Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M

[titanic2187]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	1	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$35,425,000	-4.9%	3,849	+48	$9,204	$291,560,909	$90	4
2	15	The Post	Fox	$23,400,000	+1,278.1%	2,819	+2,783	$8,301	$27,889,237	$50	4
3	N	The Commuter	LGF	$16,375,000	-	2,892	-	$5,662	$16,375,000	-	1
4	4	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$15,600,000	+13.3%	2,938	-404	$5,310	$98,353,868	$84	4
5	3	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$15,282,000	-35.6%	3,090	-1,142	$4,946	$595,556,584	-	5
6	N	Paddington 2	WB	$15,000,000	-	3,702	-	$4,052	$15,000,000	-	1
7	2	Insidious: The Last Key	Uni.	$14,610,000	-50.6%	3,150	+34	$4,638	$50,849,140	$10	2
8	N	Proud Mary	SGem	$12,000,000	-	2,125	-	$5,647	$12,000,000	$14	1
9	5	Pitch Perfect 3	Uni.	$7,265,000	-29.5%	2,505	-953	$2,900	$96,261,225	$45	4
10	8	Darkest Hour	Focus	$5,585,000	-7.7%	1,693	-40	$3,299	$36,801,552	-	8
11	6	Ferdinand	Fox	$5,000,000	-35.0%	2,154	-1,002	$2,321	$77,028,094	$111	5
12	7	Molly's Game	STX	$4,750,000	-30.7%	1,708	+100	$2,781	$21,580,167	-	3
13	9	Coco	BV	$4,673,000	-13.2%	1,362	-532	$3,431	$198,216,440	-	8
14	12	I, Tonya	Neon	$4,211,478	+72.2%	517	+261	$8,146	$10,910,294	-	6
15	11	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$3,600,000	+14.7%	723	-81	$4,979	$27,321,892	-	7
16	20	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$3,200,000	+353.8%	1,022	+712	$3,131	$29,408,459	-	10
17	16	Lady Bird	A24	$2,026,719	+28.9%	652	+90	$3,108	$37,242,928	-	11
18	13	Wonder	LGF	$1,705,000	-28.4%	970	-288	$1,758	$129,093,574	-	9
19	10	All the Money in the World	TriS	$1,500,000	-58.0%	1,408	-715	$1,065	$23,326,060	-	3
20	28	Phantom Thread	Focus	$1,425,000	+493.2%	62	+56	$22,984	$2,503,778	-	3
21	18	Call Me by Your Name	SPC	$941,901	+26.1%	174	+57	$5,413	$7,427,466	-	8
22	58	Marshall	ORF	$545,928	+9,880.4%	378	+337	$1,444	$10,030,116	$12	14
23	19	The Disaster Artist	A24	$537,054	-28.0%	371	-107	$1,448	$20,401,161	-	7
24	22	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$460,000	-10.7%	242	-83	$1,901	$313,101,320	$180	11
25	14	Downsizing	Par.	$365,000	-83.4%	412	-1,608	$886	$24,164,239	$68	4
26	27	Hostiles	ENTMP	$360,000	+34.1%	42	-4	$8,571	$905,468	-	4
27	N	Condorito: La Pelicula	LGF	$304,400	-	153	-	$1,990	$304,400	-	1
28	23	Daddy's Home 2	Par.	$240,000	-49.3%	201	-228	$1,194	$103,288,955	$69	10
29	29	Ex-File 3 (Qian Ren 3)	CL	$137,424	-22.4%	24	+7	$5,726	$749,521	-	3
30	36	The Florida Project	A24	$61,435	-2.6%	40	+3	$1,536	$5,509,380	-	15
31	43	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	SPC	$43,567	+90.5%	9	+5	$4,841	$140,683	-	3
32	35	Loving Vincent	Good Deed	$41,845	-42.0%	40	-18	$1,046	$6,478,070	-	17
33	48	Happy End	SPC	$30,390	+121.8%	11	+5	$2,763	$123,885	-	4
34	33	Youth (2017)	CL	$25,837	-67.9%	7	-23	$3,691	$1,876,012	-	5
35	56	My Friend Dahmer	FR	$10,500	+69.7%	2	-	$5,250	$1,320,071	-	11

 

 

