Wednesday Numbers(27/12/17):TLJ $22m

[Valonqar]

21 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

It not the actual numbers, but the fact that TLJ keeps getting overestimated that I find funny.

Maybe the actual number is 21,899,999. 

[Brainbug]

Just now, Valonqar said:

Maybe the actual number is 21,899,999. 

 

Its not far from that go back a few pages.

[Valonqar]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

 

Its not far from that go back a few pages.

I see it, $21,846,132-21%. Good number. Closer to 22M than yesterday number was close to whatever estimate was given.

[John Marston]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

How is it disappointing? It has a higher PTA than Ferdinand.

Holds and total are nothing special for an extremely well reviewed Pixar/Disney animation 

[JonathanLB]

It’s not really under estimates though it’s over. Rth said about $22M and it was about that. The-numbers posted hours ago $21.5 and it was well above that, which was an official-ish estimate.

Edited December 28, 2017 by JonathanLB

[Brainbug]

Off-topic maybe, but im listening to some Prequel music and i remember why i think John Williams deserves some sort of statue or monument.

 

Duel of the Fates. Across the Stars. Battle of the Heroes. Anakins Betrayal. March on the Jedi Temple.

 

Perfection. I often shit on the prequels, but the music is just absolutely phenomenal.

[a2k]

Ferdi

 

next 5 days thu-mon could take it to 56+. 80-85 dom looks likely. similar trend as alvin:chip wreck, maybe a little better.

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2017/12/15	2	$3,627,780		3,621	$1,002	$3,627,780	1
2017/12/16	2	$5,603,769	+54%	3,621	$1,548	$9,231,549	2
2017/12/17	2	$4,170,037	-26%	3,621	$1,152	$13,401,586	3
2017/12/18	2	$1,206,612	-71%	3,621	$333	$14,608,198	4
2017/12/19	2	$1,803,799	+49%	3,621	$498	$16,411,997	5
2017/12/20	4	$1,382,597	-23%	3,621	$382	$17,794,594	6
2017/12/21	4	$1,688,290	+22%	3,621	$466	$19,482,884	7
2017/12/22	5	$2,777,910	+65%	3,630	$765	$22,260,794	8
2017/12/23	-	$3,013,591	+8%	3,630	$830	$25,274,385	9
2017/12/24	-	$1,525,245	-49%	3,630	$420	$26,799,630	10
2017/12/25	-	$2,801,780	+84%	3,630	$772	$29,601,410	11
2017/12/26	-	$4,000,815	+43%	3,630	$1,102	$33,602,225	12
2017/12/27	-	$4,134,425	+3%	3,630	$1,139	$37,736,650	13

[redfirebird2008]

9 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

So BoxOffice.com thinks 20% decline? Seems very pessimistic. That’s 21-21-14 for the three days. Why would it increase 0% on Friday and 0% Saturday? I would have it at 23-26-17 personally. Small 15% increase or so both Friday and Saturday. 

 

Bottom line I see 5-10% decline this weekend not 20%.

 

 

FWIW, their projection is for a 20% drop for the 4-day weekend. New Year’s Day could be a lot weaker than Christmas. Look at the weekly drops from Monday to Monday in 2006. 

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2007-01-01&p=.htm

[Lordmandeep]

Thor 3 has passed 310 Million

 

Will finish with 312-314 million in the end. 

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

Thor 3 has passed 310 Million

 

Will finish with 312-314 million in the end. 

 

I remember many predictions from the time before Justice League imploded, that Thor would miss the 300M

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Thor 3 has passed 310 Million

 

Will finish with 312-314 million in the end. 

I thin people started to come around 300M when the teaser blew minds and beat the crap out of TLJ teaser in views and quality. 

Edited December 28, 2017 by Valonqar

[Blaze Heatnix]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

 

I remember many predictions from the time before Justice League imploded, that Thor would miss the 300M

 

But Thor indeed missed the 300 million figure. In fact, it managed to make even more! XD

[Lordmandeep]

Thor 3 will increase about 100 million domestically and about 200 million WW from Thor 2.

 

Overwhelming success. 

[YM!]

19 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Holds and total are nothing special for an extremely well reviewed Pixar/Disney animation 

Not surprised tbh. I had a feeling the stronger December competition would hurt it.

