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Weekend thread | IT Floats again in its 4th weekend: 17.3M...Cruise and Kingsman fight it out for 2nd: 17.016 and 17.0

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Was a bit optimistic on my late night Saturday/all day Sunday numbers for American Made at my theatre. Our equivalent of $19.4M opening weekend.

 

Flatliners also had a big Sunday drop. Our equivalent of $9.1M opening weekend.

 

American Assassin is gone after 2 weeks (33.5M total, example of when inflated Tuesday numbers here make up for shorter theatrical runs).

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4 minutes ago, Taylor said:

Monday AM: It’s hard to remember when we last had a fierce weekend at the box office, but it’s going down like the 2000 presidential election recount in Florida. “Liar” is a word that rival distribution heads are using to refer to one another as in the past 24 hours. Distributors have submitted their early morning estimates, and it shows that 20th Century/MARV’s Kingsman: The Golden Circle is leading No. 1 with $16.975M, followed by New Line/Warner Bros.’ It in second with $16.93M.

 

Universal/Cross Creek’s Tom Cruise movie American Made is third with $16.758M. This is per the studio’s own early AM figures.

 

http://deadline.com/2017/10/tom-cruise-emma-stone-american-made-battle-of-the-sexes-flatliners-weekend-box-office-1202179279/

So, they are all trending a little lower, and they all want the "winning headline", and it seems like it's definitely coming down to less than $100K...so, how honest will everyone be with final numbers?:)  Can they still fudge like they've done in the past even with actuals?

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Nothing changes considering they are all so close to estimates:

 

- K2 still did worse than expected and the dom seems passable cause it's a global player and OS will show a good increase from the first one. (despite all the complains around ER that other movies have)

- IT is still a mammoth blockbuster that thoroughly over-performed.

- AM is mediocre and will be bailed out by smart budgeting.

 

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1 hour ago, a2knet said:

- K2 still did worse than expected and the dom seems passable cause it's a global player and OS will show a good increase from the first one. (despite all the complains around ER that other movies have)

 

Those complains are mostly for release of movies released august 2014 or before (when the big ER dip happened), not really for 2015 movies no ?

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22 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Those complains are mostly for release of movies released august 2014 or before (when the big ER dip happened), not really for 2015 movies no ?

I thought the ER dip was gradual and what applies to Aug 2014 will in a smaller way apply to Feb 2015 (K1 released). Didn't know the entire big ER dip happened between Aug 2014 and Feb 2015.

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7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

I thought the ER dip was gradual and what applies to Aug 2014 will in a smaller way apply to Feb 2015 (K1 released). Didn't know the entire big ER dip happened between Aug 2014 and Feb 2015.

Depend of the currency, the pound still went down after Brexit. But for some main one it was a late 2014 dip than a stabilization (even a bit up in 2017 versus 2016), the Euro for example:

 

2010 1.327386
2011 1.392705
2012 1.285697
2013 1.328464
2014 1.329165
2015 1.109729
2016 1.106560
2017 1.113815

 

Russian rouble:

2011 0.034088
2012 0.032218
2013 0.031425
2014 0.026539
2015 0.016510
2016 0.014993
2017 0.017169

 

 

Australian dollar:

2012 1.035937
2013 0.967915
2014 0.902813
2015 0.752124
2016 0.743664
2017 0.766027

 

 

While for the pesos the drop is recent.

 

So it really depends on the release date/market that did well, Kingsman is on the line/during transition and not affected like a summer 2014 movie would (for example Guardian of the Galaxy 1 was definitely just before the dip).

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ugly Sunday drops by the look of it.  I was hoping Sundays would start getting better in the near future.  Anyways, I think the Sunday drops are as big as they are because of the big Saturday jumps.  A ratio of Sunday / Friday probably looks the same as last week for most pictures.

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16 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Depend of the currency, the pound still went down after Brexit. But for some main one it was a late 2014 dip than a stabilization (even a bit up in 2017 versus 2016), the Euro for example:

 

2010 1.327386
2011 1.392705
2012 1.285697
2013 1.328464
2014 1.329165
2015 1.109729
2016 1.106560
2017 1.113815

 

Russian rouble:

2011 0.034088
2012 0.032218
2013 0.031425
2014 0.026539
2015 0.016510
2016 0.014993
2017 0.017169

 

 

Australian dollar:

2012 1.035937
2013 0.967915
2014 0.902813
2015 0.752124
2016 0.743664
2017 0.766027

 

 

While for the pesos the drop is recent.

 

So it really depends on the release date/market that did well, Kingsman is on the line/during transition and not affected like a summer 2014 movie would (for example Guardian of the Galaxy 1 was definitely just before the dip).

 

and Dawn of the Apes!!!

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21 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

 

and Dawn of the Apes!!!

Yes apes, transformer, X-men, guardian, Spider-man would be the peak affected franchise I would think. (Lucy 2 in US dollar also, but being a french movie it is probably different, making their revenues in Euros), those who the sequel would have looked much better to the 2014 summer release if the exchange rate would have stayed the same (while benefiting the least of market growth to compensate like the 2013 and earlier franchise release).

Edited by Barnack
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