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Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - Coco 26.11M, JL 16.58M, Wonder 12.5M, T:R 9.65M, MOTOE 6.7M, LB 4.54M, 3BOEM 4.53M, TDA 1.22M

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2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
1 1 Coco BV $26,114,000 -48.6% 3,987 - $6,550 $108,689,404 - 2
2 2 Justice League WB $16,580,000 -59.7% 3,820 -231 $4,340 $197,335,921 - 3
3 3 Wonder LGF $12,500,000 -44.9% 3,449 +277 $3,624 $88,032,623 - 3
4 4 Thor: Ragnarok BV $9,659,000 -42.7% 3,148 -133 $3,068 $291,406,599 $180 5
5 5 Daddy's Home 2 Par. $7,500,000 -43.3% 3,403 -115 $2,204 $82,814,446 $69 4
6 6 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $6,700,000 -49.1% 3,201 +49 $2,093 $84,772,513 $55 4
7 11 Lady Bird A24 $4,543,990 +12.0% 1,194 +403 $3,806 $17,089,441 - 5
8 10 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $4,530,000 +2.9% 1,430 +816 $3,168 $13,670,520 - 4
9 7 The Star Sony $4,000,000 -42.3% 2,822 -15 $1,417 $27,279,653 $20 3
10 8 A Bad Moms Christmas STX $3,480,000 -28.9% 2,251 -55 $1,546 $64,831,823 $28 5
11 9 Roman J. Israel, Esq. Sony $1,935,000 -56.5% 1,669 - $1,159 $9,503,090 $22 3
12 N The Disaster Artist A24 $1,220,831 - 19 - $64,254 $1,220,831 - 1
13 12 The Man Who Invented Christmas BST $863,053 -36.2% 674 +48 $1,280 $3,150,475 - 2
14 N Titanic (20th Anniversary) Par. $415,000 - 87 - $4,770 $415,000 - 1
15 14 Call Me by Your Name SPC $281,280 -31.9% 4 - $70,320 $908,175 - 2
16 15 Jigsaw LGF $220,000 -40.7% 301 -82 $731 $37,600,988 $10 6
17 N The Shape of Water FoxS $166,800 - 2 - $83,400 $166,800 - 1
18 N Wonder Wheel Amazon $140,555 - 5 - $28,111 $140,555 - 1
19 24 My Friend Dahmer FR $140,000 -0.9% 90 +15 $1,556 $939,294 - 5
20 17 The Florida Project A24 $129,240 -38.2% 120 -44 $1,077 $4,873,123 - 9
21 21 Darkest Hour Focus $109,000 -37.7% 4 - $27,250 $411,481 - 2
22 18 Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween LGF $106,000 -43.1% 212 -36 $500 $47,164,878 $25 7
23 22 Last Flag Flying LGF $100,000 -37.0% 110 +12 $909 $816,844 - 5
24 34 The Foreigner STX $76,000 +8.7% 130 +26 $585 $34,216,587 $35 8
25 32 Jane (2017) Abr. $73,286 -11.9% 49 -2 $1,496 $1,253,205 - 7

That’s less than a 60% drop for JL ,If it follows MJ2 or FB then it should fall 40%next weekend.

10mil fourth weekend may be in play.

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

bitch you said we couldn't agree that 3B>LB the other day :ohmyzod: 

 

i'm wavering back and forth between the two and I'd give Three Billboards a slight edge right now.  should probably rewatch both of them soon to decide.  don't @ me if my list changes.

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2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If MJ2 added 2.8x the 3rd weekend (this weekend) to it's cume, so Thor3 could well do that. 315 minimum imo. Needs 319 dom for 2.6x. Interesting that GOTG2's 2.66x will be out of reach despite November release and unlike Thor2 the reception was good. Falling below DS's 2.74x multi is understandable as that was not a sequel. But in the end I think if anything GOTG2 over-performed even legs wise.

This....

 

Although Thor 3 has been no slouch, the fact that we are seeing it top 300m after #2 barely cracked 200m is great (of course good product helps immensely.)

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3 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Still there’s the wildcard in Jumanji. That was tracking at $60M five day. Showman idk.

True. But I still don't see sub-220m. Is "only" 111-112m away from it after a 26m weekend. If Moana could add 129 after a 28m weekend facing RO+Sing than Coco should pull off 220m even with a worse performance. So far it's trended better than Moana and the same legs as Moana's from now on take it to ~227m.

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Just now, a2knet said:

True. But I still don't see sub-220m. Is "only" 111-112m away from it after a 26m weekend. If Moana could add 129 after a 28m weekend facing RO+Sing than Coco should pull off 220m even with a worse performance. So far it's trended better than Moana and the same legs as Moana's from now on take it to ~227m.

Hence why the goal should be Wall-E ;)

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Seems like the post-Thanksgiving weekend drops were softer than usual. The only film in the top 10 with a drop bigger than 50% was Justice League, while last year and the year before had 5-6 films with 50%+ drops

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4 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

It's because of all the ridiculous "best movie in RT history!!!" headlines LB is making. 

I don't know. Part of me thinks my rural area is just an anomaly. I NEVER got the trailer for Lady Bird while I got Three Billboards several times. My AMC skews old most of the time, and awareness for seniors is probably still low. I never got the trailer for Disaster Artist until LB either, so I'm super curious how that'll fare here next week

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3 minutes ago, PNF2187 said:

Seems like the post-Thanksgiving weekend drops were softer than usual. The only film in the top 10 with a drop bigger than 50% was Justice League, while last year and the year before had 5-6 films with 50%+ drops

That is the effect of no new films opening wide (and very few expanding). Also having good films helps.

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26 29 Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox $65,300 -41.1% 163 -10 $401 $100,050,714 $104 11

 

Japan, where K1 did 12.7m, should push K2 over 400m ww as it needs <6m more. But K1's 414m ww is out of reach. 

405m ww most likely. Great as long as the reported prod budget of 104m is close to accurate.

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20 years ago when my sister was a big Titanic Stan (lol) I told her yeah well let’s see if Titanic can make $136 million in re-release in 20 years. It’s just a fad and nobody will give a shit about it in 20 years. I would like to humbly eat crow for that statement as the large theater count, 14th place finish, and $415,000 proved me wrong; 17 people did care, not nobody. :P

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1 minute ago, JonathanLB said:

20 years ago when my sister was a big Titanic Stan (lol) I told her yeah well let’s see if Titanic can make $136 million in re-release in 20 years. It’s just a fad and nobody will give a shit about it in 20 years. I would like to humbly eat crow for that statement as the large theater count, 14th place finish, and $415,000 proved me wrong; 17 people did care, not nobody. :P

Wow, what an oddly specific year and timespan. I'm certain you definitely said that 20 years ago.

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2 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

20 years ago when my sister was a big Titanic Stan (lol) I told her yeah well let’s see if Titanic can make $136 million in re-release in 20 years. It’s just a fad and nobody will give a shit about it in 20 years. I would like to humbly eat crow for that statement as the large theater count, 14th place finish, and $415,000 proved me wrong; 17 people did care, not nobody. :P

You can tell her the 15 year re-release made $343,000,000 though. :)

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