Jumanji: The Next Level l Sony l December 13, 2019 l 10th Most Profitable Movie of 2019

[JB33]

2 hours ago, narniadis said:

Comp should be a bit better than Spiderman which was frontloaded for the kind of film (animated). That being said, it is a sequel which will dampen the increase. 4m should set it up for 45-50m but that of course is a guess. 

Yeah that's a pretty good stab at the multi. I was thinking 11-12x multi. Where does it look like the previews will land?

[narniadis]

22 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Yeah that's a pretty good stab at the multi. I was thinking 11-12x multi. Where does it look like the previews will land?

All over between 2.2 and 3+ they will have a better idea by Wednesday and it should be more walkin driven but its following Maleficent 2 in a few markets way too closely imo. 

[JB33]

14 minutes ago, narniadis said:

All over between 2.2 and 3+ they will have a better idea by Wednesday and it should be more walkin driven but its following Maleficent 2 in a few markets way too closely imo. 

Yikes. It's not a disaster but what an.....underwhelming lead-up this film is having. Not too long ago I thought this would pick up where the last one left off in terms of popularity and we'd see something like a $65-70 million opening weekend, with much shorter legs of course (but still strong because it's Christmas). Maybe I was totally off base but a $50M opening would have even seemed expected.

 

This could very well open below the first one's opening, even though that one opened on a Wednesday so the 3-day weekend was depressed.

[MrGlass2]

Pretty good reviews so far.

[Yandereprime101189]

Yeah, it may still be early review wise, but apparently it doesn't suck

[Alli]

It's doing very good OS, besides China

[a2k]

Dark Fate manged 13x preview to ow multi recently. JUM3 should cross that, even if MAL2's 16x is too optimistic?

2.3-2.6 * 14-15 = 32-39

JUM2's 36 ow after burning off 16.6 on Wed-Thu (including pre-previews) should be the least it needs to do to save face 😛.

 

Like to think we are being too conservative on JUM3.

[bruchav]

5 minutes ago, Alli said:

It's doing very good OS, besides China

Yep, but some people here only talk about China Lmao, as if China accounted for 70% of OS money from the first movie.

[Alli]

Domestic is the question mark. I don't think it will over perform like OS(where in some places it beats records), but not bomb like China either

[catlover]

I saw it last week and I enjoyed it a lot! Better than the first one. It's fun, hilarious (more funny jokes), with exciting new game locations/setting and action scenes, strong characters, and a surprisingly solid story. I think DeVito and Glover's characters really elevated the movie. Johnson and Hart were also spot on and hilarious as those two characters. It's flawed, but overall very entertaining.

 

And I don't understand why it's failing in China. After seeing it, I though the people there would really enjoy it.

Edited December 10, 2019 by catlover

[Thomas Beck]

It was basically a re-thread of the first one, so obviously not as fresh and new. Still an enjoyable movie.

[a2k]

If this one legs it well we could get a #3 like with Night at the Museum.

 

(prod budget, ow, dom, ww)

Dec 22, 2006	Night at the Museum	$110,000,000	$30,433,781	$250,863,268	$579,446,407
May 22, 2009	Night at the Museum: Battle…	$150,000,000	$54,173,286	$177,243,721	$402,231,063
Dec 19, 2014	Night at the Museum: Secret…	$127,000,000	$17,100,520	$113,746,621	$353,756,621

 

The 2nd NATM didn't show as much as a drop as JUM2019 is expected to from JUM2017 but the prod budget is similar and JUM2019 could better that 402 ww-china.

 

(JUM2019 budget : Forbes says 120 while Variety says 125)

Edited December 10, 2019 by a2k

[narniadis]

8 minutes ago, a2k said:

If this one legs it well we could get a #3 like with Night at the Museum.

 

(prod budget, ow, dom, ww)

Dec 22, 2006	Night at the Museum	$110,000,000	$30,433,781	$250,863,268	$579,446,407
May 22, 2009	Night at the Museum: Battle…	$150,000,000	$54,173,286	$177,243,721	$402,231,063
Dec 19, 2014	Night at the Museum: Secret…	$127,000,000	$17,100,520	$113,746,621	$353,756,621

 

The 2nd NATM didn't show as much as a drop as JUM2019 is expected to from JUM2017 but the prod budget is similar and JUM2019 could better that 402 ww-china.

 

(JUM2019 budget : Forbes says 120 while Variety says 125)

This is one of the family comedy / action series I have kept in the back of my mind thinking about the potential of Jum2. My biggest gripe with some is the failure to realize more often than not these types of films dont increase. Perfect example right here and a decade ago NATM2 was considered disappointing even though it performed just fine % wise. 

[a2k]

14 minutes ago, narniadis said:

This is one of the family comedy / action series I have kept in the back of my mind thinking about the potential of Jum2. My biggest gripe with some is the failure to realize more often than not these types of films dont increase. Perfect example right here and a decade ago NATM2 was considered disappointing even though it performed just fine % wise. 

National Treasure is one of the few that increased (a lot at that) and we never got a tri-quel!

 

Release Date	Title	Production Budget	Opening Weekend	Domestic Box Office	Worldwide Box Office
Nov 19, 2004	National Treasure	$100,000,000	$35,142,554	$173,005,002	$331,323,410
Dec 21, 2007	National Treasure: Book of …		$44,783,772	$219,961,501	$457,325,804

[cdsacken]

I'm still bitter about that

[narniadis]

40 minutes ago, a2k said:

National Treasure is one of the few that increased (a lot at that) and we never got a tri-quel!

 

Release Date	Title	Production Budget	Opening Weekend	Domestic Box Office	Worldwide Box Office
Nov 19, 2004	National Treasure	$100,000,000	$35,142,554	$173,005,002	$331,323,410
Dec 21, 2007	National Treasure: Book of …		$44,783,772	$219,961,501	$457,325,804

The fact that Disney walkes away from a 250m+ film due to Cutting Dick Cook and co always made me scratch my head. Granted Nics contract follow up lost money (Sorcerers Apprentice). But yeah.... 😬😬😬 they were very stupid to give us the plot 3 zinger and then never make it. 

 

That being said, some thought that NT2 should have made more money. But increasing 30% is great. 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

Glad to see it getting good reviews! I'm even more optmistic that it's easily going above $300m DOM and I can't wait to see the reaction of some persons here when it happens. 

[a2k]

this goes down as a rotten review 🤔

Quote

Jumanji: The Next Level is very funny and entertaining, but lacks the spark of the first.

Dec 10, 2019 | Rating: 3/5 

 

[John Marston]

surprised Jake Kasdan hasn't been picked up for a Marvel or Star Wars film yet

[1Robert1]

78% after 36 reviews it's better than Welcome to the Jungle. I don't understand why people predict that this movie do around 400 ww, i'm thinking about at least 700.