Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

[YM!]

Omw to the movies rn.

[a2k]

If BP is 562 after a 41 weekend, then DP like legs take it to 3.1*41 + 562 = 689.1 dom. But it's been trending better than DP with ease. Adding 3.35x the 4th weekend to it's cume opposed to DP's 3.1x will give it 700 dom.

 

Who thought the movie to end 700 dom range after Avatar would be BP. Truly sensational. TLJ's 620 dom will be beat within 4 months of it's release. And to think TDK was the first 500+ dom grosser after Titanic and it took a decade.

Edited March 10, 2018 by a2knet

[Kvikk Lunsj]

I thought WIT was a standard Disney blockbuster. It was fine while watching it but it will not stick with you. 

[POTUS 2020]

http://deadline.com/2018/03/a-wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-weekend-box-office-1202324260/

1..) Black Panther (DIS), 3,942 theaters (-142)  / $10M Fri  (-37%) / 3-day: $41M (-38%)/Total: $561.8M/Wk 3

2..) A Wrinkle in Time (DIS), 3,980 theaters  / $10.3m Fri (includes $1.2M previews)/3-day: $32.7M /Wk 1

3..) Strangers: Prey at Night (AVI), 2,464 theaters  / $4M Fri /3-day: $10.2M /Wk 1

4..) Red Sparrow (FOX), 3,064 theaters (+8)  / $2.3m Fri (-61%)/3-day: $7.9M (-53%)/Total: $30.9M/ Wk 2

5..) Game Night (NL/WB), 3,061 theaters (-441) / $2.1m Fri (-27%)/3-day: $7.7M (-26%)/Total: $44.8M/Wk 3

6..) Peter Rabbit (SONY), 3,112 theaters (-495)  / $1.4M Fri (-27%) /3-day: $6.5M (-35%) /Total: $93.1M/Wk 5

7..) Death Wish (MGM), 2,882 theaters (+35)  / $1.7M Fri (-59%)/3-day: $6M (-54%)/Total: $23.3M/Wk 2

8..) Annihilation (PAR), 1,709 theaters (-403)  / $870K Fri (-43%)/3-day: $3.2M (-43%)/Total: $26.1M/Wk 3

9..) The Hurricane Heist (EST), 2,402 theaters  / $950k Fri /3-day: $3M /Wk 1

10..) Gringo (AMX/STX), 2,404 theaters  / $983K Fri  /3-day: $2.8M  /Wk 1

11..) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 2,157 theaters (-156) / $660K Fri (-38%)/3-day: $2.7M (-39%)/Total:$397.2M/ Wk 12

12…) The Shape of Water  (FSL), 1,552 theaters (+720) / $620K Fri (+80%)  / 3-day: $2.4M (+64%)/Total: $61M/Wk 15

Edited March 10, 2018 by POTUS

[a2k]

15 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Thos early estimates from Deadline were so off. Up to $4m off. Morons. 

They said 12-14 so were 2-4 off. THR said 14, 4 off and Variety said 13, 3 off. So wasn't just Deadline and their low-end would have been closer. I feel it was just front-loaded and showed an abnormal pattern. I know why some unmerited negativity in online reactions, reviews, ratings may not reflect the quality of the film, but when it's on 3-4 on IMDB and 30% odd on RT, I did think that 12-14 could come closer to 12. That too was optimistic,

18 hours ago, a2knet said:

28% audience rt. 

if wom is actually bad and slows things down can see,

1.2+11.3+14.1(+25%)+9.5(-33%)=36.1 ow (12.5 od)

 

[Avatree]

11 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If BP is 562 after a 41 weekend, then DP like legs take it to 3.1*41 + 562 = 689.1 dom. But it's been trending better than DP with ease. Adding 3.35x the 4th weekend to it's cume opposed to DP's 3.1x will give it 700 dom.

 

Who thought the movie to crack 700 dom after Avatar would be BP. Truly sensational. TLJ's 620 dom will be beat within 4 months of it's release. And to think TDK was the first 500+ dom grosser after Titanic and it took a decade.

This is how it's going to be from now on. Every four months it will increase. Last Jedi did 620M, then within four months Black Panther does 650M. Then within 3 months Jurassic World 2 does 700M. Then within 2 months The Meg does 760M and outgrosses Avatar. Then within 1 month the Predator reboot outgrosses The Force Awakens to become the highest grossing movie of all time.

[a2k]

Just now, Treetanic said:

This is how it's going to be from now on. Every four months it will increase. Last Jedi did 620M, then within four months Black Panther does 650M. Then within 3 months Jurassic World 2 does 700M. Then within 2 months The Meg does 760M and outgrosses Avatar. Then within 1 month the Predator reboot outgrosses The Force Awakens to become the highest grossing movie of all time.

Don't forget Sherlock Gnomes. #GoBigOrGoGnome

[HouseOfTheSun]

19 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I'm fine with Wrinkle flopping (part cause I thought the movie was just BAD... I'll get more into that after work) but these bombs can show Disney that they can't just put out whatever and expect it to work wonders. They're top of the movie world because they mostly deliver on quality

I honestly don’t understand this mindset. Given the people involved in this movie, do you think they were trying to get by with a subpar movie? 