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	1	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$28,125,000	-24.5%	3,849	+48	$7,307	$284,260,909	$90	4
2	15	The Post	Fox	$19,300,000	+1,036.6%	2,819	+2,783	$6,846	$23,789,237	$50	4
3	N	The Commuter	LGF	$13,700,000	-	2,892	-	$4,737	$13,700,000	-	1
4	4	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$12,500,000	-9.2%	2,938	-404	$4,255	$95,253,868	$84	4
5	2	Insidious: The Last Key	Uni.	$12,450,000	-57.9%	3,150	+34	$3,952	$48,691,140	$10	2
6	3	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$12,073,000	-49.1%	3,090	-1,142	$3,907	$592,347,584	-	5
7	N	Paddington 2	WB	$10,900,000	-	3,702	-	$2,944	$10,900,000	-	1
8	N	Proud Mary	SGem	$9,925,000	-	2,125	-	$4,671	$9,925,000	$14	1
9	5	Pitch Perfect 3	Uni.	$5,985,000	-41.9%	2,505	-953	$2,389	$94,983,225	$45	4
10	8	Darkest Hour	Focus	$4,470,000	-26.1%	1,693	-40	$2,640	$35,684,552	-	8
11	7	Molly's Game	STX	$3,890,000	-43.3%	1,708	+100	$2,278	$20,720,167	-	3
12	6	Ferdinand	Fox	$3,520,000	-54.3%	2,154	-1,002	$1,634	$75,548,094	$111	5
13	9	Coco	BV	$3,365,000	-37.5%	1,362	-532	$2,471	$196,908,440	-	8
14	12	I, Tonya	Neon	$3,362,738	+37.5%	517	+261	$6,504	$10,061,554	-	6
15	11	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$2,850,000	-9.2%	723	-81	$3,942	$26,571,892	-	7
16	20	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$2,530,000	+258.8%	1,022	+712	$2,476	$28,738,459	-	10
17	16	Lady Bird	A24	$1,685,930	+7.2%	652	+90	$2,586	$36,902,139	-	11
18	13	Wonder	LGF	$1,255,000	-47.3%	970	-288	$1,294	$128,643,574	-	9
19	10	All the Money in the World	TriS	$1,225,000	-65.7%	1,408	-715	$870	$23,051,060	-	3
20	28	Phantom Thread	Focus	$1,145,000	+376.6%	62	+56	$18,468	$2,224,778	-	3
21	18	Call Me by Your Name	SPC	$710,901	-4.8%	174	+57	$4,086	$7,226,466	-	8
22	19	The Disaster Artist	A24	$448,475	-39.9%	371	-107	$1,209	$20,312,582	-	7
23	58	Marshall	ORF	$410,928	+7,412.4%	378	+337	$1,087	$9,895,116	$12	14
24	22	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$385,000	-25.2%	242	-83	$1,591	$313,026,320	$180	11
25	14	Downsizing	Par.	$300,000	-86.4%	412	-1,608	$728	$24,099,239	$68	4
26	27	Hostiles	ENTMP	$280,000	+4.3%	42	-4	$6,667	$825,468	-	4
27	N	Condorito: La Pelicula	LGF	$248,400	-	153	-	$1,624	$248,400	-	1
28	23	Daddy's Home 2	Par.	$197,000	-58.4%	201	-228	$980	$103,245,955	$69	10
29	26	Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds	WGUSA	$193,290	-30.2%	32	-3	$6,040	$1,470,029	-	4
30	29	Ex-File 3 (Qian Ren 3)	CL	$112,424	-36.5%	24	+7	$4,684	$724,521	-	3
31	36	The Florida Project	A24	$51,100	-19.0%	40	+3	$1,278	$5,499,045	-	15
32	35	Loving Vincent	Good Deed	$34,845	-51.7%	40	-18	$871	$6,471,070	-	17
33	43	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	SPC	$32,905	+43.9%	9	+5	$3,656	$130,021	-	3
34	34	Goldbuster	WGUSA	$27,837	-64.8%	6	-18	$4,640	$146,219	-	2
35	N	The Insult	Cohen	$24,600	-	3	-	$8,200	$24,600	-	1
36	48	Happy End	SPC	$22,845	+66.8%	11	+5	$2,077	$116,340	-	4
37	33	Youth (2017)	CL	$20,837	-74.1%	7	-23	$2,977	$1,871,012	-	5
38	42	Jane (2017)	Abr.	$19,239	-23.5%	18	-1	$1,069	$1,587,560	-	13
39	46	Faces Places	Cohen	$11,566	-42.6%	13	-	$890	$672,642	-	15
40	56	My Friend Dahmer	FR	$8,784	+42.0%	2	-	$4,392	$1,318,355	-	11
41	N	Freak Show	IFC	$6,024	-	1	-	$6,024	$6,024	-	1
42	N	Vazante	MBox	$3,511	-	1	-	$3,511	$3,511	-	1
43	55	Same Kind of Different as Me	PFR	$3,476	-45.4%	11	-9	$316	$6,416,932	-	13
44	60	Thelma	Orch.	$1,652	-60.0%	4	-4	$413	$139,798	-	10
45	81	Let there be Light	ADC	$1,271	+1,769.1%	2	-	$636	$7,212,145	-	12
46	71	BPM (Beats Per Minute)	Orch.	$631	-43.0%	3	-4	$210	$96,150	-	13
47	77	Ichi The Killer (2017 re-release)	WGUSA	$624	+41.8%	1	-	$624	$7,050	-	8

