Sat - $1M

 

Rest I suppose $0.5M

Total - $5.5M

If @Menor can give update on PWPs, that will help too. 

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Basing of @keysersoze123 data

Wed - $2.5M

Thu - $0.7M

Fri - $0.85M

Sat - $1M

 

Rest I suppose $0.5M

Total - $5.5M

If @Menor can give update on PWPs, that will help too. 

 

I will get the data later today. But keep in mind that the ratio of PWPs being for GvK is not likely to be consistent day-to-day. On OD probably 80-85%, but probably significantly less on Fri/Sat. 

Edited March 25, 2021 by Menor

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

normally pre-covid I expect Friday/Saturday sales to be lot closer to OD considering its a normal business day release. Plus friday/saturday release is lot wider. In fact barring blockbusters, its quite "normal". Of course individual screen capacity is lot less than normal. Reason I mentioned is that the demand might not sustain and it may have not so great legs consequently. 

It's been so long since had to see the Domestic pre-sales and I don't think we had a mid week release, but in other markets, say China where pre-sales are tracked more often as whole, Saturday having 40% pre-sales of OD Wed will be considered huge. That too 6 days out.

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Menor said:

On OD probably 80-85%, but probably significantly less on Fri/Sat. 

Yeah, that will make complete sense.

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

It's been so long since had to see the Domestic pre-sales and I don't think we had a mid week release, but in other markets, say China where pre-sales are tracked more often as whole, Saturday having 40% pre-sales of OD Wed will be considered huge. That too 6 days out.

Last really big one I remember was FFH which was a totally different circumstance, but iirc the pre-sales on that were really heavily skewed toward OD. 

[charlie Jatinder]

I may be wrong here but the reason for lower PSm could be that till now only regular cinegoers are visiting theaters,  those folks who pre-book their tickets.

 

As more general audience will start coming, we will start seeing increase in PSm.

[Menor the Destroyer]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

I may be wrong here but the reason for lower PSm could be that till now only regular cinegoers are visiting theaters,  those folks who pre-book their tickets.

 

As more general audience will start coming, we will start seeing increase in PSm.

That and lower capacity probably. Less room for a film to increase.

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Godzilla vs Kong Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

424

3026

14.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

256

2164

11.83%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1386	159	15755	8.80%	8	89

Showings added: 25

Seats added: 3790

 

$150 PWPs: 16

$200 PWPs: 3

$250 PWPs: 2

$300 PWPs: 5

Godzilla vs Kong Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

491

3026

16.23%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

296

2374

12.47%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1657	219	17066	9.71%	9	98

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 514

 

$150 PWPs: 18(+2)

$200 PWPs: 3

$250 PWPs: 2

$300 PWPs: 8(+3)

 

A new AMC theater opened in Denver this month, so I added that today. I did not add the new theater's totals to the seats sold in the past day, or the new showings and seats added. So the 219 tickets sold the past day are all from the 8 theaters I've been tracking the whole time, a pretty solid increase. Just for the record, there are 52 tickets sold at the new theater so far. I will be adding the new theater to tickets sold the past day and for new showings added starting tomorrow.

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

 

Godzilla vs Kong (T-7)

MTC1 - 43740/434380 623736.00 2287 shows (317 theaters)  +4123 // 481 shows have not sold any tickets

MTC2 -  43831/389760 500455.74 2544 shows (259 theaters)  +7112 // 454 shows have not sold any tickets

 

Another solid increase and show count is on a rise as well.  I am also tracking more theaters in both the MTC and MTC2 increase will look more dramatic today. Though I am bummed by Black Widow news yesterday, Zilla is showing there is some life to movie going though we are far from peak.  

 Godzilla vs Kong(T-6)

 MTC1 - 49220/444881 695093.00 2359 shows(322 theatres)  +5480 //377 shows have not sold any tickets

 MTC2 - 48247/406592 547960.22 2685 shows (260 theatres)  +4416 //433 shows have not sold any tickets.

 

Another solid day. I think somewhere around double this number is possible with current shows. But it will add more shows as well. If I have to guess I am thinking 150K MTC1 and 130K MTC2 finish. Without Regal, I would say that would be at least 50-60% the overall BO(so around 6-7m OD). But I could be wrong as its hard to predict during COVID.  There are also PWP and so overall BO will be higher. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

 Godzilla vs Kong(T-6)

 MTC1 - 49220/444881 695093.00 2359 shows(322 theatres)  +5480 //377 shows have not sold any tickets

 MTC2 - 48247/406592 547960.22 2685 shows (260 theatres)  +4416 //433 shows have not sold any tickets.

 

Another solid day. I think somewhere around double this number is possible with current shows. But it will add more shows as well. If I have to guess I am thinking 150K MTC1 and 130K MTC2 finish. Without Regal, I would say that would be at least 50-60% the overall BO(so around 6-7m OD). But I could be wrong as its hard to predict during COVID.  There are also PWP and so overall BO will be higher. 

I have a hard time seeing the OD below WW84. But we will see. WW84 I also thought should be lower from the MTC data. 

[The Wild Eric]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-can-nobody-punch-past-other-male-driven-pandemic-openers-to-unseat-raya-from-first-place/

 

Quote

Weekend Forecast

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, March 28	Location Count	% Change from Last Wknd
Nobody	Universal Pictures	$6,600,000	$6,600,000	2,460	NEW
Raya and the Last Dragon	Walt Disney Pictures	$4,000,000	$28,800,000	2,212	-22%
Tom & Jerry	Warner Bros. Studios	$3,200,000	$38,000,000	~2,500	-16%
Chaos Walking	Lionsgate	$1,400,000	$11,700,000	2,036	-27%
The Courier	Roadside Attractions	$1,300,000	$3,800,000	1,641	-31%
The Croods: A New Age	Universal Pictures	$550,000	$56,000,000	1,319	-12%
Boogie	Focus Features	$475,000	$4,000,000	1,028	-20%
The Marksman	Open Road Films / Briarcliff Entertainment	$375,000	$14,800,000	851	-20%
Wonder Woman 1984	Warner Bros. Studios	$325,000	$45,900,000	~1,050	-19%
The Father	Sony Pictures Classics	$275,000	$800,000	~900	-12%
Minari	A24	$260,000	$1,800,000	~800	-15%