Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M

[IronJimbo]

What is the point of cinemascore again.. to see what a few hardcore fans think of it on the opening day? Great stuff.. really

[redfirebird2008]

3 hours ago, The Gotham Bank said:

Isn't the TLJ hold better than what most people make it out to be, considering the theater count drop tho? At least it feels that way to me. 

 

Theater count drop was similar to Rogue One. This is a holiday weekend, so the Sunday gross is boosted (same was true for Rogue One). Rogue dropped 39% for the 3-day and TLJ dropped 49% for the 3-day. 

[Blaze Heatnix]

6 hours ago, AndyK said:

WOM is great, it has an A cinemascore 

Just like Power Rangers 2017

 

A cinemascore. Movie flopped, by the way. 

[a2k]

23 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Theater count drop was similar to Rogue One. This is a holiday weekend, so the Sunday gross is boosted (same was true for Rogue One). Rogue dropped 39% for the 3-day and TLJ dropped 49% for the 3-day. 

looking at TFA and RO's drop in the post-MLK weekend, a 55-60% drop looks likely coming weekend:

 

5	$13,468,189 1-15-17 / 5 3,162 / $4,259 -39% $498,559,923	$26,342,117 1-17-16 / 3 3,822 / $6,892 -37.8% $852,274,958	Est. $12,073,000 1-14-18 / 6 3,090 / $3,907 -49.1% $592,347,584
6	$7,210,470 1-22-17 / 6 2,603 / $2,770 -46.5% $512,376,033	$14,078,648 1-24-16 / 2 3,365 / $4,184 -46.6% $879,110,994	-

 

Edited January 16, 2018 by a2knet

[AndyK]

15 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Just like Power Rangers 2017

 

A cinemascore. Movie flopped, by the way. 

The Power Rangers 66% audience score on RT was obviously sabotaged by rival fan and MRA bots.

[redfirebird2008]

58 minutes ago, a2knet said:

looking at TFA and RO's drop in the post-MLK weekend, a 55-60% drop looks likely coming weekend:

 

5	$13,468,189 1-15-17 / 5 3,162 / $4,259 -39% $498,559,923	$26,342,117 1-17-16 / 3 3,822 / $6,892 -37.8% $852,274,958	Est. $12,073,000 1-14-18 / 6 3,090 / $3,907 -49.1% $592,347,584
6	$7,210,470 1-22-17 / 6 2,603 / $2,770 -46.5% $512,376,033	$14,078,648 1-24-16 / 2 3,365 / $4,184 -46.6% $879,110,994	-

 

 

I dunno about that. It dropped worse this weekend, but could just have a similar drop to the others next week (mid-40's). 4th weekend was a similar drop between all three movies (53-55% drops).

[Lordmandeep]

TLJ will likely meander till President day and then likely be mostly finished by then as BP will dominate. 

[Harpospoke]

 

20 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

Already proven untrue when BvS and JL underperformed. They should keep Batman in solo movies. Wonder Woman too.

Agreed.   He's like the Hawkeye in Avengers...except the Avengers movies don't have to pretend Hawkeye is the most important member and make the other characters into idiots to make him look smart.

20 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Yes, but they're both in contention for the all time admission record of a CBM and it would be nice to definitively know which wins (or SM1). 

Interesting how "admissions" was not brought up when TDK was passing movies due to inflation but then it became vitally important when Avengers passed TDK.

[redfirebird2008]

5 minutes ago, Harpospoke said:

 

Interesting how "admissions" was not brought up when TDK was passing movies due to inflation but then it became vitally important when Avengers passed TDK.

 

There was plenty of discussion about it during TDK's run at the old BOM forums.

[Blaze Heatnix]

3 hours ago, AndyK said:

The Power Rangers 66% audience score on RT was obviously sabotaged by rival fan and MRA bots.

 

Still not enough! XD

 

Where was the power of the word of mouth?