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, babz06 said:

lol its only two weeks into the new year. 

Seriously, Sony will likely be 5th for the year again. The only films that i could see being big hits for them would be Venom or Spiderman animated film.

[redfirebird2008]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

^^^ RO's legs off the 4-day weekend give 30.28/16.81*15.38+595.56 = 623.26 to TLJ

 

I'm just tracking it based on Rogue One's daily gross. It earned 90% of Rogue One's 3-day weekend total. If that continues, it will make another $30.26 million and finish at $622.6 million.

[IronJimbo]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

I'm just tracking it based on Rogue One's daily gross. It earned 90% of Rogue One's 3-day weekend total. If that continues, it will make another $30.26 million and finish at $622.6 million.

Isn't that less than TA?

[That One Girl]

Let's say that Jumanji adds another $125M to its run and gets to $410M and lowball all the Disney releases and highball all the Sony releases.

 

Sony:

 

Jumanji - $201M

Proud Mary - $35M

Peter Rabbit - $150M

Paul, Apostle of Christ - $70M

Slenderman - $60M

Sicario 2: Soldado - $85M

Hotel Transylvania 3 - $180M

The Equalizer 2 - $100M

Barbie - $150M

Cadaver - $50M

Alpha - $60M

Venom - $250M

Goosebumps 2 - $80M

The Girl in the Spider's Web - $95M

Holmes & Watson - $155M

Spider-Verse - $230M

 

Total - $1,951M

 

Disney:

 

Star Wars - $80M

Coco - $25M

Black Panther - $200M

A Wrinkle in Time - $50M

Infinity War - $380M

Solo - $280M

Incredibles 2 - $240M

Ant-Man - $150M

Christopher Robin - $50M

Nutcracker - $55M

Wreck-it Ralph - $100M

Mary Poppins - $90M

 

Total - $1,700M

 

 

[Chad Stevens]

12 hours ago, JonathanLB said:

Or - I know it’s crazy - but it could be because most (like 99% of) people have zero interest in seeing a gay movie with pretentious dialogue and absolutely no interest at all for almost anyone. The movie just sucked. Even if it wasn’t gay, it would just be a bad Nicholas Sparks novel made into a movie, that’s how it felt. It’s not like there’s any story to propel the film. It was absolutely godawful, one of the most unwatchable movies I can imagine. They won’t convince anyone outside of a major metro area to see that and even then good luck! 

"This comment is totally inappropriate and offensive"

 

Is there a MOD here?

 

 

 

 

[Fancyarcher]

6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Forecasting with the updated estimates:

 

The Post:

Remainder of this week: 4.4M (32.3M Total)

Jan 19: 11.6M (5.2M weekdays, 49.1M Total)

Jan 26: 10.5M (4.3M weekdays, 63.9M Total)

Feb 2: 7.8M (2.7M weekdays, 74.4M Total)

Feb 9: 5.2M (2.3M weekdays, 81.9M Total)

Feb 16: 4.9M (2.7M weekdays, 89.5M Total)

Feb 23: 3.5M (1.5M weekdays, 94.5M Total)

Mar 2: 3.2M (1.2M weekdays, 98.9M Total)

Mar 9: 2.3M (700k weekdays, 101.9M Total)

Final Total: 104M

 

The Commuter:

Remainder of this week: 2.3M (18.7M Total)

Jan 19: 5.5M (2M weekdays, 26.4M Total)

Jan 26: 3.2M (1.2M weekdays, 30.8M Total)

Feb 2: 1.5M (400k weekdays, 32.7M Total)

Final Total: 35M (2.13x from 4 day/2.55x from 3 day)

Thinking The Post could go a bit higher then that. If my theater is any indication (admittedly not much to go on), then a 4X+ multiplier would not surprise me.

