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CaptainJackSparrow

Jurassic World II OS Thread

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237.1 china (after 15.3 weekend...using reported ER : 1541.5 yuan total reported as $237.1)

430.5 os-china (after 40.8 weekend using 56.1-15.3)

264.8 dom (after 60 weekend)

 

20 more in china + 70 more os-china + 120 more dom = 210 more from all current markets

then 60 from japan gives 210+60 = 270 more to come ww

 

that's 932.4 + 270 = 1202.4 ww 

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4 hours ago, Not really said:

1.2B looking more and more secure by the day. :)

 

Also, they're thankfully not doing the thing where the current ER in China is used for the entire gross.

The studios never do that though, boxofficemojo does. And when they update their China total, it'll be a few million lower(probably high $232m). Thankfully it doesn't matter for the overall foreign total.

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On 7/1/2018 at 4:48 PM, Ephemeris said:

The studios never do that though, boxofficemojo does. And when they update their China total, it'll be a few million lower(probably high $232m). Thankfully it doesn't matter for the overall foreign total.

I imagine what matter is when do they get the money and when do they exchange it if they do, does anyone know ?

 

Maybe toward the end of the run isn't far from what happen or maybe they get and exchange weekly ? Real time ? end of the quarter ?

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12 hours ago, Barnack said:

I imagine what matter is when do they get the money and when do they exchange it if they do, does anyone know ?

 

Maybe toward the end of the run isn't far from what happen or maybe they get and exchange weekly ? Real time ? end of the quarter ?

Not sure how it goes down in their accounting books. But when it comes to reported box office numbers at least, the studio definitely doesn't use the last ER for the whole total. I've never seen a studio reported per market total get adjusted downward like boxofficemojo does(except when it's estimates --> actuals, but you know what I mean).

 

For example, Disney's last reported number for IW's China total was $374.8M(after June 24th). With latest ER it would have been millions lower, and we would be seeing the overall box office number go down too, and again this week as it would lose another $5M+. If studios used the latest ER on the entire international total, then we'd frequently be seeing overall international total go down at the end of a movie's run, when the dollar gets stronger. Since that doesn't happen, we know for sure that this is not what the studio is doing. At least not when it comes to their reported box office numbers.

 

So the end of run/end of quarter theory doesn't hold up when it comes to reported box office numbers. Seems like it's either a fixed ER, or maybe it's real time, or weekly like you suggested and they add what it made over the last week with that week's ER. Would be very hard to tell how it really works without insider info, especially since it may be based on intercompany ER which we don't have access to.

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The real target is Frozen. This is doing 400M+ domestically (even MoS legs would put it just 15M below the mark) and will get close to 800M from current OS markets, so 1.2B appears to be locked. A #14 WW finish is still the most likely, but #12 isn't out of question. It depends on Japan.

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Box Mojo updated the overseas gross again as of today, the 5th, it's at $692.7 million overseas.

 

About $978 million when you add in the Wednesday domestic gross.

 

Well over a billion after this weekend.

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On 7/3/2018 at 3:14 PM, Omni said:

The real target is Frozen. This is doing 400M+ domestically (even MoS legs would put it just 15M below the mark) and will get close to 800M from current OS markets, so 1.2B appears to be locked. A #14 WW finish is still the most likely, but #12 isn't out of question. It depends on Japan.

Oh, please, JW2. Do beat Frozen. Would be wonderful if Universal pushes it’s marketing very hard in Japan. Since the JP-franchise is very popular there.

Edited by MrFanaticGuy34
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11 hours ago, scabab said:

Box Mojo updated the overseas gross again as of today, the 5th, it's at $692.7 million overseas.

 

About $978 million when you add in the Wednesday domestic gross.

 

Well over a billion after this weekend.

 

Mojo didn't update yesterday, so the domestic total was previously missing both Tuesday and Wednesday. Domestic total after Wednesday was a bit under $298M. So if we are throwing in Thursday, it will either break $1B today, or be like $1-2M shy. Assuming the International Thurs estimate holds up. 

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