[a2k]

-	(-)	Lady Bird	A24	$389,130	-38%	652	$597	$37,373,875	74
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$155,521	+12%	378	$411	$10,050,637	95
-	(-)	The Disaster Artist	A24	$88,276	-40%	371	$238	$20,413,867	46
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$66,611	-28%	42	$1,586	$885,341	25
-	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$54,401	-41%	412	$132	$24,154,949	25
-	(-)	Daddy’s Home 2	Paramount Pictures	$39,898	-41%	201	$198	$103,291,098	67
-	(-)	The Florida Project	A24	$10,322	-41%	40	$258	$5,511,535	102

 

Looking at the actuals for smaller films, they seem to have fallen close to 40%. Wonder if people hold on to Disc Tuesdays so much that even holiday-Mondays take a hit.

 

Edited January 16, 2018 by a2knet

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, Harpospoke said:

Interesting how "admissions" was not brought up when TDK was passing movies due to inflation but then it became vitally important when Avengers passed TDK.

I kind of doubt that, admissions is always brought up every time for every movie on any serious platform, maybe on some fan message board/ not specialized about the business ones, but all of those will absolutely bring up those.

 

I doubt anyone remotely serious thought that the dark knight was a bigger box office success, phenomenon, any word to describe a movie than Star Wars a New Hope, E.T. or Gone with the Wind just because it made more at the box office in face value dollar (something meaningless, like comparing how much a movie made in Yen versus one in US Dollars) than them.

Edited January 16, 2018 by Barnack

[MaxAggressor]

4 day estimate down from 4.75m to 4.61m

 

 

[MaxAggressor]

Down from the estimated 14.61m

 

 

Up from 7.27m estimate

 

 

Down to 5.41m from 5.585m

 

 

Edited January 16, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[redfirebird2008]

Any chance Greatest Showman can reach $150m? Would be incredible if it gets there.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Any chance Greatest Showman can reach $150m? Would be incredible if it gets there.

has a shot at beating apes3 (146.9). it's 48.6 away after a 15.6 4-day.

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Any chance Greatest Showman can reach $150m? Would be incredible if it gets there.

I definitely think so. I mean it did numbers on par with RO last year and that added 31m from here, and there's no way the holds for TGS from here on aren't going to be way better than that. Frozen actually might not be the worst comparison, which had a similar gross and hold as TGS during MLK weekend 2014 and went on to add another $64m from there. 

[JonathanLB]

7 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

TLJ has gotten 2 50% drops in row and the number one reason is that interest in this SW film is fading very quickly as it was nothing special like TFA was.

That has nothing to do with anything and is just your poor reading of things based on personal bias, nothing more. You troll every thread with how much you hate the movie because you failed to understand it. TFA is a great movie but it’s about as deep as a puddle of water compared to TLJ, so apparently you want something simple and easy to understand which is fine but that doesn’t make the movie bad, it makes you bad at understanding it. I think TLJ is very special and your opinion stinks. 

[MaxAggressor]

From 15.28 million estimates to 14.62 million actuals 

 

 

Edited January 16, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[mikee11]

9 minutes ago, JonathanLB said:

That has nothing to do with anything and is just your poor reading of things based on personal bias, nothing more. You troll every thread with how much you hate the movie because you failed to understand it. TFA is a great movie but it’s about as deep as a puddle of water compared to TLJ, so apparently you want something simple and easy to understand which is fine but that doesn’t make the movie bad, it makes you bad at understanding it. I think TLJ is very special and your opinion stinks. 

to be fair you need to have a very high IQ to understand the last jedi. Without a firm grasp on deconstructionist literature and critical theory most of this stuff would go over your head. Star Wars used to be for children, but Rian Johnson elevated it to another level. Now I can go to a party and chat about Star Wars with intellectual minds,  where we discuss Rian Johnsons brilliant takedown of the Jedi philosophy who just like the phallocentric white male western patriarchy, was bogged down in it's own dogma.