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2018 100M Films - 33 down, 3 to go! (Big update)

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Sorry for putting this up late! It's 2018 so it's time to see once again if we break the record!!

 

  1. Black Panther
  2. Peter Rabbit
  3. Fifty Shades Freed
  4. Ready Player One
  5. A Quiet Place
  6. Avengers: Infinity War
  7. Deadpool 2
  8. Solo: A Star Wars Story
  9. Incredibles 2
  10. A Wrinkle in Time
  11. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
  12. Ocean's 8
  13. Ant-Man and the Wasp
  14. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
  15. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
  16. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
  17. The Meg
  18. Crazy Rich Asians
  19. Equalizer 2
  20. The Nun
  21. Venom
  22. A Star is Born
  23. Halloween
  24. Bohemian Rhapsody
  25. The Grinch
  26. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  27. Ralph Breaks the Internet
  28. Creed II
  29. Rampage
  30. Aquaman
  31. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
  32. Mary Poppins Returns
  33. Bumblebee
Edited by Blankments
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Locks:

1. Black Panther

2. Infinity War

3. Solo

4. Deadpool 2

5. Incredibles 2

6. Jurassic World Fallen Kingdom

7. Ant-Man and the Wasp

8. Mission Impossible 6

9. X-Men: Dark Phoenix

10. The Grinch

11. Fantastic Beasts 2

12. Ralph Breaks the Internet

13. Aquaman

14. Mary Poppins Returns

 

Near Locks:

1. A Wrinkle in Time

2. Ocean's 8

3. Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again

4. Hotel Transylvania 3

5. Venom

6. Halloween

7. The Nutcracker

8. Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse

 

Possible:

1. Fifty Shades Freed

2. Peter Rabbit

3. Tomb Raider

4. Ready Player One

5. Rampage

6. The Nun

7. Christopher Robin

8. The Predator

9. Crazy Rich Asians

10. Mowgli

11. Night School

12. Holmes and Watson

13. Creed 2

14. Mortal Engines

15. Bumblebee

 

Long Shots:

1. Paddington 2

2. Maze Runner: The Death Cure

3. The 15:17 to Paris

4. Love, Simon

5. Pacific Rim Uprising

6. Sherlock Gnomes

7. The New Mutants

8. God Particle (Cloverfield 3)

9. Slender Man

10. Skyscraper

11. The Spy Who Dumped Me

12. The Equalizer 2

13. The Meg

14. Smallfoot

15. Robin Hood

16. Bohemian Rhapsody

 

I think probably around 35 do it, could even hit 40 though. 

 

Edited by MovieMan89
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Locks (95+%):

  1. Black Panther
  2. Avengers: Infinity War
  3. Solo: A Star Wars Story
  4. Deadpool 2
  5. The Incredibles 2
  6. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
  7. Ant-Man and the Wasp
  8. Mission Impossible 6
  9. Dark Phoenix
  10. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  11. Dr Seuss' The Grinch
  12. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  13. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2
  14. Aquaman
  15. Mary Poppins Returns

Possible (50-95%): 

  1. Paddington 2
  2. Fifty Shades Freed
  3. A Wrinkle In Time
  4. Ready Player One
  5. New Mutants
  6. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation
  7. The Nun
  8. Venom
  9. Mowgli
  10. Halloween
  11. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Long Shots (-50%):

  1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure (Final Installment)
  2. The 15:17 to Paris (Clint Eastwood's last made $125M)
  3. Red Sparrow (Could Breakout)
  4. Love, Simon (Could Also Breakout)
  5. Pacific Rim: Uprising
  6. Blockers
  7. 2018 Cloverfield Movie
  8. Sicario 2: Soldado
  9. Rampage
  10. Truth or Dare
  11. Life of the Party
  12. Ocean's 8
  13. Skyscraper
  14. Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!
  15. The Equalizer 2
  16. The Predator
  17. Robin Hood
  18. Smallfoot
  19. First Man
  20. Goosebumps 2
  21. A Star Is Born
  22. Overlord
  23. Mortal Engines
  24. Bohemian Rhapsody
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1. Fifty Shades Freed

2. Black Panther

3. Rampage

4. Avengers: Infinity War

5. Solo

6. Deadpool 2

7. Ocean's 8

8. The Incredibles 2

9. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

10. Ant-Man and the Wasp

11. Hotel Transylvania 3

12. Skyscraper

13. Mamma Mia 2

14. Mission Impossible 6

15. Dark Phoenix

16. The Grinch

17. Fantastic Beasts

18. Ralph Breaks the Internet

19. Aquaman

20. Bumblebee

21. Mary Poppins 2

 

Add a few breakouts and overperformances and it's still nowhere 34. It's a no from me.

