That One Girl Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: Is there something I am not seeing waiting in the wings in January? How come the especially horrible movie slate this year? Either it’ll help holdovers a bit or it’ll just be a really crappy start of the year for moviegoing. Or both lol. I mean I’ll watch The Commuter but I cannot see that movie breaking more than $15M OW, and probably more like $12M. The Post should do very well in its expansion. Paddington 2 will also do great. Maze Runner should be a solid performer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brainbug Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: Is there something I am not seeing waiting in the wings in January? How come the especially horrible movie slate this year? Either it’ll help holdovers a bit or it’ll just be a really crappy start of the year for moviegoing. Or both lol. I mean I’ll watch The Commuter but I cannot see that movie breaking more than $15M OW, and probably more like $12M. Its death. The Commuter looks like shit and i liked Non-Stop and Run all Night for what they were. Cant see this one making more than 60M DOM total. Maze Runner 3 looks like shit and will decrease further from the 2nd one. Insidious is the typical First-Weekend-of-January Horror movie that will open decently and have shit legs to a likely 40-60M DOM total. I guess Proud Mary could suprise but i dont see how. The Post i give the best chance for an overperformance - but not much more than 80-100M. Its the worst January in years and that says something. Thats why i think it will help all the holdovers delivering good holds. Edit: Forgot about Paddington 2. That one could (and should) surprise. Edited December 29, 2017 by Brainbug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Y’all sleeping on Paddington 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Paddington 2 is crazy good. I hope it can break out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 24 minutes ago, JonathanLB said: Is there something I am not seeing waiting in the wings in January? How come the especially horrible movie slate this year? Either it’ll help holdovers a bit or it’ll just be a really crappy start of the year for moviegoing. Or both lol. I mean I’ll watch The Commuter but I cannot see that movie breaking more than $15M OW, and probably more like $12M. Except its not necesssrily crappy. insidious 4, Commuter, Maze Runner, Paddington 2 and the Oscar movies should be unspectacular but decent performers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 My predictions for January: Insidious 4 - $15/30 The Commuter - $12/32 Proud Mary - $14/40 Paddington 2 - $27/95 The Post - hidden Figures type run, so $25/sky's the limit 12 Strong - $16/40 Maze Runner - $25/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Black Panther will be the biggest film from Jan to IW imo. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoLegMan Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 53 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said: Black Panther will be the biggest film from Jan to IW imo. I can't wait for some white people to get upset about Black Panther. and try to distort the history of the character. xD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jedieb Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 (edited) Don't know if anyone's brought it up, but most schools won't get all of next week off. This is the XMas calendar teachers and students dread. Most of us will be going back to work on Wed or Thursday of next week. Edited December 29, 2017 by jedieb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: > NEW RELEASES 8 9 All the Money in the World TriStar 2,074 - - - - - - 1 16 23 Molly's Game STX Entertainment 271 - - - - - - 1 25 - Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 4 - - - - - - 1 26 47 Phantom Thread Focus Features 4 - - - - - - 1 > EXPANDING 3 4 Pitch Perfect 3 Universal 3,468 +21 +0.6% - - - - 2 5 5 The Greatest Showman Fox 3,315 +309 +10.3% - - - - 2 9 14 Darkest Hour Focus Features 943 +137 +17.0% - - - - 6 11 15 The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 756 +30 +4.1% - - - - 5 18 25 Call Me by Your Name Sony Classics 115 +1 +0.9% - - - - 6 24 51 Hostiles Entertainment Studios 5 +2 +66.7% - - - - 2 > NO CHANGE 1 1 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Buena Vista 4,232 - - - - - - 3 2 2 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony / Columbia 3,765 - - - - - - 2 22 40 The Post Fox 9 - - - - - - 2 27 50 Happy End Sony Classics 3 - - - - - - 2 > DECLINING 4 3 Ferdinand Fox 3,337 -293 -8.1% - - - - 3 6 7 Downsizing Paramount 2,664 -4 -0.1% - - - - 2 7 8 Coco Buena Vista 2,104 -7 -0.3% - - - - 6 10 13 Daddy's Home 2 Paramount 770 -303 -28.2% - - - - 8 12 16 Thor: Ragnarok Buena Vista 540 -161 -23.0% - - - - 9 13 17 The Disaster Artist A24 507 -10 -1.9% - - - - 5 14 19 Lady Bird A24 392 -10 -2.5% - - - - 9 15 18 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox 391 -56 -12.5% - - - - 8 17 20 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 