[Porthos]

BOM chimes in:

 

<< PREVIOUS	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Rank* Title Monday 12/25 Tuesday 12/26 Wednesday 12/27 Thursday 12/28 1 STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI Buena Vista 4,232 $27,459,557 +55.8% / $6,489 $395,627,411 / 11 $27,734,356 +1% / $6,553 $423,361,767 / 12 $21,846,132 -21.2% / $5,162 $445,207,899 / 13 N/A 2 JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE Sony / Columbia 3,765 $19,000,000 (estimate) +109.7% / $5,046 $72,005,967 / 6 $17,100,000 (estimate) -10% / $4,542 $89,105,967 / 7 $15,150,000 (estimate) -11.4% / $4,024 $104,255,967 / 8 N/A 3 PITCH PERFECT 3 Universal 3,447 $6,496,365 +146.7% / $1,885 $26,424,890 / 4 $7,445,505 +14.6% / $2,160 $33,870,395 / 5 $6,450,190 -13.4% / $1,871 $40,320,585 / 6 N/A 4 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN Fox 3,006 $5,604,273 +161.8% / $1,864 $19,008,847 / 6 $5,138,347 -8.3% / $1,709 $24,147,194 / 7 $4,627,214 -9.9% / $1,539 $28,774,408 / 8 N/A 5 FERDINAND Fox 3,630 $2,801,780 +83.7% / $772 $29,601,410 / 11 $4,000,815 +42.8% / $1,102 $33,602,225 / 12 $4,134,425 +3.3% / $1,139 $37,736,650 / 13 N/A 6 COCO Buena Vista 2,111 $2,805,466 +112.6% / $1,329 $164,307,743 / 34 $2,746,967 -2.1% / $1,301 $167,054,710 / 35 $2,650,002 -3.5% / $1,255 $169,704,712 / 36 N/A 7 DOWNSIZING Paramount 2,668 $2,715,843 +135% / $1,018 $7,670,130 / 4 $1,926,413 -29.1% / $722 $9,596,543 / 5 $1,469,512 -23.7% / $551 $11,066,055 / 6 N/A 8 ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD TriStar 2,074 $2,600,000 (estimate) -- / $1,254 $2,600,000 / 1 $1,760,000 (estimate) -32.3% / $849 $4,360,000 / 2 $1,410,000 (estimate) -19.9% / $680 $5,770,000 / 3 N/A 9 DARKEST HOUR Focus Features 806 $1,622,510 +73% / $2,013 $8,367,532 / 34 $1,518,300 -6.4% / $1,884 $9,885,832 / 35 $1,381,400 -9% / $1,714 $11,267,232 / 36 N/A 10 FATHER FIGURES Warner Bros. 2,902 $2,200,000 (estimate) +201.4% / $758 $5,480,000 / 4 $1,445,000 (estimate) -34.3% / $498 $6,925,000 / 5 $1,065,000 (estimate) -26.3% / $367 $7,990,000 / 6 N/A 11 THE SHAPE OF WATER Fox Searchlight 730 $1,419,891 +95.4% / $1,945 $8,986,046 / 25 $1,140,599 -19.7% / $1,562 $10,126,645 / 26 $1,013,193 -11.2% / $1,388 $11,139,838 / 27 N/A 12 WONDER Lionsgate 794 $710,214 +76.6% / $894 $115,654,826 / 39 $872,026 +22.8% / $1,098 $116,526,852 / 40 $876,438 +0.5% / $1,104 $117,403,290 / 41 N/A - MOLLY'S GAME STX Entertainment 271 $1,042,075 -- / $3,845 $1,042,075 / 1 $668,250 -35.9% / $2,466 $1,710,325 / 2 $597,563 -10.6% / $2,205 $2,307,888 / 3 N/A - LADY BIRD A24 372 $415,989 +60.4% / $1,118 $28,715,314 / 53 $428,468 +3% / $1,152 $29,143,782 / 54 $407,045 -5% / $1,094 $29,550,827 / 55 N/A - JUSTICE LEAGUE Warner Bros. 1,101 $450,000 (estimate) +83.7% / $409 $223,133,455 / 39 $440,000 (estimate) -2.2% / $400 $223,573,455 / 40 $387,000 (estimate) -12% / $351 $223,960,455 / 41 N/A - TIGER ZINDA HAI Yash Raj 300 $782,924 (estimate) +32% / $2,610 $2,583,924 / 4 $460,000 (estimate) -41.2% / $1,533 $3,043,924 / 5 $336,000 (estimate) -27% / $1,120 $3,379,924 / 6 N/A - DADDY'S HOME 2 Paramount 1,073 $544,612 +149.5% / $508 $99,751,582 / 46 $433,169 -20.5% / $404 $100,184,751 / 47 $331,646 -23.4% / $309 $100,516,397 / 48 N/A - THE STAR Sony / Columbia 1,106 $250,000 (estimate) -12.6% / $226 $38,641,925 / 39 $325,000 (estimate) +30% / $294 $38,966,925 / 40 $328,000 (estimate) +0.9% / $297 $39,294,925 / 41 N/A - THE DISASTER ARTIST A24 488 $325,057 +77.2% / $666 $16,020,034 / 25 $315,305 -3% / $646 $16,335,339 / 26 $295,234 -6.4% / $605 $16,630,573 / 27 N/A - THOR: RAGNAROK Buena Vista 701 $329,457 +64.3% / $470 $309,454,093 / 53 $330,578 +0.3% / $472 $309,784,671 / 54 $289,463 -12.4% / $413 $310,074,134 / 55 N/A - MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS (2017) Fox 361 $203,411 +58.3% / $563 $99,444,878 / 46 $195,017 -4.1% / $540 $99,639,895 / 47 $178,919 -8.3% / $496 $99,818,814 / 48 N/A - THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI Fox Searchlight 264 $207,975 +42.5% / $788 $22,949,085 / 46 $187,107 -10% / $709 $23,136,192 / 47 $174,982 -6.5% / $663 $23,311,174 / 48 N/A - THE POST Fox 9 $236,046 +35.2% / $26,227 $762,057 / 4 $156,610 -33.7% / $17,401 $918,667 / 5 $140,915 -10% / $15,657 $1,059,582 / 6 N/A - PHANTOM THREAD Focus Features 4 $127,272 -- / $31,818 $127,272 / 1 $66,733 -47.6% / $16,683 $194,005 / 2 $58,237 -12.7% / $14,559 $252,242 / 3 N/A - A BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS STX Entertainment 275 $60,302 +121.9% / $219 $71,571,546 / 55 $57,638 -4.4% / $210 $71,629,184 / 56 $50,692 -12.1% / $184 $71,679,876 / 57 N/A - THE FLORIDA PROJECT A24 43 $9,430 +45.9% / $219 $5,204,890 / 81 $13,108 +39% / $305 $5,217,998 / 82 $12,452 -5% / $290 $5,230,450 / 83 N/A - HOSTILES Entertainment Studios 3 $9,606 +64.5% / $3,202 $32,455 / 4 $4,834 -49.7% / $1,611 $37,289 / 5 $7,617 +57.6% / $2,539 $44,906 / 6 N/A - VICTORIA AND ABDUL Focus Features 24 $2,840 +114.3% / $118 $22,205,730 / 95 $4,405 +55.1% / $184 $22,210,135 / 96 $4,795 +8.9% / $200 $22,214,930 / 97 N/A - SAME KIND OF DIFFERENT AS ME Pure Flix 45 $3,069 +135.2% / $68 $6,370,123 / 67 $3,669 +19.6% / $82 $6,373,792 / 68 $3,908 +6.5% / $87 $6,377,700 / 69 N/A - MARSHALL Open Road Films 58 $1,937 +82.9% / $33 $9,450,507 / 74 $2,532 +30.7% / $44 $9,453,039 / 75 $2,249 -11.2% / $39 $9,455,288 / 76 N/A - THE KILLING OF A SACRED DEER A24 8 $602 +3.4% / $75 $2,289,085 / 67 $1,008 +67.4% / $126 $2,290,093 / 68 $857 -15% / $107 $2,290,950 / 69 N/A - LET THERE BE LIGHT Atlas Distribution 8 $736 +1.1% / $92 $7,203,504 / 60 $304 -58.7% / $38 $7,203,808 / 61 $832 +173.7% / $104 $7,204,640 / 62

[Porthos]

Looks like MOTOE will cross 100m today.  Tomorrow at the latest.

Edited December 28, 2017 by Porthos

[Brainbug]

Pitch Perfect 3 stabilizes. Some here calling it a bomb were a little fast with their judgement i think.

 

I want better numbers for Coco Movie deserves all the money in the world.

 

Happy to see both DH2 and MOTOE cross that 100M.

[LinksterAC]

32 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

I see it, $21,846,132-21%. Good number. Closer to 22M than yesterday number was close to whatever estimate was given.

I'm going to go ahead and bust out some science powah here:

 

Technically, actuals did not drop from Asgard.  Rth gave us $22M, which is only two significant figures. 

 

That means for actuals with three significant figures, anything between 21.5M and 22.4M would still qualify as 22M.

 

So Rth was right on the money. 

 

Don't doubt the guy, he's a hero.

[WrathOfHan]

Sony pushed Alpha back to September 14, so now I have to get the trailer for another 9 and a half months 

Edited December 28, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Daxtreme]

15 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Thor 3 will increase about 100 million domestically and about 200 million WW from Thor 2.

 

Overwhelming success. 

 

 

 

Surprisingly consistent increases there