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Locks:

1. Black Panther

2. Ready Player One

3. New Mutants

4. Rampage

5. Infinity War

6. Solo

7. Deadpool 2

8. Ocean's 8

9. Incredibles 2

10. JurassIIc World

11. Ant-Man and the Wasp

12. Hotel Transylvania 3

13. Mission: Impossible 6

14. Venom

15. Dark Phoenix

16. Grinch

17. Fantastic Beasts 2

18. Ralph Breaks the Internet

19. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

20. Aquaman

21. Mary Poppins Returns

 

Likely:

22. Fifty Shades Freed

23. Red Sparrow

24. A Wrinkle in Time

25. The Nun

26. Skyscraper

27. Mamma Mia!

28. The Predator

29. Christopher Robin

30. Night School

31. First Man

32. Halloween

33. The Nutcracker

34. Holmes & Watson

35. Creed 2

 

Long Shots/Dark Horses

36. Paddington 2

37. The 15:17 to Paris

38. Peter Rabbit

39. Game Night

40. Love, Simon

41. Alita

42. Smallfoot

43. A Star is Born

44. Mowgli

45. Mortal Engines

46. Bumblebee

 

Yeah, I don't know if it'll happen this year.

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Fifty Shades and Black Panther are the only two potentials of February.

 

March has Red Sparrow, Wrinkle In Time, Tomb Raider, and Ready Player One. April has Rampage, Blockers, Truth Or Dare, and A Quiet Place(the above 3 could be sleepers).

 

May has Avengers, Deadpool, and Solo.

 

June has Oceans 8, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World.

 

July has Ant Man, Nun, HT3, Mission Impossible 6, Skyscraper

 

August potentially has The Predator or Equalizer 2. 

 

September has that Eli Roth movie, and Night School

 

October has Venom, Halloween, and First Man.

 

November has Grinch, Dark Phoenix, Mulan, Ralph, And. Fantastic Beasts

 

December has Aquaman, Poppins, and yes Bumblebee(which can sneak past $100 million). 

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Spoiler

January

none...

 

February

Fifty Shades Freed - $41 million/$100 million

Peter Rabbit - $28 million/$104 million

Black Panther - $138 million/$427 million 

 

March

Red Sparrow - $31.5 million/$101 million 

A Wrinkle in Time - $53 million/$194 million

Ready Player One - $80 million/$245 million 

 

April

A Quiet Place - $31 million/$128 million

Rampage - $52 million/$136 million 

 

May

Solo - A Star Wars Story: $124 million/$286 million

Deadpool 2 - $153 million/$358 million

Avengers - Infinity War: $227 million/$554 million 

 

June

Ocean's 8 - $48 million/$182 million 

Incredibles 2 - $127 million/$428 million 

Jurassic World - Fallen Kingdom - $175 million/$473 million 

 

July

The Nun - $37 million/$103 million 

Skyscraper - $46 million/$123 million 

Hotel Transylvania 3 - Summer Vacation - $38 million/$139 million 

Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $49 million/$166 million 

Ant-Man and the Wasp - $71 million/$189 million 

 

August 

The Meg - $44 million/$102 million 

Scarface - $73 million/$186 million 

 

September

probably none, but something might surprise - should be a lot in the $50-85 million range

 

October

A Star is Born - $30 million/$102 million 

Halloween - $58 million/$128 million

First Man - $27 million/$143 million 

Venom - $62 million/$178 million 

 

November

Dark Phoenix - $47 million/$106 million

Creed 2 - $35 million/$107 million 

Widows - $23 million/$111 million 

Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-it Ralph 2: $43 million/$141 million 

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - $89 million/$227 million 

Dr. Seuss' The Grinch - $118 million/$442 million 

 

December

Holmes and Watson - $26 million/$114 million 

Aquaman - $54 million/$238 million 

Mary Poppins Returns - $47 million/$403 million 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Blank Panther said:

200M

  1. Black Panther - February 18

100M

  1. Black Panther - February 17

So guessing that Black Panther will hit 300M on Friday, should hit 400M on Monday (maybe Tuesday if weekend comes in <100). The question is, can Black Panther hit 500M before anything else hits even 100M from 2018? Fifty Shades is closing in on it at least, but I'm tempted to say BP will take the crown.

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Updated Predictions

 

1. Black Panther - February 17

2. Fifty Shades Freed - March 21

3. A Wrinkle In Time - April 1

4. Ready Player One - April 15

5. Peter Rabbit - April 22

6. Avengers: Infinity War - April 28

7. Deadpool 2 - May 19/20

8. Solo: A Star Wars Story - May 26/27

9. The Incredibles 2 - June 17

10. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - June 23/24

11. Ant-Man and the Wasp - July 11/12

12. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - July 22-25

13. Mission Impossible - Fallout - August 3-5

14. Christopher Robin - September 2

15. The Nun - September 16-21

16. Venom - October 19

17. Mowgli - October 31

18. Halloween - November 4

19. Dark Phoenix - November 9-11

20. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms - November 15

21. Dr Seuss' The Grinch - November 16-18

22. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald - November 19/20

23. Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 - November 30

24. Creed 2 - December 16

25. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse - December 23

26. Aquaman - December 23-25

27. Mary Poppins Returns - December 27/28

28. Bumblebee - January 13

 