[titanic2187]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

I'm just tracking it based on Rogue One's daily gross. It earned 90% of Rogue One's 3-day weekend total. If that continues, it will make another $30.26 million and finish at $622.6 million.

I guess another round of rogue one vs TDK is happening, now is TLJ vs TA

[redfirebird2008]

10 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

I guess another round of rogue one vs TDK is happening, now is TLJ vs TA

 

Yep, looks like it will be very close.

[Chad Stevens]

11 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Isn't that less than TA?

A Star Wars film that does worse than TA has to be considered a major flop 

Edited January 15, 2018 by Chad Stevens

[redfirebird2008]

Seems like Greatest Showman can go over $130m. Awesome recovery after a really weak opening. Jumanji's performance is amazing too. I wonder how high it can go.

[WrathOfHan]

20 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Alpha - $60M

 

 

[Fancyarcher]

5 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Seems like Greatest Showman can go over $130m. Awesome recovery after a really weak opening. Jumanji's performance is amazing too. I wonder how high it can go.

I think Jumanji has the possibility to hit 400m at this point. Crazy! Sky's the limit for it. 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Audience Scores for both The Commuter and Proud Mary keep increasing.

 

Proud Mary started at 71%, dropped to 52% and now it's up to 63%.

 

The Commuter started at 58%, dropped to 51% and now it's up to 59%.

[a2k]

Coco will ease thorough 200 next weekend without needing any push or getting ..ahem...entangled in mid-190s

Jan 5–7	9	$5,382,651	-27.9%	1,894	-210	$2,842	$191,925,612	7
Jan 12–14	13	$3,365,000 (Estimate)	-37.5%	1,362	-532	$2,471	$196,908,440 (Estimate)	8
Jan 12–15	13	$4,673,000 (Estimate)	-13.2%	1,362	-532	$3,431	$198,216,440 (Estimate)	8

 

Should go over Ratatouille and if Disney gives it the theater bump (usually 1000+ theaters) it gives to all animations towards the end, then 210 could happen. It did well over the 3-day too considering Paddington2 was direct comp.

[Blaze Heatnix]

It's impressive how much Liam Neeson and the Collet Serra director play each other nicely. They seem to be great partners and their movies are always fun and interesting.

 

The Neeson / Collet Serra Universe is great:

 

 

1) Unknown: 136 million worldwide // DVD Sales: 16 million

 

2) Non-Stop: 222 million worldwide // DVD Sales: 19 million

 

3) Run All Night: 71 million worldwide // DVD Sales: 7 million  ( that one was tough, R rated and the release date didn't help )

 

So, in 3 Collet Serra movies, they got 429 million worldwide. That seems good.

 

 

 

Nothing will be like Taken trilogy, though. I can't believe how much money they got.

 

First one got 226 million, Second got 337 million and the last one got 327 million. The trilogy got 930 million worldwide, lol. No wonder Neeson keeps making these movies. 

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

Can we talk about how much of a success Insidious is? Its made like 40M profit already lol.

 

10M Budget.

 

Total Lifetime Grosses

Domestic:	$50,849,140	53.5%
+ Foreign:	$44,200,000	46.5%
= Worldwide:	$95,049,140

Insidious 5 is a lock either in late 2019 or early 2020.

[grey ghost]

The Avengers made an ass ton of money.

 

Before 2015 it was the 3rd biggest movie DOM in history.

 

So getting close or past it isn't that bad...it's unprecedented for a direct sequel.

 

The second biggest direct sequel is TDK with 534 m DOM.

 

3rd is Finding Dory with 486 m.

 

 

[MrGlass2]

Jumunbilievable!

[hw64]

13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

The Avengers made an ass ton of money.

 

Before 2015 it was the 3rd biggest movie DOM in history.

 

So getting close or past it isn't that bad...it's unprecedented for a direct sequel.

 

The second biggest direct sequel is TDK with 534 m DOM.

 

3rd is Finding Dory with 486 m.

Not exactly unprecendented if The Dark Knight with no 3D adjusts to far more with The Last Jedi's average ticket price than The Last Jedi itself has made.

 

The Dark Knight sold 74.3m tickets using the average ticket price of 2008. The Last Jedi will probably sell between 60m and 65m ticket by the end of its run.

Edited January 15, 2018 by hw64