[HouseOfTheSun]

5 minutes ago, Treetanic said:

This is how it's going to be from now on. Every four months it will increase. Last Jedi did 620M, then within four months Black Panther does 650M. Then within 3 months Jurassic World 2 does 700M. Then within 2 months The Meg does 760M and outgrosses Avatar. Then within 1 month the Predator reboot outgrosses The Force Awakens to become the highest grossing movie of all time.

Paddington 3 is coming for you Avatar 

[a2k]

5..) Game Night (NL/WB), 3,061 theaters (-441) / $2.1m Fri (-27%)/3-day: $7.7M (-26%)/Total: $44.8M/Wk 3

 

Should make it to 65-70 dom (20-25 more) if not more. Could beat both Tomb Raider and PRU.

[titanic2187]

1 hour ago, MaxAggressor said:

Deadline's updated weekend estimates http://deadline.com/2018/03/a-wrinkle-in-time-black-panther-weekend-box-office-1202324260/

 

1) Black Panther (DIS), 3,942 theaters (-142)  / $10M Fri  (-37%) / 3-day: $41M (-38%)/Total: $561.8M/Wk 3

2) A Wrinkle in Time (DIS), 3,980 theaters  / $10.3m Fri (includes $1.2M previews)/3-day: $32.7M /Wk 1

3) Strangers: Prey at Night (AVI), 2,464 theaters  / $4M Fri /3-day: $10.2M /Wk 1

4) Red Sparrow (FOX), 3,064 theaters (+8)  / $2.3m Fri (-61%)/3-day: $7.9M (-53%)/Total: $30.9M/ Wk 2

5) Peter Rabbit (SONY), 3,112 theaters (-495)  / $1.5M Fri (-26%) /3-day: $7.6M (-23%) /Total: $94.3M/Wk 5

6) Game Night (NL/WB), 3,061 theaters (-441) / $2m Fri (-33%)/3-day: $7.1M (-31%)/Total: $44.3M/Wk 3

 

@titanic2187

 

12…) The Shape of Water  (FSL), 1,552 theaters (+720) / $620K Fri (+80%)  / 3-day: $2.4M (+64%)/Total: $61M/Wk 15

SOW is going to stay above 1m for 15 weeks or even 16 in row!!

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

SOW is going to stay above 1m for 15 weeks or even 16 in row!!

Too bad it comes out for home viewing on Tuesday otherwise it could've easily pushed past $65M.

[grim22]

20 minutes ago, a2knet said:

They said 12-14 so were 2-4 off. THR said 14, 4 off and Variety said 13, 3 off. So wasn't just Deadline and their low-end would have been closer. I feel it was just front-loaded and showed an abnormal pattern. I know why some unmerited negativity in online reactions, reviews, ratings may not reflect the quality of the film, but when it's on 3-4 on IMDB and 30% odd on RT, I did think that 12-14 could come closer to 12. That too was optimistic,

 

Guessing they modeled it after Black Panther which had strong evening shows instead of what they would normally model it after

[Brainbug]

Black Panther is such a fucking monster.

[Barnack]

25 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said:

I honestly don’t understand this mindset. Given the people involved in this movie, do you think they were trying to get by with a subpar movie? 

Except if he suggest they should not have released the movie and started again (like they do for a Star Wars, but I am not sure that a project like that can justify taking that chance and those cost) I am not sure I get the mindset either, they gave a lot to that movie, it is from a popular books, over 130m in is production and so on, far from a whatever production.

 

In live action subpar movies will happen (well even Pixar have them) and studio already know very well that outside some specific genre/case you are better with an uppar movie than a subpar one even if it is far from automatic one is a success and the later will fail it tend to help.

 

 

[kells]

Well. This is some creative spinning. 

 

 

[oMeriMombatti]

57 minutes ago, a2knet said:

If BP is 562 after a 41 weekend, then DP like legs take it to 3.1*41 + 562 = 689.1 dom. But it's been trending better than DP with ease. Adding 3.35x the 4th weekend to it's cume opposed to DP's 3.1x will give it 700 dom.

 

Who thought the movie to crack 700 dom after Avatar would be BP. Truly sensational. TLJ's 620 dom will be beat within 4 months of it's release. And to think TDK was the first 500+ dom grosser after Titanic and it took a decade.

There was a little movie in between called Star Wars : TFA

[DAR]

35 minutes ago, a2knet said:

5..) Game Night (NL/WB), 3,061 theaters (-441) / $2.1m Fri (-27%)/3-day: $7.7M (-26%)/Total: $44.8M/Wk 3

 

Should make it to 65-70 dom (20-25 more) if not more. Could beat both Tomb Raider and PRU.

It’s having a nice little run 

[XO21]

5 minutes ago, kells said:

Well. This is some creative spinning. 

 

 

[cookie]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

I'm fine with Wrinkle flopping (part cause I thought the movie was just BAD... I'll get more into that after work) but these bombs can show Disney that they can't just put out whatever and expect it to work wonders. They're top of the movie world because they mostly deliver on quality

Wait, what? Do you think Disney knows how a movie is going to turn out when they greenlight it?