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WEEKEND THREAD | Actual: Wonder Woman 58.63M, Estimates: Mummy 32.2M, Underpants 12.3M, Pirates 10.2M, ICAN 6M

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Father's Day is an interesting question over how much it'll help WW. Superhero movies clearly prosper this weekend, but with Wonder Woman being a more female-driven film, it could make a slight difference. I still see $35m+ as likely to happen, and...

 

Spoiler

...if Cars 3 pulls a Good Dinosaur on us.....who knows?

 

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1 minute ago, Spaghetti of 1000 Planets said:

Father's Day is an interesting question over how much it'll help WW. Superhero movies clearly prosper this weekend, but with Wonder Woman being a more female-driven film, it could make a slight difference. I still see $35m+ as likely to happen, and...

 

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Well, like we were talking about last weekend, it's more female-driven than your average CBM, however it's split pretty evenly across genders. It's a type of movie everyone in the family can and wants to see.

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So, we're likely looking at a Wonder Woman total approaching $265M by the end of next weekend. Even if drops are harder with Tranformers 5. DM3, and Spider-Man following in Weekends #4-6, it looks like $320M is the floor, and $335M+ is likely for Wonder Woman. 

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5 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Does anyone actually have the balls to start a Wonder Woman Weekend 3 > Cars 3 Weekend 1 club?

Good Dinosaur still got 39m, I can see Cars 3 getting 40-50m.

 

A 40% or even 35% drop would give WW under 40m.

 

I would be out of that club, but I can see it coming close.

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8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I can't believe WW is this year SLOP where I get infuriated by a film's run.

 

Let the rage, bitterness, and hatred consume you...just let it flow through your veins...and make Ares stronger...

 

TJH_1216_5_58536a2a3592e9.31677810.jpg

Edited by Cochofles
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2 minutes ago, franfar said:

Good Dinosaur still got 39m, I can see Cars 3 getting 40-50m.

 

A 40% or even 35% drop would give WW under 40m.

 

I would be out of that club, but I can see it coming close.

Yeah, I don't think it's happening but it doesn't sound as farfetched now as it did just a week ago. I think Cars 3 lands around $50M.

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3 minutes ago, franfar said:

Good Dinosaur still got 39m, I can see Cars 3 getting 40-50m.

 

A 40% or even 35% drop would give WW under 40m.

 

I would be out of that club, but I can see it coming close.

 

Cars 2 opened to $66M, and this one looks more interesting than that. Even with a drop in interest, I don't see how WW clears Cars 3. I agree with $50M+ for its opening weekend. 

Edited by kswiston
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Was this posted already? If so, I'll delete it.

 

http://deadline.com/2017/06/wonder-woman-whipping-tom-cruise-mummy-weekend-box-office-1202111169/

 

Quote

6th Update, Sunday AM 7:36AM:

Warner Bros./DC’s Wonder Woman continues to be the popular ticket with her second Saturday of $23.8M +51% over Friday. This now puts the Patty Jenkins-directed movie on course for a second weekend of $57.2M, which by the way is more than what Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice and Suicide Squad both made in their second weekends (respectively $51.3M and $43.5M).

 

That’s remarkable when you consider that both titles posted bigger opening weekends ($166M, $133.6M) than Wonder Woman ($103.2M).

 

Should these figures maintain their pace into tomorrow, Wonder Woman‘s second weekend will be down 45%, which is an amazing hold for a superhero movie beating the 50%-60% average decline we typically see for Marvel fare in its sophomore session. The Gal Gadot movie should stand at $205M by EOD Sunday. Among all WB/DC superhero features’ second weekends at the B.O., Wonder Woman will file behind Dark Knight ($75.1M) and Dark Knight Rises ($62.1M).

 

In updated ComScore/Screen Engine PostTrak audience polls this weekend, women continue to lead the charge into Wonder Woman screenings at 55% with women over 25 numbering 32%, and women under 25 repping 23% of all moviegoers. Thirty-two percent of those under 25 are watching Wonder Woman in a group — with two to four friends. The DC female superhero movie still has an awesome 75% definite recommend.

 

Universal’s The Mummy is -4% today with $11.5M from its opening day of $12M. This puts the Tom Cruise movie slightly higher in its opening at $32.2M, but it’s still a failure at the domestic box office with a lackluster audience response of B-, and an even worse Rotten Tomatoes score of 17% (it keeps going lower).

 

In third place is DreamWorks Animation/20th Century Fox’s Captain Underpants which grew 36% between Friday and Saturday with $4.9M and an estimated second weekend of $12.3M, -48% and 10-day of $44.6M.

 

A24’s horror movie It Comes at Night lost $400K between Friday’s $2.4M and today’s $2M with a revised estimated weekend take of $5.7M. Bad word of mouth here with a D CinemaScore and that’s overpowering any positive review for this movie (86% certified fresh) and weighing down on the pic’s box office potential. Bleecker Street’s Kate Mara war drama Megan Leavey is still on track to do $3.8M over three days.

 

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