Other Chances

28. Love, Simon (10-20%)

29. Tomb Raider (25-30%)

30. Pacific Rim: Uprising (15-25%)

31. Blockers (10-20%)

32. A Quiet Place (5-15%)

33. Truth or Dare (15-25%)

34. Rampage (15-25%)

35. Ocean's 8 (20-30%)

36. The First Purge (0-7.5%)

37. Skyscraper (10-20%)

38. Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! (35-45%)

39. Christopher Robin Project (5-15%)

40. Scarface (20-30%)

41. The Predator (15-25%)

42. First Man (25-35%)

43. Mortal Engines (15-25%)

44. Bohemian Rhapsody (5-15%)

 

Spoiler

2019 (It will be cool to see how my perception of 2019 changes throughout 2018)

 

1. Glass

2. The LEGO Movie 2

3. New Mutants

4. How to Train Your Dragon 3

5. Captain Marvel

6. Godzilla 2

7. Dumbo

8. Shazam!?

9. Untitled Avengers

10. John Wick: Chapter 3

11. Aladdin

12. The Secret Life of Pets 2

13. Men In Black Untitled

14. Toy Story 4

15. Spider-Man: Homecoming 2

16. The Lion King

17. It: Chapter 2

18. The Angry Birds Movie 2

19. Wonder Woman 2

20. Death on the Nile

21. One of the Christmas Movies (Nicole/Margie Claus)

22. Frozen 2

23. Masters of the Universe

24. Star Wars: The Last Last Jedi

25. Wicked

 

Edited by Mike Hunt
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DONE DEAL:

 

01. Black Panther

02. Peter Rabbit

 

LOCKS:

 

03. Avengers: Infinity War

04. Deadpool 2

05. Solo: A Star Wars Story

06. The Incredibles 2

07. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

08. Ant-Man And The Wasp

09. Mission: Impossible, Fallout

10. X-Men: Dark Phoenix

11. The Grinch

12. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes Of Grindelwald

13. Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2

14. Aquaman

15. Mary Poppins Returns

 

VERY STRONG SHOTS:

 

16. Fifty Shades Freed

17. Ready Player One

18. Rampage

19. Ocean's 8

20. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

21. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

22. The Nun

23. Venom

24. First Man

25. Halloween

26. The Nutcracker And The Four Realms

27. Creed 2

28. Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse

29. Bumblebee

30. Bohemian Rhapsody

 

DARK HORSES:

 

31. A Wrinkle In Time

32. Tomb Raider

33. Love, Simon

34. Sherlock Gnomes

35. A Quiet Place

36. Life Of The Party

37. Skyscraper

38. Teen Titans Go! To The Movies

39. Christopher Robin

40. Crazy Rich Asians

41. The Predator

42. Night School

43. A Star Is Born

44. Mowgli

45. The Girl In The Spider's Web

46. Widows

47. Robin Hood

48. Mortal Engines

49. Alita: Battle Angel

50. Holmes And Watson

 

The year has a good chance of breaking the record. It does need a lot of these dark horses to break out, but it can happen.

 

(Also, Pacific Rim 2 is not a dark horse because it really doesn't have a realistic shot.)

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1. Black Panther

2. Peter Rabbit

3. Fifty Shades Freed

4. A Quiet Place

5. Blockers

6. Rampage

7. Avengers: Infinity War

8. Deadpool 2

9. Solo: A Star Wars Story

10. Ocean's 8

11. Incredibles 2

12. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

13. Ant-Man and the Wasp

14. Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

15. Skyscraper

16. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

17. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

18. Christopher Robin

19. The Nun

20. Life Itself

21. Night School

22. A Star Is Born

23. Venom

24. First Man

25. Halloween

26. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

27. X-Men: Dark Phoenix

28. Dr. Suess' The Grinch

29. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald

30. Widows

31. Ralph Breaks the Internet

32. Spider-Man: Into the Spiderverse

33. Alita: Battle Angel

34. Aquaman

35. Bumblebee

36. Mary Poppins Returns

37. Dick Cheney

 

This could happen if some stuff breaks out (though I doubt the Christmas schedule is set in stone)

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So Far:

Black Panther: $585M (should end at around $700M+)

Peter Rabbit: $98M (should finish at around $110M+)

Fifty Shades Freed: $99M (should end at around $105M)

 

The rest:

Ready Player One: $130M

A Quiet Place: $115M

Blockers: $120M

Rampage: $220M

Avengers: Infinity War: $550M

Deadpool 2: $320M

Solo: A Star Wars Story: $270M

Ocean's 8: $125M

Incredibles 2: $500M

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: $450M

Uncle Drew: $100M

Ant-Man and the Wasp: $275M

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: $150M

Skyscraper: $105M

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: $110M

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: $210M

Teen Titans Go! To The Movies: $100M

Christopher Robin: $185M

The Nun: $155M

Night School: $115M

Venom: $135M

First Man: $180M

Halloween: $220M

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $110M

X-Men: Dark Phoenix: $120M

Dr. Suess' The Grinch: $305M

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald: $215M

Ralph Breaks the Internet: $240M

Mortal Engines: $130M

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse: $115M

Alita: Battle Angel: $100M (Suspecting that Passengers fudge)

Aquaman: $220M

Mary Poppins Returns: $350M

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