The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TalismanRing]

31 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Deadline is smoking crack. House will not drop 60%, and Little Women will not have a PTA over $3,000.

I didn't even know LW was opening - it sold 65 tickets on Fandango yesterday.... 

 

Edit:  Then again God Bless The Broken Road  did 31 on it's Tues and it did $1.38m 

 

It depends on how this movie plays - like a drama for teenagers or a PureFix religious film.

 

Edited September 26, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Nova]

7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I didn't even know LW was opening - it sold 65 tickets on Fandango yesterday.... 

That’s like $700. Only $1,999,300 to go from Deadlines low end 

Edited September 26, 2018 by Nova

[filmlover]

18 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I didn't even know LW was opening - it sold 65 tickets on Fandango yesterday.... 

Wonder how many of those will be refunded when they find out it is in fact not the Gerwig version that everyone is waiting for.

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited February 19, 2019 by Slave Animal Rights

[Jonwo]

8 hours ago, DAJK said:

My guess would be Night School ends on the lower end of expectations (around 24M) and smallfoot ends right about where clock did last weekend. 

 

But it then again I thought Storks would go over 30 two years ago

 

8 hours ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Thinking Night School does $35M, due to lack of comedies outside of CRA, strong marketing and potential audience underestimation.

Smallfoot, I think about the same as Clock as it plays to a more younger audience than Clock. If reviews stay at 70%, maybe $30M OW.

WAG's September track record is a little iffy so I'm unsure about anything higher than low 20s, if it does manage $26-30m OW, it would be a big win for them. 

[Eric the Minion]

MT Top 5

 

1. My Hero: 18.3%

2. House w/ Clock: 9.7%

3. A Simple Favor: 7.5%

4. The Nun: 5.3%

5. Smallfoot: 5.3%

[DAJK]

Smallfoot showing up will do nothing but help. Kinda worried Night School hasn't made an appearance, but it's bound to be highly walk-up based so there's that

[filmlover]

Still thinking it's gonna be a duel for #1 this weekend. Night School will win Friday but Saturday and Sunday will go to Smallfoot.

[Nova]

I’m interested in seeing the theater drop for The Predator this weekend. It doesn’t even feel like that movie even came out tbh 

 

 

[filmlover]

Just now, Nova said:

I’m interested in seeing the theater drop for The Predator this weekend. It doesn’t even feel like that movie even came out tbh 

 

 

I saw it and wish I hadn't. Shane Black's totally gonna disown it down the road.

[Nova]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

I saw it and wish I hadn't. Shane Black's totally gonna disown it down the road.

I didn’t see it. Maybe if it was a summer release and I had some down time, I’d have watched it but with school and stuff I have to save my theater going experiences on quality films/films I really I wanna see and judging by the reviews and reactions on here, I figured it’s a big pass. 

Edited September 27, 2018 by Nova

[La Binoche]

yikes but i dont think it will hurt the OW too bad https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/night_school_2018/

[Barnack]

12 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

yikes but i dont think it will hurt the OW too bad https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/night_school_2018/

Is last 2 movie Lee produced&directed got 90% on RT, quite the drop, not that surprising from the trailers too.

[el sid]

Pulse is not available for me since hours 😡. Is this a problem in general maybe?

MT update:
#1 My Hero Academia - Two Heros 19.6%
#2 Smallfoot 9.1%

#3 House With Clock 8.2%
#4 Night School 6.8%
#5 A Simple Favor 5.3%

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1469	3607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Small Foot	734	1,261	2,448
Hell Fest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
*4pm-12am
Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
October 5th
Venom	1,892	2,042	2,685
A Star Is Born	1,064	1,326	1,734

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

Night School: 25/78

 

Smallfoot: 

4:00: 2/78

6:30: 3/78

Total: 5/156

 

Hell Fest: 2/78

 

Night School is going to be fucking massive at my theater; this is on the level of what Blockers and Game Night finished with, and there's still 9 hours to go.

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tonight at my theater:

 

Night School: 25/78

 

Smallfoot: 

4:00: 2/78

6:30: 3/78

Total: 5/156

 

Hell Fest: 2/78

 

Night School is going to be fucking massive at my theater; this is on the level of what Blockers and Game Night finished with, and there's still 9 hours to go.

Funny, Night School has only sold half as many seats for its 7:00 show here. 

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

I know Venom is opening next week so we'll get to compare the release week stats but anyone have the pre-sale stats for AntmanandWasp 2 weeks out?

[MaxAggressor]

https://deadline.com/2018/09/halloween-box-office-projection-franchise-record-jamie-lee-curtis-danny-mcbride-jason-blum-1202472084/

 

Universal/Blumhouse/Miramax’s Halloween came on tracking this morning and early industry forecasts indicate that the reboot/sequel is easily poised for a $40M-plus –possibly even $50M– 3-day weekend opening on Oct. 19, which will easily deliver the 40-year-old classic horror franchise its best domestic box office debut ever, beating the Weinstein/MGM 2007 reboot which opened to $26.3M.

[DAJK]

Starting to think 60 is the ceiling for Halloween rather than what it should be shooting for. 45-50 would be excellent