266 -41 -13.4% - - - - 8 19 29 Marshall Open Road Films 50 -8 -13.8% - - - - 12 20 32 The Florida Project A24 33 -10 -23.3% - - - - 13 21 35 Victoria and Abdul Focus Features 23 -1 -4.2% - - - - 15 23 42 The Killing of a Sacred Deer A24 7 -1 -12.5% - - - - 11 It is different or more common during the holidays, but Downsizing loosing theater at week #2 is quite special right ? Usually studio wide release pretty much hold all theater for the first 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aabattery Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 minute ago, Barnack said: It is different or more common during the holidays, but Downsizing loosing theater at week #2 is quite special right ? Usually studio wide release pretty much hold all theater for the first 2 weeks. It was a deliberate thematic choice. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, Barnack said: It is different or more common during the holidays, but Downsizing loosing theater at week #2 is quite special right ? Usually studio wide release pretty much hold all theater for the first 2 weeks. My guess is some drive-ins closed for the season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 2 hours ago, JonathanLB said: Is there something I am not seeing waiting in the wings in January? How come the especially horrible movie slate this year? Either it’ll help holdovers a bit or it’ll just be a really crappy start of the year for moviegoing. Or both lol. I mean I’ll watch The Commuter but I cannot see that movie breaking more than $15M OW, and probably more like $12M. January has long been a traditional dump month unless you're an Oscar contender from December expanding into wide release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LonePirate Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 Oscar nominations are scheduled for Tuesday, January 23. Judging by Wednesday's PTA for All the Money in the World, it will be gone from most theaters on January 12. A single nomination for Plummer (perhaps with one or two minor nominations) will not be enough for it to regain bookings. It probably won't reach $20M DOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 (edited) January is looking like a strong slate for me personally with all of the Oscar contenders expanding and a couple of other things like Paddington and Insidious (I need a new horror movie). February otoh looks like dreck. Black Panther, Annihilation, and Winchester are the only things I'm looking forward to (I'm not convinced Cloverfield is making its date). I'll probably see The 15:17 to Paris and Game Night because of how light the month is, but bleh. Edited December 29, 2017 by WrathOfHan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Loves Rey Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: January is looking like a strong slate for me personally with all of the Oscar contenders expanding and a couple of other things like Paddington and Insidious (I need a new horror movie). February otoh looks like dreck. Black Panther, Annihilation, and Winchester are the only things I'm looking forward to (I'm not convinced Cloverfield is making that date). I'll probably see The 15:17 to Paris and Game Night because of how light the month is, but bleh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said: January is looking like a strong slate for me personally with all of the Oscar contenders expanding and a couple of other things like Paddington and Insidious (I need a new horror movie). February otoh looks like dreck. Black Panther, Annihilation, and Winchester are the only things I'm looking forward to (I'm not convinced Cloverfield is making its date). I'll probably see The 15:17 to Paris and Game Night because of how light the month is, but bleh. We all know your mom will drag you to Fifty Shades Freed. Oh wait, that's @That One Guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 19 minutes ago, filmlover said: We all know your mom will drag you to Fifty Shades Freed. Oh wait, that's @That One Guy. I’ll watch that when it hits streaming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FTF Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 1 hour ago, jedieb said: Don't know if anyone's brought it up, but most schools won't get all of next week off. This is the XMas calendar teachers and students dread. Most of us will be going back to work on Wed or Thursday of next week. Yup Some schools are even back on Tuesday, blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark 33Legend of the Sith Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 8 hours ago, Brainbug said: Off-topic maybe, but im listening to some Prequel music and i remember why i think John Williams deserves some sort of statue or monument. Duel of the Fates. Across the Stars. Battle of the Heroes. Anakins Betrayal. March on the Jedi Temple. Perfection. I often shit on the prequels, but the music is just absolutely phenomenal. John Williams will be considered this era's Beethoven or Mozart. I truly believe that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
