Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

[Julian1410]

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-friday-box-office-1202722840/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

 

Variety is now reporting 13 million opening day for WIT

41 for the weekend

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, Julian1410 said:

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-friday-box-office-1202722840/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

 

Variety is now reporting 13 million opening day for WIT

41 for the weekend

[Dandeak2000]

3 hours ago, Alli said:

Industry estimates for the weekend of March 9-11:

1..) Black Panther (DIS), 3,942 theaters (-142)  / $10.2M Fri  (-37%) / 3-day: $41.5M (-37%)/Total: $562.3M/Wk 3

2..) A Wrinkle in Time (DIS), 3,980 theaters  / $11.3m Fri (includes $1.2M previews)/3-day: $35.3M /Wk 1

3..) Strangers: Prey at Night (AVI), 2,464 theaters  / $3.8M Fri /3-day: $9.6M /Wk 1

4..) Red Sparrow (FOX), 3,064 theaters (+8)  / $2.3m Fri (-61%)/3-day: $7.78M (-54%)/Total: $30.7M/ Wk 2

5..) Peter Rabbit (SONY), 3,112 theaters (-495)  / $1.5M Fri (-26%) /3-day: $7.6M (-23%) /Total: $94.3M/Wk 5

6..) Game Night (NL/WB), 3,061 theaters (-441) / $2m Fri (-33%)/3-day: $7.1M (-31%)/Total: $44.3M/Wk 3

7..) Death Wish (MGM), 2,882 theaters (+35)  / $1.75M Fri (-59%)/3-day: $6.1M (-53%)/Total: $23.3M/Wk 2

8/9/10) Annihilation (PAR), 1,709 theaters (-403)  / $827K Fri (-46%)/3-day: $3M (-45%)/Total: $26M/Wk 3

  Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 2,157 theaters (-156) / $656K Fri (-37%)/3-day: $3M (-32%)/Total:$397.5M/ Wk 12

Gringo (AMX/STX), 2,404 theaters  / $1M Fri  /3-day: $3M  /Wk 1

11..) The Hurricane Heist (EST), 2,402 theaters  / $900k Fri /3-day: $2.6M /Wk 1

Black Panther coming in just below Star Wars: The Force Awaken's $42.35 million. It would need a 34.5% or better to beat it. A Wrinkle In Time isn't doing well especially with a budget of over $100 million. Strangers: Prey at Night is doing about half the business of the 2008 original which is expected for a sequel that is coming out 10 years after the original. Gringo is doing abysmally as is The Hurricane Heist.

Edited March 10, 2018 by Mike Hunt

[vc2002]

5 hours ago, aabattery said:

Sad for Wrinkle, but one step closer to the most weekends at #1 since Avatar for BP 

It seems in today's movie business, 4 #1 wknds is the limit of what any movie can do. Avatar is the only post-2000 movie that did better than that, but Avatar is some kind of an outcast.

 

And out of total 32 movies in the history that had 5 and more #1 wknds, only 10 were from post-1990. It's clear to see the pattern here. Movies business has been getting more & more frontloaded.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSAT1&p=.htm

Edited March 10, 2018 by vc2002

[druv10]

5 minutes ago, Mike Hunt said:

Black Panther coming in just below Avatar's $42.35 million. It would need a 34.5% or better to beat it. A Wrinkle In Time isn't doing well especially with a budget of over $100 million. Strangers: Prey at Night is doing about half the business of the 2008 original which is expected for a sequel that is coming out 10 years after the original. Gringo is doing abysmally as is The Hurricane Heist.

I assume You mean SW7 since Avatar made 50M+.

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, vc2002 said:

It seems in today's movie business, 4 #1 wknds is the limit of what any movie can do. Avatar is the only post-2000 movie that did better than that, but Avatar is some kind of an outcast.

 

And out of total 32 movies in the history that had 5 and more #1 wknds, only 10 were from post-1990. It's clear to see the pattern here. Movies business has been getting more & more frontloaded.

 

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/bestranked.htm?page=WKNDSAT1&p=.htm

 

I think it can get that 5th weekend win. I'm not expecting much from Tomb Raider. We'll see!

 

Might even gun for six if Pacific Rim megabombs and Gnomes does low teens.

[druv10]

Fantastic hold for BP, real shot at 2nd best 4th weekend ever. It continues to gain on DP, with similar holds 690s so 700M will be on the horizon soon. 

[EmpireCity]

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

[Dandeak2000]

8 minutes ago, druv10 said:

I assume You mean SW7 since Avatar made 50M+.

Yeah, whoops

[aabattery]

4 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

 

[filmlover]

So A Wrinkle in Time is essentially Tomorrowland 2.0, no one should really be surprised (except MovieMan, I guess). Strangers did alright all things considered. Gringo and The Hurricane Heist are expected flops. Anyone know how Thoroughbreds did?

[XO21]

 

3 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

[the beast]

6 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

what do you see for  BP friday number and weekend total?

[aabattery]

It's these fields, man. Bomb city over here.

 

[Nova]

So there's a good chance A Wrinkle In Time misses $35M? Yikes. 

[filmlover]

Also, Peter Rabbit looking to drop less than 25% in the wake of new competition is extremely impressive. Goes to show that A Wrinkle in Time didn't really connect as a must-see option for families despite the Disney brand.

[Rthmessiah]

BP WIT Fri neck & neck WIT come down closer to BP, probably no more than 100k or so between them 

[Zakiyyah6]

4 minutes ago, Rth Wakanda said:

BP WIT Fri neck & neck WIT come down closer to BP, probably no more than 100k or so between them 

Great for BP but not so great for A Wrinkle in Time.

[Stewart]

I just realised that in this weeks derby, I have the highest prediction of anybody for both BP and WIT... Either I'm onto something nobody else is or I'm shite at this prediction business 

[WrathOfHan]

25 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

 

8 minutes ago, Rth Wakanda said:

BP WIT Fri neck & neck WIT come down closer to BP, probably no more than 100k or so between them 

My club is going to win